peru vs bolivia prediction
Bolivia are ranked seventh currently and still in contention for qualification - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 3.5 total goals & BTTS - No

Both teams have scored in only 17% of Peru’s 2026 World Cup qualifiers.

Peru are targeting just their second victory of this World Cup qualifying campaign this week. Our Peru vs Bolivia prediction considers whether caretaker boss Oscar Ibanez can win his first game in charge.

Peru vs Bolivia prediction: Hosts to win-to-nil

Key stats

  • Our Peru vs Bolivia betting tips take into account that 92% of Peru matches in this campaign have served up two or fewer goals.
  • It’s 11 defeats in 12 away World Cup qualifiers for Bolivia.
  • Four of their last five away qualifiers have seen them beaten without scoring.

Correct score prediction: Peru 1-0 Bolivia

Despite the poor campaign that Peru are having, it’s always very hard to fancy Bolivia when they play away in this competition.

They are a considerably lesser side when not playing at altitude in their own country, and they are likely to come up short against a Peruvian side that hasn’t lost any of their last seven home games.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Home win expected in Lima

  • HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
  • DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
  • AWAY: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Peru vs Bolivia odds, with an implied probability of 71.4% that they win this match.

They were last in action in November, going down 1-0 away to Argentina with Lautaro Martinez grabbing the only goal.

As for Bolivia, they come into this game after a 2-2 home draw against Paraguay last time out, with Ervin Vaca and Miguel Terceros their scorers.

For more from the upcoming matches in South America and beyond, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Home advantage key

Our Peru vs Bolivia prediction suggests home advantage could be the determining factor again, with the last four meetings having all been won by the team playing at home.

Bolivia have lost on 18 of their previous 25 visits to this country.

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/23

Bolivia

Bolivia

2
Peru

Peru

0

International Match 20/11/22

Peru

Peru

1
Bolivia

Bolivia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 12/11/21

Peru

Peru

3
Bolivia

Bolivia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/10/21

Bolivia

Bolivia

1
Peru

Peru

0

Copa America 18/06/19

Bolivia

Bolivia

1
Peru

Peru

3

Peru preview: Two suspensions for the hosts

Carlos Zambrano and Miguel Araujo are suspended, leaving the home team slightly short on defensive options for the opening game of this international break.

Predicted Lineup: Gallese (GK), Advincula, Noriega, Tapia, Garces, M. Lopez, Polo, Quispe, Pena, Reyna & Flores

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

L

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Bolivia

Bolivia

1

Peru

Peru

3

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

1

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24

D

Chile

Chile

0

Peru

Peru

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24

L

Brazil

Brazil

4

Peru

Peru

0

Bolivia preview: Injury problems for Villegas

The visitors are missing Henry Vaca and Jeyson Chura due to injuries. Uncapped Shakhtar defender Diego Arroyo is pushing to make his debut.

Predicted Lineup: Viscarra (GK), Medina, Haquin, Sagredo, Fernandez, Matheus, Cuellar, Villamil, Miguelito, R. Vaca & Algaranaz

South America - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25

D

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

L

Peru

Peru

3

Bolivia

Bolivia

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24

D

Paraguay

Paraguay

2

Bolivia

Bolivia

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/11/24

L

Ecuador

Ecuador

4

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

6

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

Player to watch – Edison Flores

With only three goals scored in this entire campaign, Peru are not blessed with many big goal threats. Edison Flores is one player who should ask some questions though, and he has a healthy return of 16 goals from 80 international appearances.

peru vs bolivia predictions
Flores in action against Argentina in November – Photo by IMAGO.

Flores shining back in Peru

The 30-year-old rejoined Universitario in his homeland in 2023. Since then, he has averaged a goal every 189 minutes in the Peruvian top flight.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.