Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction, odds & betting tips – 08/05/2024

Real Madrid
08/05/24 - 20:00

Finished

2

-

1

Bayern Munich

Real Madrid - Bayern Munich

UEFA Champions League - Santiago Bernabeu

2nd Round

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction
Rodrygo and Leroy Sane battle for the ball in Munich – Photo by Icon Sport

Here are our Champions League predictions for Wednesday's semi-final second leg between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich.

This tie is finely poised following the pair's 2-2 draw in Munich last week, but it is the hosts Real Madrid that head into the deciding leg as the bookmakers' favourites to progress through to the final.

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich predictions: Home win on the cards for Real

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Real Madrid to Win

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern Munich

⬆️ Over 2.5 Goals prediction

Yes

Key Stats

  • Real Madrid have won four of their last seven competitive and non-competitive matches against Bayern Munich.
  • The home side head into Wednesday's clash on the back of four wins from their last six fixtures.
  • The hosts have scored at least two goals in three of their last four matches
  • Bayern have scored at least one goal in each of their last six outings but have also conceded at least two goals in each of their last two games.
  • Three of Real's and each of Bayern's last four outings have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Each of the last six H2Hs have also witnessed at least three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Real the clear favourite with the bookmakers

  • HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Real Madrid are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 52.4%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this one.

Wednesday's hosts claimed a 3-0 home win against Cadiz at the weekend, while on the very same day Bayern lost 3-1 at Stuttgart in the Bundesliga.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Real's Vinicius Junior is the favourite to score on Wednesday night at 7/5 (2.40) which has a probability of 41.7%, but if you want to back a Bayern goalscorer then Harry Kane is priced at 33/20 (2.65) with a probability of 37.7%.

Last five H2Hs: Bayern behind

UEFA Champions League 30/04/24

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Elite Club Friendlies 21/07/19

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

UEFA Champions League 01/05/18

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

UEFA Champions League 25/04/18

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

1
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

UEFA Champions League 18/04/17

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

Real Madrid have won nine, drawn three and lost eight of their 20 previous meetings with Bayern across all competitions, including friendlies.

Team news and form guide

Real Madrid: Won four of last six

Former Bayern Munich star David Alaba is the main injury concern for the hosts due to an ACL injury he picked up in December.

Predicted lineup: Lunin (GK), Nacho, Rüdiger, Mendy, Kroos, Vázquez, Valverde, Tchouaméni, Bellingham, Júnior & Rodrygo

UEFA Champions League 01/06/24

W

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

D

Villarreal

Villarreal

4

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24

W

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

5

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

W

Granada

Granada

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Bayern Munich: Lost last away game

Raphael Guerreiro, Kingsley Coman, Sacha Boey, Bouna Sarr and Tarek Buchmann all look set to miss the second leg against Real Madrid due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Dier, Mazraoui, Kim, Goretzka, Kimmich, Laimer, Müller, Kane, Sané & Gnabry

Germany Bundesliga I 18/05/24

L

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

4

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

Germany Bundesliga I 12/05/24

W

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

0

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

UEFA Champions League 08/05/24

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

1

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/24

L

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

3

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

1

UEFA Champions League 30/04/24

D

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

Player to watch – Jude Bellingham

Real Madrid's young star Jude Bellingham had an eventful first leg against Bayern Munich, providing one of the post-match talking points after he attempted to put off his England teammate Harry Kane before his penalty.

Jude Bellingham player to watch
Jude Bellingham of Real Madrid bringing the ball forward- Photo by Icon Sport

While Bellingham was unable to throw the England captain off his game, we still expect the former Birmingham City midfielder to have the last laugh on Wednesday night. With four goals and four assists in the Champions League this season, Bellingham has been a standout player for the Spanish giants in his debut season with the club.

Bellingham is having a dream first season with Real

Don't be surprised to see Bellingham score or create a goal against Bayern Munich this week as he is our player to watch on Wednesday night in what we are predicting to be a narrow 2-1 win for the home side.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Real Madrid

Bayern Munich


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.