Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction, odds & betting tips – 08/05/2024

08/05/24 - 20:00

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Real Madrid - Bayern Munich

UEFA Champions League - Santiago Bernabeu

2nd Round

Here are our Champions League predictions for Wednesday's semi-final second leg between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich.

This tie is finely poised following the pair's 2-2 draw in Munich last week, but it is the hosts Real Madrid that head into the deciding leg as the bookmakers' favourites to progress through to the final.

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich predictions: Home win on the cards for Real

Key Stats

• Real Madrid have won four of their last seven competitive and non-competitive matches against Bayern Munich.
• The home side head into Wednesday's clash on the back of four wins from their last six fixtures.
• The hosts have scored at least two goals in three of their last four matches
• Bayern have scored at least one goal in each of their last six outings but have also conceded at least two goals in each of their last two games.
• Three of Real's and each of Bayern's last four outings have produced over 2.5 goals.
• Each of the last six H2Hs have also witnessed at least three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Real the clear favourite with the bookmakers

• HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
• DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
• AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Real Madrid are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 52.4%, and we agree with the bookmakers on this one.

Wednesday's hosts claimed a 3-0 home win against Cadiz at the weekend, while on the very same day Bayern lost 3-1 at Stuttgart in the Bundesliga.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. Real's Vinicius Junior is the favourite to score on Wednesday night at 7/5 (2.40) which has a probability of 41.7%, but if you want to back a Bayern goalscorer then Harry Kane is priced at 33/20 (2.65) with a probability of 37.7%.

Last five H2Hs: Bayern behind

UEFA Champions League 30/04/24

Bayern Munich

2

Real Madrid

2

Elite Club Friendlies 21/07/19

Bayern Munich

3

Real Madrid

1

UEFA Champions League 01/05/18

Real Madrid

2

Bayern Munich

2

UEFA Champions League 25/04/18

Bayern Munich

1

Real Madrid

2

UEFA Champions League 18/04/17

Real Madrid

4

Bayern Munich

2

Real Madrid have won nine, drawn three and lost eight of their 20 previous meetings with Bayern across all competitions, including friendlies.

Team news and form guide

Real Madrid: Won four of last six

Former Bayern Munich star David Alaba is the main injury concern for the hosts due to an ACL injury he picked up in December.

Predicted lineup: Lunin (GK), Nacho, Rüdiger, Mendy, Kroos, Vázquez, Valverde, Tchouaméni, Bellingham, Júnior & Rodrygo

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

L

Barcelona

4

Real Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

W

Celta Vigo

2

Real Madrid

3

Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25

L

Barcelona

3

Real Madrid

2

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

W

Getafe

0

Real Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

0

Real Madrid

1

Bayern Munich: Lost last away game

Raphael Guerreiro, Kingsley Coman, Sacha Boey, Bouna Sarr and Tarek Buchmann all look set to miss the second leg against Real Madrid due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Dier, Mazraoui, Kim, Goretzka, Kimmich, Laimer, Müller, Kane, Sané & Gnabry

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

0

Bayern Munich

2

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

RB Leipzig

3

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

Mainz

0

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

W

Heidenheim

0

Bayern Munich

4

UEFA Champions League 16/04/25

D

Inter Milan

2

Bayern Munich

2

Player to watch – Jude Bellingham

Real Madrid's young star Jude Bellingham had an eventful first leg against Bayern Munich, providing one of the post-match talking points after he attempted to put off his England teammate Harry Kane before his penalty.

While Bellingham was unable to throw the England captain off his game, we still expect the former Birmingham City midfielder to have the last laugh on Wednesday night. With four goals and four assists in the Champions League this season, Bellingham has been a standout player for the Spanish giants in his debut season with the club.

Bellingham is having a dream first season with Real

Don't be surprised to see Bellingham score or create a goal against Bayern Munich this week as he is our player to watch on Wednesday night in what we are predicting to be a narrow 2-1 win for the home side.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Real Madrid

? ADMIN CAM: Our first leg goals! ?
? @ViniJr
? @FCBayernEN#UCL pic.twitter.com/DTl9hF7NAp

— Real Madrid C.F. ???? (@realmadriden) May 8, 2024

Bayern Munich

Buenos días from Madrid! ?

Have you got your Bayern gear ready for tonight? ?⚪#MiaSanMia #UCL #RMAFCB pic.twitter.com/v7ajb9zqNl

— FC Bayern Munich (@FCBayernEN) May 8, 2024