Lille and Borussia Dortmund are deadlocked ahead of their Champions League Round of 16 second-leg tie at the Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy on Wednesday, 12 March. Read our Champions League predictions for the clash below.
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Lille vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: Slender margins anticipated
Key Stats
- Last week’s chess-like 1-1 first-leg draw between Dortmund and Lille featured just two shots on target combined from the clubs.
- Five of Borussia Dortmund’s last six games in all competitions have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Lille are unbeaten at home in the Champions League this term and won three of their four group-stage matches at the Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
- Jonathan David has scored six times in the Champions League this season for Lille.
Correct score prediction: Lille 1-0 Borussia Dortmund
Lille matched Dortmund in last week’s first leg (1-1) and Les Dogues, who are unbeaten at home in the Champions League this season, can complete the job in another low-scoring tussle in France.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Teams are hard to split
- HOME: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Lille kept things tight in last week’s first leg and earned a 1-1 draw at Dortmund, though the markets are unsure about Les Dogues’ prospects ahead of Wednesday’s return fixture and the hosts have just a 38.5% chance of success according to the probability figures.
Dortmund limped to a 1-0 loss at home to Augsburg at the weekend, so the 8/5 joint-favourites will head to France a little low on confidence in midweek. Check out our football tips page for more of the best Champions League predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Series of draws
Borussia Dortmund’s 1-1 draw with Lille last week was the third stalemate in as many previous encounters between the clubs. Before last week, the sides’ last tussle came in the Europa League in 2002.
UEFA Champions League 04/03/25
Borussia Dortmund
Lille
Lille preview: Zhegrova still out for hosts
Osame Sahraoui, Edon Zhegrova and Tiago Santos are all expected to miss Wednesday's game for Lille. Les Dogues enjoyed a 1-0 win over Montpellier at the weekend, though they fielded a largely full-strength XI on that occasion, so they will have guard against fatigue in midweek.
Predicted lineup: Chevalier (GK), Meunier, Diakite, Ribeiro, Ismaily, Andre, Bouaddi, Mbappe, Mukaku, Haraldsson, David
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
L
Brest
2
Lille
0
France Ligue 1 04/05/25
D
Marseille
1
Lille
1
France Ligue 1 27/04/25
W
Angers
0
Lille
2
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
W
Auxerre
1
Lille
3
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
W
Toulouse
1
Lille
2
Borussia Dortmund preview: Three missing for visitors
Felix Nmecha, Soumaila Coulibaly and Filippo Mane could miss out for Dortmund in midweek. Borussia Dortmund looked toothless at the weekend in their Bundesliga 1-0 loss to Augsburg and Head Coach Nico Kovac might rejig things in attack on Wednesday evening.
Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Ryerson, Can, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini, Ozcan, Groß, Adeyemi, Brandt, Gittens, Guirassy
Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25
W
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
W
Wolfsburg
0
Borussia Dortmund
4
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
W
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
2
Borussia Dortmund
3
UEFA Champions League 15/04/25
W
Barcelona
1
Borussia Dortmund
3
Player to watch – Thomas Meunier
Former Borussia Dortmund defender Thomas Meunier will face ex-employers again for Lille on Wednesday evening and the experienced campaigner will be keen to make an impact with his raiding runs down the right flank.
Meunier’s knowhow could be key
In a relatively young Lille side, 33-year-old Meunier brings valuable experience to the table and the 67-times-capped Belgian international has been a regular fixture in the Champions League for a decade. Lille will look to Meunier for leadership again in Wednesday’s crucial clash.