Bayern Munich aim for their first trophy this season as they host RB Leipzig at the Allianz Arena on Wednesday evening for a highly anticipated DFB Pokal quarter-final match.
Bayern Munich have shown signs of inconsistency in recent Bundesliga action, claiming just one win from their last three league matches, alongside a draw and a defeat.
However, they responded ruthlessly at the weekend, dismantling Hoffenheim 5–1 at home to reassert their authority. With Vincent Kompany guiding them toward what looks like a second consecutive league title, attention is also turning to the DFB-Pokal.
Despite their sustained domestic strength, the Bavarians have failed to progress beyond the quarter-finals in the cup since that success, yet they enter this campaign as strong favourites to end that run and go all the way.
RB Leipzig remain firmly in the hunt for a top-four Bundesliga finish and a return to Champions League football. Like their opponents, they ended a brief winless league spell on Sunday, edging past Cologne 2–1 to leapfrog Stuttgart into fourth place.
Leipzig’s pedigree in this competition is well established, having lifted the DFB-Pokal in both 2022 and 2023 and reached at least the semi-finals in five of the last seven seasons.
They travel to Munich in a confident mood too, having lost just three of their 13 away matches in all competitions this term, with seven wins and three draws on the road.
Read our Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other DFB Pokal predictions.
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Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig prediction: Home team to win
Key statistics
- Harry Kane has scored five goals for Bayern Munich in the DFB Pokal.
- Bayern have won four of their last five meetings against Leipzig.
- Die Roten have scored three or more goals in four of their last five clashes with Leipzig.
Correct score prediction: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig
Bayern have been in solid form this season, despite recent setbacks and we expect the home team to secure a convincing victory in this quarter-final encounter.
We predict a 3-1 win for Bayern Munich based on their overwhelming attacking record at the Allianz Arena and their recent history of dominating this specific opponent.
The Bavarians have consistently found ways to exploit Leipzig and we believe their superior squad depth will be the deciding factor as the game progresses. We are confident they will outclass the visitors once again in this cup tie.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Bayern Munich are clear favourites
- Home: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
- Draw: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
- Away: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The bookmakers strongly favour Bayern Munich to take all three points, with odds of 1.30 implying a dominant 76.9% chance of a home win.
The draw is seen as a distant possibility at 5.50, reflecting an 18.2% probability. RB Leipzig are clear outsiders at 6.00, giving them just a 16.7% chance of pulling off an away victory.
Overall, the market expectation is firmly tilted towards a Bayern success, though Leipzig retain slim hopes of causing an upset.
Most recent head-to-head: Bayern dominate encounters
The history between these two sides has been heavily skewed in favour of the record champions in recent years. Looking at their last five encounters across all competitions, Bayern Munich have won four matches, while one game ended in a draw.
The most recent clash in January 2026 saw Vincent Kompany's side secure a dominant 5-1 victory, which followed an even more impressive 6-0 win in August 2025. RB Leipzig have found it incredibly difficult to contain the Bayern attack, failing to record a single victory against them since August 2023.
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After reviewing our key Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Bayern Munich preview: Clean bill of health
Bayern Munich head into this fixture with no injury concerns, giving the coaching staff a full squad to choose from and maximum flexibility in selection.
Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Stanisic, Upamecano, Tah, Davies, Kimmich, Pavlovic, Olise, Gnabry, Luis Diaz & Kane
Last five fixtures
- 08.02.26 – Bayern Munich 5–1 Hoffenheim
- 31.01.26 – Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern Munich
- 28.01.26 – PSV 1–2 Bayern Munich
- 24.01.26 – Bayern Munich 1–2 Augsburg
- 21.01.26 – Bayern Munich 2–0 Royale Union SG
RB Leipzig preview: Injury setbacks
RB Leipzig are dealing with several absentees. Ayodele Thomas, Castello Lukeba, Forzan Assan Ouedraogo and Viggo Gebel are all sidelined through injury, limiting the team, particularly in defence and midfield.
Predicted lineup: Gulacsi (GK), Henrichs, Orban, Diomande, Raum, Seiwald, Schlager, Baumgartner, Gruda, Romulo & Nusa
Last five fixtures
- 08.02.26 – FC Koln 1–2 RB Leipzig
- 31.01.26 – RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz
- 27.01.26 – St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig
- 24.01.26 – Heidenheim 0–3 RB Leipzig
- 17.01.26 – RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern Munich
Player to watch: Harry Kane
Harry Kane is the essential player to watch for Bayern Munich as he continues to lead the scoring charts with remarkable consistency. The English captain has been in exceptional form this season.
He has scored five goals in his last five games for Bayern and he is currently the top scorer in the DFB Pokal and the Bundesliga. His ability to finish clinically from inside and outside the box makes him the primary threat that the Leipzig defence must neutralise.