Mainz vs Bochum prediction
Mainz could have too much class for bottom club Bochum. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Mainz to win

Mainz have had won each of their last three Bundesliga matches at home.

Highflying Mainz take on bottom club Bochum collide at the MEWA ARENA in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 11 January. Read our German football predictions for the game below.

Mainz vs Bochum prediction: Back hosts to triumph

Key Stats

  • Mainz have had won each of their last three Bundesliga matches on home soil.
  • Mainz scored twice in each of their last two home fixtures in the league.
  • Lee Jae-Sung scored twice in Mainz’s last home assignment against Bayern Munich.
  • Bochum failed to notch in two of their last three away games in the Bundesliga.

Correct score prediction: Mainz 2-0 Bochum

Mainz have won five of their last six games in the Bundesliga and they hit two goals in two of their last three victories. Another brace – along with a clean sheet – looks like an achievable target for Mainz against bottom club Bochum.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mainz offer the best value

  • HOME: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
  • DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
  • AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Mainz surged up to 5th place in the Bundesliga table before the winter break following a fine run of results and they look like top value at 8/15 to win again at Bochum’s expense when the campaign resumes this weekend.

Bochum won for the first time this season in their last fixture before the winter break against Heidenheim (2-0), though they have just an 18.2% chance of repeating that feat here. Check out more of our latest football predictions on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Mainz have been in command

Mainz beat Bochum 2-0 when the teams last met in March 2024 and that was their third victory in four previous iterations of this fixture.

Germany Bundesliga I 16/03/24

Mainz

Mainz

2
Bochum

Bochum

0

Germany Bundesliga I 27/10/23

Bochum

Bochum

2
Mainz

Mainz

2

Germany Bundesliga I 28/01/23

Mainz

Mainz

5
Bochum

Bochum

2

Germany Bundesliga I 06/08/22

Bochum

Bochum

1
Mainz

Mainz

2

Germany DFB Pokal 18/01/22

Bochum

Bochum

3
Mainz

Mainz

1

Mainz preview: Amiri is serving a ban

Niklas Tauer, Stefan Bell and Jonathan Burkardt are all expected to miss out on Saturday while Nadiem Amiri is serving a ban and won't be involved either. Mainz showcased their confidence with a 3-1 win over Eintracht Frankfurt just before the winter break, a feat made all the more remarkable by their 21st-minute red card.

Predicted lineup: Zentner (GK), Da Costa, Jenz, Kohr, Caci, Sano, Barkok, Mwene, Nebel, Jae-Sung, Sieb

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

L

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Mainz

Mainz

0

Germany Bundesliga I 05/04/25

D

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

1

Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 30/03/25

L

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3

Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 15/03/25

D

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2

Mainz

Mainz

2

Germany Bundesliga I 07/03/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

Borussia M'gladbach

1

Mainz

Mainz

3

Bochum preview: Miyoshi is still suspended

Koji Miyoshi is suspended and will sit out Saturday's clash while Gerrit Holtmann has a muscle issue and is also listed as a possible absentee. Bochum could stick with the same XI that beat Heidenheim 2-0 before the winter break.

Predicted lineup: Drewes (GK), Oermann, Ordets, Bernardo, Passlack, Bero, Losilla, Sissoko, Wittek, Hofmann, Broschinski

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

L

Augsburg

Augsburg

2

Bochum

Bochum

1

Germany Bundesliga I 05/04/25

L

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

4

Bochum

Bochum

0

Germany Bundesliga I 28/03/25

L

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

3

Bochum

Bochum

1

Europe Friendlies 20/03/25

W

SC Preussen Munster

SC Preussen Munster

2

Bochum

Bochum

4

Germany Bundesliga I 16/03/25

L

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

3

Bochum

Bochum

1

Player to watch – Paul Nebel

Paul Nebel started to crack the code from a position in attacking midfield for Mainz before the winter break and the 22-year-old will be determined to pick up where he left off when the campaign resumes this weekend.

Mainz vs Bochum prediction
Paul Nebel hit new heights for Mainz before the winter break. (Photo by Imago)

Nebel is a potential match winner

Nebel hit four goals in four Bundesliga appearances in December from a more central position for Mainz and the youngster’s explosion to prominence has added an extra dimension to the team’s work in the final third. Look out for Nebel’s sharp finishing on Saturday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.