Bayern Munich vs Mainz prediction
Bayern Munich could clinch the Bundesliga title with a win over Mainz. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Bayern to win & over 2.5 total goals

Bayern Munich have won 22 Bundesliga fixtures this season and have been scoring an average of 2.90 goals per league game since August.

Bayern Munich and Mainz go head-to-head for three points at the Allianz Arena in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 26 April. Read our German football predictions for the contest below.

Bayern Munich vs Mainz prediction: No slip-ups expected from hosts

Key Stats

  • 77% of Bayern Munich’s Bundesliga fixtures this season have featured over 2.5 goals.
  • Mainz have scored at least once in four of their last five away assignments in the division.
  • Bayern Munich have been winning an average of 6.70 corners per game in the Bundesliga this season.
  • Harry Kane has scored Bayern Munich’s first goal in nine separate league games this season.

Correct score prediction: Bayern Munich 3-1 Mainz

Bayern Munich have been averaging just shy of three goals per home game in the Bundesliga this season and with the German title almost in sight, Die Roten are likely to see off Mainz in typically comfortable style.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern are odds-on favourites

  • HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
  • DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
  • AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bayern Munich will seal the Bundesliga title this weekend if they beat Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen fail to win against Augsburg, and the champions-elect have an 81.8% chance of holding up their end of the bargain.

Mainz are in the midst of a five-game winless run, and they have just a 9.1% chance of snapping that sequence with an unexpected win at Bayern Munich. View more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Bayern out for revenge

Bayern Munich lost their reverse league encounter with Mainz 2-1. However, they won three successive meetings between the clubs before that, netting 15 times along the way.

Germany Bundesliga I 14/12/24

Mainz

Mainz

2
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

1

Germany DFB Pokal 30/10/24

Mainz

Mainz

0
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

4

Germany Bundesliga I 09/03/24

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

8
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 21/10/23

Mainz

Mainz

1
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 22/04/23

Mainz

Mainz

3
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

1

Bayern Munich preview: Defensive issues for hosts

Manuel Neuer, Tarek Buchmann, Jamal Musiala, Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies and Hiroki Ito are all out through injury. Youngster Jonas Urbig should continue in goal while Eric Dier and Josip Stanisic could be partnered again at centre-half.

Predicted lineup: Urbig (GK), Laimer, Dier, Stanisic, Guerreiro, Kimmich, Pavlovic, Olise, Gnabry, Coman, Kane

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

Borussia M'gladbach

0

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

Mainz

Mainz

0

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

W

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

0

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

4

UEFA Champions League 16/04/25

D

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

2

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

Mainz preview: Mwene still sidelined

Philipp Mwene and Maxim Leitsch are out for Mainz, though schemer Paul Nebel should be free to feature again following suspension. Mainz are just two points off fourth place, though some poor late-season form is threatening to derail their European qualification hopes.

Predicted lineup Zentner (GK), Da Costa, Jenz, Kohr, Caci, Sano, Amiri, Veratsching, Jae-Sung, Burkardt, Weiper

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

W

Bochum

Bochum

1

Mainz

Mainz

4

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25

D

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

1

Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

L

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

Mainz

Mainz

0

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

Mainz

Mainz

2

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

L

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Mainz

Mainz

0

Player to watch – Serge Gnabry

Serge Gnabry has been troubled by injury issues this season and though the German international started for only the 10th time in the Bundesliga last weekend, he showcased his class against Heidenheim by grabbing an assist.

Bayern Munich vs Mainz prediction
Serge Gnabry can pull the strings in the final third for Bayern Munich. (Photo by Imago)

Creative Gnabry can be influential

Gnabry has completed just 980 minutes in the Bundesliga this season, though he did provide six goals and four assists during that time, chipping in with a goal involvement every 98 minutes for Bayern overall. The savvy operator could be a menace in the final third again against Mainz.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.