Benfica vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 02/10/2024

Benfica vs Atletico Madrid prediction
The Atletico Madrid players celebrate their late equaliser in the Madrid derby - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

BTTS - Yes

Both teams have scored in four of Benfica's last five fixtures.

Atletico Madrid make the trip to Portugal on Wednesday night to face Benfica in the Champions League and we're bringing you our tips and predictions for the game.

Benfica vs Atletico Madrid prediction: No clean sheets expected?

Key Stats

  • Three of Atletico Madrid's last four matches have ended with both teams scoring.
  • Both teams scored in the two previous meetings between Benfica and Atletico.
  • Benfica are unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions.
  • Atletico Madrid haven't lost any of their last six matches and two of their last three outings have ended in draws.

Correct score prediction: Benfica 1-1 Atletico Madrid

With both of these teams in good form right now and both winning their opening Champions League ties, we're backing the pair to cancel one another out on Wednesday night. Four of the visitors' last six matches have produced under 2.5 goals, so we're backing this game to end in a 1-1 draw.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico the slight favourite

  • HOME: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 16/11 (2.45) – 40.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Atletico Madrid are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 40.7% but we are predicting a tight and tense 90 minutes between the two clubs.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: All square

These two teams have met twice before, back in 2015 in the Champions League, where each side claimed a 2-1 away win against the other.

UEFA Champions League 08/12/15

Benfica

Benfica

1
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

UEFA Champions League 30/09/15

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1
Benfica

Benfica

2

Benfica preview: Unbeaten since opening day loss

Benfica were in fine form over the weekend when they played host to Gil Vicente and claimed their biggest win of the season.

Despite falling behind early on, five different players scored for the hosts as Benfica claimed a 5-1 victory on Saturday.

Midfielders Renato Sanches and Tiago Gouveia could miss the Atletico game through injury just as they missed the win against Gil Vicente.

Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Otamendi, Araujo, Silva, Fernandez, Di María, Aursnes, Florentino, Kokcu, Pavlidis & Akturkoglu

UEFA Champions League 02/10/24

W

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Benfica

Benfica

4

Portugal Primeira Liga 28/09/24

W

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

1

Benfica

Benfica

5

Portugal Primeira Liga 23/09/24

W

Boavista

Boavista

0

Benfica

Benfica

3

UEFA Champions League 19/09/24

W

Crvena Zvezda

Crvena Zvezda

1

Benfica

Benfica

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 14/09/24

W

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

1

Benfica

Benfica

4

Atletico Madrid preview: Yet to taste defeat

Diego Simone's side continued their unbeaten run in all competitions when they took on Real Madrid on Sunday.

A heated game had to be abandoned for 16 minutes due to the Atletico fans throwing objects onto the pitch but the match was able to be completed and ended with the hosts scoring a dramatic late equaliser against their arch rivals.

Cesar Azpilicueta and Pablo Barrios are the two main injury concerns for the visitors ahead of their trip to Lisbon on Wednesday night.

Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Gimenez, Reinildo, Le Normand, Molina, De Paul, Llorente, Gallagher, Griezmann, Sorloth & Alvarez

UEFA Champions League 02/10/24

L

Benfica

Benfica

4

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 29/09/24

D

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 26/09/24

W

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 22/09/24

D

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

UEFA Champions League 19/09/24

W

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2

Player to watch: Antoine Griezmann

Antoine Griezmann continues to produce the goods for Atletico Madrid and his positive start to the 2024/25 campaign is the main reason that we have selected the French international as our player to watch against Benfica.

Antoine Griezmann player to watch
Antoine Griezmann in action against Real Madrid – Photo by Imago

Griezmann, 33, has three goals and four assists in all competitions which has helped guide the Spanish side to third place in the La Liga table as well as a victory against RB Leipzig in the Champions League.

Atletico's veteran forward has made a good start to the season

Griezmann enjoyed his best goals return last season since his first spell with Atletico between 2014-2019, scoring 24 goals in all competitions and has made a good start to the current campaign.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things