Mainz vs Bochum prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/03/2024

Mainz
16/03/24 - 14:30

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Bochum

Mainz - Bochum

Germany Bundesliga I - Mewa Arena

Mainz vs Bochum prediction
Goals could be on the agenda when Mainz meet Bochum – Photo by Icon Sport

Two of the Bundesliga’s bottom four clubs face off at the MEWA ARENA when Mainz and Bochum meet in a relegation six-pointer on Saturday, March 16th. Check out our Bundesliga betting tips for the fixture below.

Mainz vs Bochum prediction: Goals on the cards at the MEWA ARENA?

Mainz vs Bochum Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Over 2.5 Goals

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Mainz 3-2 Bochum

Anytime Goalscorer

Karim Onisiwo

Key Stats

  • Four goals hit the net when Mainz drew 2-2 with Bochum in October.
  • 100% of the last four tussles between the teams have featured at least three goals.
  • Bochum have failed to win 11 of their 12 away assignments in the Bundesliga this season.
  • Karim Onisiwo scored a hattrick in last season’s corresponding fixtures between these teams.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bochum priced as big underdogs

  • HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Mainz fell to a brutal 8-1 loss to a ravenous Bayern Munich side last weekend, though they still hold the favourites tag ahead of the weekend and their 55.6% chance of victory has largely been based on Bochum’s dreadful away form. Our top football predictions have taken that poor record into account and the visitors have posted just one away win in total this term.

If you’re on the lookout for more German football tips, head on over to our betting insights page, where we have other angles for you to weigh up ahead of the weekend’s latest Bundesliga fixtures.

Last five H2Hs: Mainz’s record holds promise

Germany Bundesliga I 27/10/23

Bochum

Bochum

2
Mainz

Mainz

2

Germany Bundesliga I 28/01/23

Mainz

Mainz

5
Bochum

Bochum

2

Germany Bundesliga I 06/08/22

Bochum

Bochum

1
Mainz

Mainz

2

Germany DFB Pokal 18/01/22

Bochum

Bochum

3
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 15/01/22

Mainz

Mainz

1
Bochum

Bochum

0

Mainz picked up a point at Bochum in October and they have lost only one of the last five meetings between the clubs overall. Mainz put five goals past Bochum (5-2) when the teams last locked horns at the MEWA ARENA.

Mainz preview: Enforced changes for hosts

Tom Krauß, Joshua Guilavogui, Jessic Ngankam, Maxim Leitsch, Stefan Bell and Nelson Weiper are all in the treatment room at Mainz. Edimilson Fernandes could slot into Mainz's back three this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Zentner – van den Berg, Fernandes, Caci – Widmer, da Costa, Amiri, Mwene – Jae-Sung, Gruda, Burkardt

Europe Friendlies 12/07/24

W

FC Basara Mainz

FC Basara Mainz

0

Mainz

Mainz

8

Europe Friendlies 06/07/24

W

TSV Langenlonsheim-Laubenheim

TSV Langenlonsheim-Laubenheim

0

Mainz

Mainz

13

Germany Bundesliga I 18/05/24

W

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

1

Mainz

Mainz

3

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/24

W

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

Mainz

Mainz

3

Germany Bundesliga I 05/05/24

D

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

1

Mainz

Mainz

1

Bochum preview: Visitors could name the same XI

Andreas Luthe, Matus Bero, Christopher Antwi-Adjei, Niclas Thiede, Danilo Soares, Patrick Osterhage, Mohommed Tolba and Michael Esser are injured while Moritz Kwarteng is still suspended.

Predicted lineup: Riemann – Oermann, Ordets, Schlotterbeck, Bernardo – Masovic, Forster, Losilla, Stoger – Asano, Broschinski

Europe Friendlies 12/07/24

W

Alemannia Aachen

Alemannia Aachen

0

Bochum

Bochum

1

Europe Friendlies 10/07/24

W

SSVg Velbert

SSVg Velbert

1

Bochum

Bochum

5

Europe Friendlies 06/07/24

W

Rot Weiss Ahlen

Rot Weiss Ahlen

1

Bochum

Bochum

3

Germany Bundesliga Play-Offs 27/05/24

W

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Fortuna Dusseldorf

0

Bochum

Bochum

3

Germany Bundesliga Play-Offs 23/05/24

L

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Fortuna Dusseldorf

3

Bochum

Bochum

0

Mainz vs Bochum prediction
Nadiem Amiri scored a screamer last week – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Nadiem Amiri

Mainz had a miserable outing at Bayern last time out, though the consolation goal they notched in their 8-1 mauling was arguably the goal of the game. Midfielder Nadiem Amiri rifled in a long-range strike into the top corner from a free-kick routine to break his duck for the campaign, and he should have a kick in his step on Saturday as a result.

Amiri has been a hit at Mainz

Nadiem Amiri was unable to break into Xabi Alonso’s title-chasing juggernaut at Leverkusen this season, though the 27-year-old immediately grabbed the opportunity to become first-team fixture at Mainz on his arrival at the club in January. Averaging 2.7 shots and 1.7 tackles per game, Amiri has been right in the thick of the action for Mainz and he could be worth tracking again on Saturday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.