The Italian Supercup semi-final will see Bologna and Inter Milan fighting for a place in the final on Friday at the neutral venue, King Saud University Stadium in Saudi Arabia.
Bologna slipped further off the pace in the race for a top-four finish after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Juventus last weekend, and they now head to Saudi Arabia with their season-long run of avoiding consecutive losses under threat.
That setback also meant successive home league defeats for the Rossoblu, but the switch to a neutral venue could work in their favour, as they remain unbeaten in their last eight matches played away from the Renato Dall’Ara.
Inter, meanwhile, returned to the top of the table thanks to a 2-1 victory over Genoa, maintaining their remarkable record of having no draws in competitive fixtures this season. With four wins from their last five matches, the Nerazzurri arrive in a confident mood ahead of this Middle East assignment.
Their pedigree in this competition is also strong, having kept four clean sheets in their last six Supercoppa appearances, a run that has delivered three trophies in the past four editions. Inter will now be aiming to match Juventus’ record of nine Supercoppa titles.
Read our Bologna vs Inter Milan predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Italian Super Cup predictions.
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Bologna vs Inter Milan prediction: Home team to claim a narrow win
Key statistics
- Three of their last five clashes have ended in a full-time draw.
- Both teams have played BTTS in three of their last five meetings.
- A 2-2 scoreline has been played twice in their last five encounters.
Correct score prediction: Bologna 2-2 Inter Milan
Inter Milan will be looking to bounce back from their defeat in the Champions League and Bologna will also be looking to return to winning ways, but we do not expect a win from either team in this tie.
The Rossoblu have shown resilience this season and are in good form; the same for the Nerazzurri, but we expect a very tight game. Despite Inter being the strongest side, we predict a 1-1 draw, with the game going into extra time.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Inter Milan are the favourites to win
- Home: 29/10 (3.90) – 20.0%
- Draw: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- Away: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The bookmakers' odds strongly favour Inter Milan, with a 55.6% implied chance of victory. Bologna are underdogs at 3.90 (20.0%), while the draw is priced at 3.50 (28.6%), suggesting Inter are expected to secure the win in this cup clash.
Most recent head-to-head: Recent history has been even
Looking at their recent head-to-head meetings, Bologna have been very competitive against Inter Milan. In the last five encounters, both teams have one win each, with the remaining three games ending in a draw.
Their recent results saw Bologna claim a narrow 1-0 home victory over Inter and a 2-2 draw in their second meeting in 2025. The last time Inter defeated Bologna was in 2024 away from home, where they claimed a narrow 1-0 win.
After reviewing our key Bologna vs Inter Milan predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
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Bologna preview: Injury-hit squad
Bologna will be without several key figures for this encounter, with experienced midfielder Remo Freuler and first-choice goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski both unavailable. Vincenzo Italiano also faces defensive headaches, as Martin Vitik and Nicolo Casale are sidelined through injury.
Jhon Lucumi continues to battle a tendon issue. At the same time, there is some relief at the back; however, as Heggem remains eligible to feature here, his impending suspension applies only to Serie A fixtures.
Predicted lineup: Ravaglia (GK), Holm, Lucumi, Heggem, Miranda, Moro, Ferguson, Orsolini, Odgaard, Cambiaghi & Castro
Last five fixtures
- 14.12.25 – Bologna 0–1 Juventus
- 11.12.25 – Celta Vigo 1–2 Bologna
- 07.12.25 – Lazio 1–1 Bologna
- 04.12.25 – Bologna 2–1 Parma
- 01.12.25 – Bologna 1–3 Cremonese
Inter Milan preview: Injury setbacks continue
Inter have received mixed fitness updates ahead of this clash, with Hakan Calhanoglu shaking off an adductor problem and Matteo Darmian set to return after almost three months out. However, the team will still be without two key first-team players.
Experienced centre-back Francesco Acerbi remains sidelined with a thigh injury, while wing-back Denzel Dumfries has undergone ankle surgery and is not expected back until March, leaving Inter short of options on the right flank.
Predicted lineup: Martinez (GK), Akanji, Bisseck, Bastoni, Henrique, Barella, Zielinski, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Thuram & Martinez
Last five fixtures
- 14.12.25 – Genoa 1–2 Inter
- 09.12.25 – Inter 0–1 Liverpool
- 06.12.25 – Inter 4–0 Como
- 03.12.25 – Inter 5–1 Venezia
- 30.11.25 – Pisa 0–2 Inter
Player to watch: Lautaro Martinez
Lautaro Martinez is a big threat for Bologna in this cup tie, with the striker the standout player and main attacking threat in the team. The Argentine striker is a proven goalscorer, and this season he has already netted eight goals and contributed three assists in the league.
His presence and creativity in the final third will be crucial in helping Inter break down Bologna’s defence and secure a vital victory.