Bayern Munich and Mainz go head-to-head for three points at the Allianz Arena in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 26 April. Read our German football predictions for the contest below.
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Bayern Munich vs Mainz prediction: No slip-ups expected from hosts
Key Stats
- 77% of Bayern Munich’s Bundesliga fixtures this season have featured over 2.5 goals.
- Mainz have scored at least once in four of their last five away assignments in the division.
- Bayern Munich have been winning an average of 6.70 corners per game in the Bundesliga this season.
- Harry Kane has scored Bayern Munich’s first goal in nine separate league games this season.
Correct score prediction: Bayern Munich 3-1 Mainz
Bayern Munich have been averaging just shy of three goals per home game in the Bundesliga this season and with the German title almost in sight, Die Roten are likely to see off Mainz in typically comfortable style.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern are odds-on favourites
- HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
- DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
- AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Bayern Munich will seal the Bundesliga title this weekend if they beat Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen fail to win against Augsburg, and the champions-elect have an 81.8% chance of holding up their end of the bargain.
Mainz are in the midst of a five-game winless run, and they have just a 9.1% chance of snapping that sequence with an unexpected win at Bayern Munich. View more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Bayern out for revenge
Bayern Munich lost their reverse league encounter with Mainz 2-1. However, they won three successive meetings between the clubs before that, netting 15 times along the way.
Germany Bundesliga I 14/12/24
Mainz
Bayern Munich
Germany DFB Pokal 30/10/24
Mainz
Bayern Munich
Germany Bundesliga I 09/03/24
Bayern Munich
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 21/10/23
Mainz
Bayern Munich
Germany Bundesliga I 22/04/23
Mainz
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich preview: Defensive issues for hosts
Manuel Neuer, Tarek Buchmann, Jamal Musiala, Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies and Hiroki Ito are all out through injury. Youngster Jonas Urbig should continue in goal while Eric Dier and Josip Stanisic could be partnered again at centre-half.
Predicted lineup: Urbig (GK), Laimer, Dier, Stanisic, Guerreiro, Kimmich, Pavlovic, Olise, Gnabry, Coman, Kane
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
0
Bayern Munich
2
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
D
RB Leipzig
3
Bayern Munich
3
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
W
Mainz
0
Bayern Munich
3
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
W
Heidenheim
0
Bayern Munich
4
UEFA Champions League 16/04/25
D
Inter Milan
2
Bayern Munich
2
Mainz preview: Mwene still sidelined
Philipp Mwene and Maxim Leitsch are out for Mainz, though schemer Paul Nebel should be free to feature again following suspension. Mainz are just two points off fourth place, though some poor late-season form is threatening to derail their European qualification hopes.
Predicted lineup Zentner (GK), Da Costa, Jenz, Kohr, Caci, Sano, Amiri, Veratsching, Jae-Sung, Burkardt, Weiper
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
W
Bochum
1
Mainz
4
Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25
D
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Mainz
1
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
L
Bayern Munich
3
Mainz
0
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
D
Wolfsburg
2
Mainz
2
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
L
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Mainz
0
Player to watch – Serge Gnabry
Serge Gnabry has been troubled by injury issues this season and though the German international started for only the 10th time in the Bundesliga last weekend, he showcased his class against Heidenheim by grabbing an assist.
Creative Gnabry can be influential
Gnabry has completed just 980 minutes in the Bundesliga this season, though he did provide six goals and four assists during that time, chipping in with a goal involvement every 98 minutes for Bayern overall. The savvy operator could be a menace in the final third again against Mainz.
