Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig prediction, odds & betting tips 04/10/2025
Serhou Guirassy scored twice in midweek for Dortmund. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams are in terrific form, and we are backing them to produce a high-scoring encounter.

Borussia Dortmund return to Bundesliga action this Saturday afternoon as they welcome RB Leipzig to Signal Iduna Park for a heavyweight encounter.

The Black and Yellow head into the match on the back of a smashing win in the Champions League, while Die Roten Bullen will be hoping to build on their impressive four-match winning run.

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig prediction: Tasty clash on the cards

Key stats

  • Dortmund have led at the interval in their last ten Bundesliga matches – a competition record.
  • Leipzig are the last Bundesliga club who have not scored a second-half away goal this season.
  • Leipzig have found the back of the net in eight successive visits to Signal Iduna Park.

Correct score prediction: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund have not tasted a competitive home defeat since March, when they were narrowly beaten by Augsburg. Since then, the team have won eight straight matches in front of their home fans.

Leipzig have been on an impressive run over recent weeks, and they should be capable of giving their rivals a close run for their money. With that in mind, we are backing a draw.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Dortmund backed to get the win

  • HOME: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%%
  • DRAW: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%
  • AWAY: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Borussia Dortmund are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 58.8%, and the bookmakers would be surprised if RB Leipzig managed to at least avoid defeat considering they have been given a 23.8% chance of victory and a 22.7% of drawing.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: RB Leipzig looking to dominate

RB Leipzig have won four of their last five head-to-head encounters with Borussia Dortmund, including a 2-0 victory last March. They also won seven of their last nine, which is a run that includes two wins away at Dortmund.

BVB last tasted victory in this fixture last November, picking up a 2-1 success in front of their home fans.

Germany Bundesliga I 15/03/25

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

2
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

Germany Bundesliga I 02/11/24

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

2
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/24

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

4
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

Germany Bundesliga I 09/12/23

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

2
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Germany DFB Pokal 05/04/23

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

2
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

Borussia Dortmund preview: BVB battling few injuries

Aaron Anselmino made his debut for Dortmund in their 3-0 win over Union Berlin a month ago, though he will not be returning to the team anytime soon after picking up a fresh injury setback.

Emre Can is also expected to remain on the sidelines, with the player still battling a groin injury – an issue which has kept him out of action since May. Youngster Julien Duranville has also missed every game this season after undergoing surgery last June to fix his shoulder issue.

Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini, Couto, Sabitzer, Nmecha, Svensson, Adeyemi, Brandt & Guirassy

Last five results:

  • Borussia Dortmund 4-1 Athletic Bilbao
  • Mainz 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Wolfsburg
  • Juventus 4-4 Borussia Dortmund
  • Heidenheim 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

RB Leipzig preview: Improving news on injury front

Max Finkgrafe is yet to make a competitive start for RB Leipzig since joining the club over the summer from Bundesliga rivals FC Koln, with the player struggling with a knee injury.

Benjamin Henrichs is reportedly making good progress on his recovery from an Achilles' tendon rupture, though he is expected to miss the trip to Dortmund. Kosta Nedeljkovic will also be on the sidelines, with the 19-year-old defender dealing with a stress reaction in his right knee.

In better news for Werner, Christoph Baumgartner is back in full training, while Amadou Haidara is expected to rejoin his teammates in the coming days.

Predicted lineup: Gulacsi (GK), Baku, Orban, Lukeba, Raum, Ouedraogo, Seiwald, Baumgartner, Bakayoko, Romulo & Diomande

Last five results:

  • Wolfsburg 0-1 RB Leipzig
  • RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Koln
  • Mainz 0-1 RB Leipzig
  • RB Leipzig 2-0 Heidenheim
  • Bayern Munich 6-0 RB Leipzig

Player to watch: Serhou Guirassy

Serhou Guirassy, who has already scored six goals in seven games, is expected to lead Dortmund’s attack as he looks to continue his fine start to the season.

Mainz vs Dortmund prediction
Serhou Guirassy should be brimming with confidence ahead of this fixture. (Photo by Imago)
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Sports writer for Football Whispers and various other titles. After completing a sports journalism degree at Leeds Trinity University, he went on to work for William Hill, Planet Sport, Football365, League Express, Yorkshire Evening Post, Halifax Courier and others.