Highflying Mainz take on bottom club Bochum collide at the MEWA ARENA in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 11 January. Read our German football predictions for the game below.
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Mainz vs Bochum prediction: Back hosts to triumph
Key Stats
- Mainz have had won each of their last three Bundesliga matches on home soil.
- Mainz scored twice in each of their last two home fixtures in the league.
- Lee Jae-Sung scored twice in Mainz’s last home assignment against Bayern Munich.
- Bochum failed to notch in two of their last three away games in the Bundesliga.
Correct score prediction: Mainz 2-0 Bochum
Mainz have won five of their last six games in the Bundesliga and they hit two goals in two of their last three victories. Another brace – along with a clean sheet – looks like an achievable target for Mainz against bottom club Bochum.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Mainz offer the best value
- HOME: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Mainz surged up to 5th place in the Bundesliga table before the winter break following a fine run of results and they look like top value at 8/15 to win again at Bochum’s expense when the campaign resumes this weekend.
Bochum won for the first time this season in their last fixture before the winter break against Heidenheim (2-0), though they have just an 18.2% chance of repeating that feat here. Check out more of our latest football predictions on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Mainz have been in command
Mainz beat Bochum 2-0 when the teams last met in March 2024 and that was their third victory in four previous iterations of this fixture.
Germany Bundesliga I 16/03/24
Mainz
Bochum
Germany Bundesliga I 27/10/23
Bochum
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 28/01/23
Mainz
Bochum
Germany Bundesliga I 06/08/22
Bochum
Mainz
Germany DFB Pokal 18/01/22
Bochum
Mainz
Mainz preview: Amiri is serving a ban
Niklas Tauer, Stefan Bell and Jonathan Burkardt are all expected to miss out on Saturday while Nadiem Amiri is serving a ban and won't be involved either. Mainz showcased their confidence with a 3-1 win over Eintracht Frankfurt just before the winter break, a feat made all the more remarkable by their 21st-minute red card.
Predicted lineup: Zentner (GK), Da Costa, Jenz, Kohr, Caci, Sano, Barkok, Mwene, Nebel, Jae-Sung, Sieb
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
L
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Mainz
0
Germany Bundesliga I 05/04/25
D
Holstein Kiel
1
Mainz
1
Germany Bundesliga I 30/03/25
L
Borussia Dortmund
3
Mainz
1
Germany Bundesliga I 15/03/25
D
SC Freiburg
2
Mainz
2
Germany Bundesliga I 07/03/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
1
Mainz
3
Bochum preview: Miyoshi is still suspended
Koji Miyoshi is suspended and will sit out Saturday's clash while Gerrit Holtmann has a muscle issue and is also listed as a possible absentee. Bochum could stick with the same XI that beat Heidenheim 2-0 before the winter break.
Predicted lineup: Drewes (GK), Oermann, Ordets, Bernardo, Passlack, Bero, Losilla, Sissoko, Wittek, Hofmann, Broschinski
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
L
Augsburg
2
Bochum
1
Germany Bundesliga I 05/04/25
L
VfB Stuttgart
4
Bochum
0
Germany Bundesliga I 28/03/25
L
Bayer Leverkusen
3
Bochum
1
Europe Friendlies 20/03/25
W
SC Preussen Munster
2
Bochum
4
Germany Bundesliga I 16/03/25
L
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
Bochum
1
Player to watch – Paul Nebel
Paul Nebel started to crack the code from a position in attacking midfield for Mainz before the winter break and the 22-year-old will be determined to pick up where he left off when the campaign resumes this weekend.
Nebel is a potential match winner
Nebel hit four goals in four Bundesliga appearances in December from a more central position for Mainz and the youngster’s explosion to prominence has added an extra dimension to the team’s work in the final third. Look out for Nebel’s sharp finishing on Saturday.