Peru are targeting just their second victory of this World Cup qualifying campaign this week. Our Peru vs Bolivia prediction considers whether caretaker boss Oscar Ibanez can win his first game in charge.
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Peru vs Bolivia prediction: Hosts to win-to-nil
Key stats
- Our Peru vs Bolivia betting tips take into account that 92% of Peru matches in this campaign have served up two or fewer goals.
- It’s 11 defeats in 12 away World Cup qualifiers for Bolivia.
- Four of their last five away qualifiers have seen them beaten without scoring.
Correct score prediction: Peru 1-0 Bolivia
Despite the poor campaign that Peru are having, it’s always very hard to fancy Bolivia when they play away in this competition.
They are a considerably lesser side when not playing at altitude in their own country, and they are likely to come up short against a Peruvian side that hasn’t lost any of their last seven home games.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Home win expected in Lima
- HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
- DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
- AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Peru vs Bolivia odds, with an implied probability of 71.4% that they win this match.
They were last in action in November, going down 1-0 away to Argentina with Lautaro Martinez grabbing the only goal.
As for Bolivia, they come into this game after a 2-2 home draw against Paraguay last time out, with Ervin Vaca and Miguel Terceros their scorers.
For more from the upcoming matches in South America and beyond, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Home advantage key
Our Peru vs Bolivia prediction suggests home advantage could be the determining factor again, with the last four meetings having all been won by the team playing at home.
Bolivia have lost on 18 of their previous 25 visits to this country.
South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/23
Bolivia
Peru
International Match 20/11/22
Peru
Bolivia
South America - World Cup Qualifying 12/11/21
Peru
Bolivia
South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/10/21
Bolivia
Peru
Copa America 18/06/19
Bolivia
Peru
Peru preview: Two suspensions for the hosts
Carlos Zambrano and Miguel Araujo are suspended, leaving the home team slightly short on defensive options for the opening game of this international break.
Predicted Lineup: Gallese (GK), Advincula, Noriega, Tapia, Garces, M. Lopez, Polo, Quispe, Pena, Reyna & Flores
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25 L Venezuela 1 Peru 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25 W Bolivia 1 Peru 3 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24 L Argentina 1 Peru 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24 D Chile 0 Peru 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24 L Brazil 4 Peru 0
Bolivia preview: Injury problems for Villegas
The visitors are missing Henry Vaca and Jeyson Chura due to injuries. Uncapped Shakhtar defender Diego Arroyo is pushing to make his debut.
Predicted Lineup: Viscarra (GK), Medina, Haquin, Sagredo, Fernandez, Matheus, Cuellar, Villamil, Miguelito, R. Vaca & Algaranaz
South America - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25 D Uruguay 0 Bolivia 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25 L Peru 3 Bolivia 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24 D Paraguay 2 Bolivia 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/11/24 L Ecuador 4 Bolivia 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24 L Argentina 6 Bolivia 0
Player to watch – Edison Flores
With only three goals scored in this entire campaign, Peru are not blessed with many big goal threats. Edison Flores is one player who should ask some questions though, and he has a healthy return of 16 goals from 80 international appearances.
Flores shining back in Peru
The 30-year-old rejoined Universitario in his homeland in 2023. Since then, he has averaged a goal every 189 minutes in the Peruvian top flight.