🔥 Our Hot tip

Panama to win

Panama have won each of their four previous encounters with Bolivia

Panama caused the biggest shock at the 2024 Copa America so far when they defeated the hosts USA 2-1 in Atlanta on Thursday.

That result has given Panama a great chance of progressing through to the last 16 as they are now on three points along with second-placed USA who face Uruguay in their final group game.

Bolivia have lost their opening two fixtures and have never beaten Panama before, all of which bodes well for the Central Americans.

Bolivia vs Panama prediction: Three straight defeats for Bolivia?

Key Stats

  • Bolivia have lost each of their last five international matches, including their opening two games at the 2024 Copa America.
  • At least three goals have been produced in three of Panama's last four matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Bolivia's last four fixtures.

Correct score prediction: Bolivia 1-2 Panama

Panama are yet to keep a clean sheet at the 2024 Copa America and while Bolivia don't score many goals, they have scored in each of their last three meetings with the Central Americans.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Panama the clear favourite

  • HOME: 24/5 (5.80) – 17.2%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • AWAY: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Panama are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 60%, and we can't argue with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Panama dominate

Bolivia and Panama have locked horns on four previous occasions between 2011 and 2023 with the Central Americans winning everytime.

International Match 27/08/23

Bolivia

Bolivia

1
Panama

Panama

2

Copa America 07/06/16

Panama

Panama

2
Bolivia

Bolivia

1

Bolivia preview: Never looked like qualifying

Bolivia followed up their 2-0 defeat against the USA with a 5-0 hammering at the hands of Uruguay in Group C.

Darwin Nunez and co went in at the break two goals to the good with the Liverpool striker scoring once and Uruguay added three more goals in the second 45, all via different goalscorers in a dominating display.

Predicted lineup: Viscarra (GK), José Sagredo, Haquín, Fernández, Rocha, Cuellar, Céspedes, Vaca, Villamíl, Terceros & Algarañaz

South America - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25

D

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

L

Peru

Peru

3

Bolivia

Bolivia

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24

D

Paraguay

Paraguay

2

Bolivia

Bolivia

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/11/24

L

Ecuador

Ecuador

4

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

6

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

Panama preview: Stunned the hosts

The USA had been expected to defeat Panama and battle Uruguay for the top spot in Group C but the underdogs came out on top in what was a fiery affair.

USA forward Timothy Weah was shown a straight red card in the 18th minute but the hosts managed to take the lead soon after through Monaco's Folarin Balogun.

However, Panama went in at the break on level terms thanks to an equaliser from wing-back Cesar Blackman and the game looked like it might end 1-1 until substitute Jose Fajardo clinched a dramatic winning goal for the Panamanians. The teams finished the game on ten players apiece after Adalberto Carrasquilla was sent off in the 88th minute of what was an incident-packed match.

Predicted lineup: Mosquera (GK), Davis, Miller, Murillo, Blackman, Córdoba, Fariña, Martínez, Yanis, Bárcenas & Guerrero 

CONCACAF Nations League 24/03/25

L

Mexico

Mexico

2

Panama

Panama

1

CONCACAF Nations League 20/03/25

W

USA

USA

0

Panama

Panama

1

International Match 08/02/25

L

Chile

Chile

6

Panama

Panama

1

Club Friendly List 25/01/25

L

Universitario de Deportes

Universitario de Deportes

2

Panama

Panama

1

CONCACAF Nations League 19/11/24

D

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

2

Panama

Panama

2

Player to watch – José Fajardo

Panama forward Jose Fajardo scored his 12th international goal on his 50th appearance for his country as they defeated the 2024 Copa America hosts, USA.

José Fajardo player to watch
Panama forward Jose Fajardo in action against the USA – Photo by Icon Sport

Fajardo, who previously played in the MLS for D.C. United, will be hoping to have done enough against the USA last time out to earn a place in the starting lineup for the Bolivia game.

In line for a starting role against Bolivia

We're backing the 30-year-old striker to get his chance in the final group game for Panama, helping to guide his team to a huge three points that could see them unexpectedly qualify for the knockout stage at the expense of the host nation.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.