Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich prediction, odds & betting tips 28/02/2026

Saturday's Der Klassiker clash between Bayern Munich and hosts Borussia Dortmund at Signal Iduna Park could prove decisive in the race for the Bundesliga title.

League-leaders Bayern have 60 points and boast an eight-point lead over second-placed Dortmund, and with 11 matchweeks remaining, anything other than a Black and Yellow victory will almost certainly see the Bavarians claim the title once again.

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich prediction: Opportunity to punish the visitors?

Key stats

• Bayern Munich are on track to score 126 goals in the Bundesliga and beat the division's previous record of 101.
• Borussia Dortmund have scored at least two goals in eight of their past nine Bundesliga clashes at home.
• Of the 21 goals Bayern have conceded in the league, 10 have come in their last eight league matches.

Correct score prediction: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Bayern Munich

Borussia Dortmund should be looking to take advantage of the fact their opponents have proven more porous at the back in recent weeks, especially as they will be buoyed by a home crowd.

Bayern might have struggled more at the back, but nobody in the history of the Bundesliga has performed better than them in the final third, so perhaps they will be able earn at least a point.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern Munich predicted to win by the bookmakers

• HOME: 16/5 (4.2) – 23.8%

• DRAW: 19/5 (4.8) – 20.8%

• AWAY: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bayern Munich are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 61.9%, and despite Dortmund playing at home, the bookmakers do not believe that they stand much chance of taking three points.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Even record in recent seasons

In the clubs' last four meetings, both have earned one victory while settling for two stalemates, though Bayern did win 10 of their prior 11 encounters with BVB.

The Bavarians also came out on top when they faced Borussia Dortmund in October 2025, winning 2-1 in the Bundesliga thanks to goals from Michael Olise and Harry Kane.

Germany Bundesliga I 18/10/25

Bayern Munich

2

Borussia Dortmund

1

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

Bayern Munich

2

Borussia Dortmund

2

Germany Bundesliga I 30/11/24

Borussia Dortmund

1

Bayern Munich

1

Germany Bundesliga I 30/03/24

Bayern Munich

0

Borussia Dortmund

2

Germany Bundesliga I 04/11/23

Borussia Dortmund

0

Bayern Munich

4

Borussia Dortmund preview: Poor form at the wrong time?

Dortmund were held to a 2-2 stalemate by RB Leipzig on February 21, but they were also humiliated in the Champions League on Wednesday, losing 4-1 against Atalanta in the second leg to lose 4-3 on aggregate.

Centre-backs Emre Can and Niklas Sule are both injured, and their absences mean that Niko Kovac may be forced to start a back three consisting of Ramy Bensebaini, Waldemar Anton and Nico Schlotterbeck.

Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini, Couto, Bellingham, Nmecha, Svensson, Adeyemi, Brandt & Guirassy

Last five results:

• 25/02/26: Atalanta 4-1 Borussia Dortmund (Champions League)
• 21/02/26: RB Leipzig 2-2 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
• 17/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Atalanta (Champions League)
• 13/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
• 07/02/26: Wolfsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)

Bayern Munich preview: Unstoppable march to the title?

Bayern's 3-2 win against Eintracht Frankfurt on February 21 was their fourth in a row in all competitions, and they have triumphed in seven of their past nine top-flight fixtures.

Following Alphonso Davies's injury last time out, Vincent Kompany may station Josip Stanisic on the left side of a back four.

Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Stanisic, Kimmich, Pavlovic, Olise, Musiala, Diaz & Kane

Last five results:

• 21/02/26: Bayern Munich 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
• 14/02/26: Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)
• 11/02/26: Bayern Munich 2-0 RB Leipzig (DFB-Pokal)
• 08/02/26: Bayern Munich 5-1 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
• 31/01/26: Hamburger SV 2-2 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)

Player to watch: Michael Olise

While Bayern striker Harry Kane has often taken the plaudits for the club's strong form in front of goal, the exploits of winger Michael Olise have perhaps gone under the radar.

The Frenchman has scored 13 goals and provided 21 assists in 35 games for the Bavarians, and if he is at his creative best, then Bayern could enjoy plenty of success against Dortmund's defence.