Benfica will take on Fenerbahce in the second leg of the UEFA Champions League playoffs on Wednesday, 27 August.
The match is a big one for both clubs and managers, but particularly for Jose Mourinho, who is set to return to his home country looking to book a place in the competition that his career has been built on.
After a 0-0 draw in the first leg last week, it is all to play for Portugal, and both teams will fancy their chances. As part of this week's round of Champions League betting tips, check out our Benfica vs Fenerbahce prediction below.
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Benfica vs Fenerbahce prediction: Mourinho masterclass incoming
Key Stats
- Fenerbahce have won or drawn 15 of their last 17 away matches in all competitions.
- Benfica have won just two of their last seven home European matches.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in two of Fenerbahce's last three matches.
Correct score prediction: Benfica 1-1 Fenerbahce
We believe this game won't be resolved in 90 minutes, and for good reason. Mourinho is famed for setting his teams up not to lose in big European away matches, and while his success rate isn't as good as it once was, his Fenerbahce team did a pretty good job of it last season. Benfica, meanwhile, struggled against Fenerbahce last week, even before they went down to ten men.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica start as favourites
- HOME: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Benfica vs Fenerbahce odds are weighted in favour of the hosts, which only provides us with more value on our double chance prediction of Fenerbahce or draw. Ladbrokes have made Benfica the odds-on favourites, giving them a 62.5% chance of winning the match, while Fenerbahce have been given a 19% chance of getting the job done inside 90 minutes.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Benfica
Benfica have an impressive recent record against Fenerbahce and are unbeaten in their last five meetings with the Turkish club. Despite that, this current Fenerbahce team should take plenty of encouragement from last week. The match may have finished 0-0, but Mourinho's men were the better team on the night and had plenty of chances to win it.
UEFA Champions League Qualifying 20/08/25
Fenerbahce
Benfica
Europe Friendlies 26/07/25
Benfica
Fenerbahce
UEFA Champions League Qualifying 14/08/18
Fenerbahce
Benfica
UEFA Champions League Qualifying 07/08/18
Benfica
Fenerbahce
Benfica preview: Florentino misses out
Benfica will be without midfielder Florentino for the match against Fenerbahce, after he was sent off in the first leg. He isn't the only absentee for the hosts, with Bruma, Alexander Bah and Manu Silva all in the treatment room.
Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Dedic, Silva, Otamendi, Dahl, Barrenechea, Rios, Barreiro, Aursnes, Pavlidis, Akturkoglu
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
D
Sporting
1
Benfica
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25
W
Estoril
1
Benfica
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W
AVS
0
Benfica
6
Portugal Cup 23/04/25
W
FC Tirsense
0
Benfica
4
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
W
Guimaraes
0
Benfica
3
Fenerbahce preview: Mourinho to welcome Oosterwolde back
Jose Mourinho will be desperate to get the win on Wednesday night, and he will be delighted to be able to recall Jayden Oosterwolde to his starting XI after the defender missed their league clash at the weekend through suspension. The Special One will be without Mert Hakan Yandas, Cenk Tosun and Rodrigo Becao due to injuries.
Predicted lineup: Egribayat (GK), Muldur, Skirniar, Oosterwolde, Semedo, Fred, Amrabat, Brown, Szymanski, Duran, En-Nesyri
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 09/05/25
W
Istanbul Basaksehir
1
Fenerbahce
4
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 04/05/25
L
Besiktas
1
Fenerbahce
0
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 26/04/25
W
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
1
Fenerbahce
3
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 20/04/25
D
Kayserispor
3
Fenerbahce
3
Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 13/04/25
W
Sivasspor
1
Fenerbahce
3
Player to watch: Jhon Duran
Anyone who watched Aston Villa a couple of years ago will know all about the talent that Jhon Duran possesses, and it's great to see him back in European football after a stint in Saudi Arabia. The Colombian scored his first goal for Fenerbahce in the previous round against Feyenoord and would love to get another this Thursday.