Sparks will fly as Benfica and Nice draw swords in the third qualifying round of the UEFA Champions League at Estadio da Luz on Tuesday, 12 August 2025.
View our free Benfica vs Nice predictions below.
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Benfica vs Nice predictions: Hosts to reign supreme
Key stats
- Benfica won the first leg of this tie by two unanswered goals.
- Nice’s last seven games went below the 4.5-card threshold.
- While Benfica opened the scoring in five of their last six matches, Nice conceded first in four of their last five games.
Correct score prediction: Benfica 2-0 Nice
Benfica have won five of their last six matches across all competitions, defeating teams like Bayern Munich, Fenerbahce, Sporting Lisbon and Nice. They have also won both previous meetings between these teams without conceding.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Ahead of this skirmish, Benfica are the expected winners at 8/15 (1.53). Teams with these odds usually have a 65.2% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Benfica vs Nice predictions.
It is also worth mentioning that fewer than three goals were scored at the end of regulation time in Benfica's last four competitive matches. For this reason, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 11/10 (2.10). That one has a 47.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Benfica?
Nice have lost both previous encounters between these teams, conceding five goals without scoring.
UEFA Champions League Qualifying 06/08/25
Nice
Benfica
Europe Friendlies 15/07/22
Benfica
Nice
Benfica preview: A fair few absentees
Benfica are on course for a place in the playoff round of the UEFA Champions League as they have a two-goal advantage ahead of this encounter.
Summer signing Franjo Ivanovic got on the end of a Fredrik Aursnes cross shortly after halftime, putting the Portuguese side in front, before Florentino Luis’ long-range strike seized control of the tie late on.
The newly crowned Super Cup champions could be without midfielder Enzo Barrenechea, who sustained an injury last Wednesday.
While Bruma is suspended for this game, Kerem Akturkoglu, Alexander Bah and Manu Silva are ruled out due to injuries.
Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Dahl, Otamendi, Silva, Dedic, Schjelderup, Luis, Rios, Aursnes, Pavlidis & Ivanovic.
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
D
Sporting
1
Benfica
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25
W
Estoril
1
Benfica
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W
AVS
0
Benfica
6
Portugal Cup 23/04/25
W
FC Tirsense
0
Benfica
4
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
W
Guimaraes
0
Benfica
3
Nice preview: Plagued by injuries
Nice are having an injury crisis at the moment, with captain Dante forced off at half time on Wednesday, alongside key midfielder Morgan Sanson, who sustained a hamstring injury.
Mohamed Abdelmonem and Youssouf Ndayishimiye, with cruciate ligament injuries, are long-term absentees, while Moise Bombito, Mohamed-Ali Cho, Tanguy Ndombele and Ali Abdi are unavailable due to fitness troubles.
Terem Moffi, who missed a huge part of last season because of an ACL, is back in the fold. The Nigerian forward is expected to shoulder much of the team’s attacking threat this season alongside new arrival Isak Jansson, following the departure of forwards Evann Guessand and Gaetan Laborde this summer.
Predicted lineup: Diouf (GK), Mendy, Bah, Dante, Clauss, Boudaoui, Louchet, Bard, Bouanani, Moffi & Jansson.
France Ligue 1 10/05/25
L
Rennes
2
Nice
0
France Ligue 1 02/05/25
W
Reims
0
Nice
1
France Ligue 1 25/04/25
W
PSG
1
Nice
3
France Ligue 1 20/04/25
W
Angers
1
Nice
2
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
D
Strasbourg
2
Nice
2
Player to watch: Franjo Ivanovic
Franjo Ivanovic joined Benfica from Union Saint-Gilloise just over a week ago and opened the scoring on his debut in the first leg of this tie. The Croatian forward has six goals and two assists in his last seven competitive appearances for club and country. It will be interesting to see how he performs on Tuesday night.