Barcelona take a 1-0 advantage into the second leg of their Champions League tie against Benfica. Our Barcelona vs Benfica prediction and Champions League betting tips consider whether the Catalans can finish the job on Tuesday night.
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Barcelona vs Benfica prediction: Raphinha to score in home win
Key stats
- Our Barcelona vs Benfica betting tips take into account that six of the home team’s last 10 matches have produced over 3.5 goals.
- Barca have scored 3.50 goals per home game on average in the Champions League this term.
- It’s just three wins in nine Champions League outings for Benfica, with four defeats over that period.
Correct score prediction: Barcelona 3-1 Benfica
Having played against 10 men for more than an hour at home last week, Benfica will already feel as though their best opportunity has passed in this tie.
Barca needed some excellent saves from Wojciech Szczesny to preserve their advantage in Lisbon last week, but back with their full quota of 11 players at home, they should have too much attacking quality for their Portuguese opponents.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Barca the red hot favourites
- HOME: 7/20 (1.35) – 74.1%
- DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
- AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Barcelona vs Benfica odds, with an implied probability of 74.1% that they win this match.
Their weekend game was postponed following the sudden death of their club doctor, so they’ve not played since the first leg which was settled by a long-range strike from Raphinha.
Benfica were in domestic action at the weekend, beating Nacional 3-0 with Zeki Amdouni scoring first.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Barca targeting third win of the season
Our Barcelona vs Benfica prediction suggests the Catalans will win, as was the case in the two previous meetings this term, both of which were in Lisbon.
The last two clashes in Barcelona, both ended in 0-0 draws in 2012 and 2021.
UEFA Champions League 05/03/25
Benfica
Barcelona
UEFA Champions League 21/01/25
Benfica
Barcelona
UEFA Champions League 23/11/21
Barcelona
Benfica
UEFA Champions League 29/09/21
Benfica
Barcelona
Barcelona preview: Cubarsi serves ban
There’s no Pau Cubarsi for the hosts following his sending off last week. Marc Bernal, Andreas Christensen and Marc-Andre ter Stegen are out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Szczesny (GK), Balde, Martinez, Araujo, Kounde, Pedri, De Jong, Raphinha, Olmo, Yamal & Lewandowski
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
W Real Madrid 3 Barcelona 4 UEFA Champions League 06/05/25
L Inter Milan 4 Barcelona 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W Valladolid 1 Barcelona 2 UEFA Champions League 30/04/25
D Inter Milan 3 Barcelona 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25
W Real Madrid 2 Barcelona 3
Benfica preview: Carreras suspended for the visitors
Alvaro Carreras is banned for the visitors after his first-leg booking. Alexander Bah and Angel Di Maria are also expected to be out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Trubin (GK), Santos, Otamendi, Silva, Dahl, Aursnes, Barreiro, Kokcu, Akturkoglu, Pavlidis & Schjelderup
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
D Sporting 1 Benfica 1 Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25
W Estoril 1 Benfica 2 Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W AVS 0 Benfica 6 Portugal Cup 23/04/25
W FC Tirsense 0 Benfica 4 Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
W Guimaraes 0 Benfica 3
Player to watch – Raphinha
Raphinha is having an exceptional season for Barcelona, particularly in this competition. Three of his nine Champions League goals this term have come against Benfica.
Raphinha striking after the break
68% of the Brazilian’s goals this season in all competitions have come in the second half. He has scored three times in the Champions League in the 15-minute interval immediately following the break.