Fresh from a 3-1 defeat at the hands of Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League, Bayern Munich will look to get back to winning ways when they welcome struggling St Pauli in their latest Bundesliga encounter this weekend.
Vincent Kompany's team are top of the Bundesliga standings with 31 points after 11 fixtures, while the visitors are in the relegation playoff zone after amassing seven points from the same number of matches.
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Bayern Munich vs St Pauli predictions: Bayern out to set records
Key stats
- Bayern suffered their first loss of the season against Arsenal in the Champions League.
- Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 11 league matches so far (W10, D1).
- The last 22 games involving the hosts returned at least three total goals.
- Bayern have scored at least 2+ goals in their last 19 league encounters.
- The visitors have lost eight straight league matches, failing to score in five of the last six.
Correct score prediction: Bayern Munich 4-0 St Pauli
Vincent Kompany and his Bayern Munich team have dominated the Bundesliga and Europe until they suffered a 3-1 loss to Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League, a loss which is their first since the start of the 2025-26 campaign.
Having said that, they will be looking to respond to that defeat and ultimately look to extend their unbeaten run in the German top division, while also setting some records along the way. Therefore, we are backing Bayern Munich to claim a comprehensive 4-0 win over St Pauli.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 1/9 (1.11) – 90.0%
- DRAW: 9/1 (10.0) – 10.0%
- AWAY: 18/1 (19.0) – 5.3%
**Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It is not surprising that the bookies have queued behind Bayern Munich, given the form they have shown in the domestic competition. Despite their setback in midweek, they are highly favoured to earn a victory on Saturday, with odds of 1/9 (1.11), which implies a 90.0% chance for the hosts.
The visitors have little or no chance, going by the projections of the bookmakers, and with 18/1 (19.0), which leaves a 5.3% probability for them to claim an unlikely victory.
Most recent H2Hs: The Bavarians have dominated the visitors
The Bavarians have won the last six head-to-head fixtures, four of which they recorded in front of their fans, and they scored no fewer than three goals in three of those matches.
Germany Bundesliga I 29/03/25
Bayern Munich
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga I 09/11/24
St Pauli
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Preview: Should be business as usual for the hosts
Having won 10 Bundesliga fixtures, with one draw from 11 fixtures, this contest is more than likely to be a walk in the park for the German champions against a struggling St Pauli side.
However, they have to do that without the duo of Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies, both of whom are currently sidelined with injuries.
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Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Tah, Upamecano, Laimer, Stanisic, Goretzka, Kimmich, Diaz, Gnabry, Olise & Kane
Last five matches
- Arsenal 3 -1 Bayern Munich
- Bayern Munich 6-2 Freiburg
- Union Berlin 2-2 Bayern Munich
- PSG 1- 2 Bayern Munich
- Bayern Munich 3-0 Leverkusen
St Pauli preview: Can the visitors pull an upset?
Having lost their last eight consecutive matches in the German top flight, the visitors will have their work cut out against the home side. That said, they could draw some inspiration from the loss of their more illustrious opponents, as it shows that they are not infallible.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Wahl, Smith, Mets, Metcalfe, Fujita, Oppie, Sands, Irvine, Hountoundji & Pereira Lage
Last five matches
- St Pauli 0-1 Union Berlin
- Freiburg 2- 1 St Pauli
- St Pauli 0-4 Monchengladbach
- St Pauli 3- 2 Hoffenheim
- Frankfurt 2-0 St Pauli
Player to watch: Lennart Karl
Lennart Karl has been the breakout star for the Bavarians this season, and he has been paying back the faith Vincent Kompany has in him with goals, including his side's solitary goal in the 3-1 defeat to Arsenal in the Champions League.
Lennart Karl is the new kid on the block for Bayern Munich. Photo – Imago | Credit: Sportimage