Reigning Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich face newly-promoted Hamburger SV at the Allianz Arena on Saturday, 13 September, in a classic top-versus-bottom clash, where the hosts are heavily favored to claim victory.
Keep close tabs on Bundesliga predictions after viewing our key Bayern Munich vs Hamburg tips below.
Contents
Bayern Munich vs Hamburg prediction: Die Roten to treat home faithful to another rout?
Key stats
- Bayern Munich have netted 14 goals in their opening four games of the season.
- The Bavarians registered 20 shots on target in the first two Bundesliga matchdays.
- Hamburg are yet to find the back of the net this league season.
- Die Rothosen are undefeated in four of their last five competitive away games.
Correct score prediction: Bayern Munich 5-1 Hamburg
Despite a spirited challenge from local Bavarian rivals Augsburg, who scored two late goals in an eventual 3-2 loss, Bayern Munich reaffirmed their status as the league’s dominant force. With nine goals in their first two league matches, Vincent Kompany’s Roten are strong favourites to extend their unbeaten start to five games this campaign.
Their opponents, Hamburg, could hardly offer a starker contrast. One of the only two sides, alongside Borussia Monchengladbach, yet to score a league goal, Merlin Polzin’s newly-promoted team face a daunting trip to the Allianz Arena, where they’ve lost each of their last four trips by conceding at least five goals.
Given Bayern’s relentless firepower and Hamburg’s attacking struggles, the reigning champions are poised to deliver another commanding, high-scoring victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: As polar as odds can get
- HOME: 1/14 (1.07) – 93.4%
- DRAW: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.6%
- AWAY: 22/1 (23.00) – 4.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
With home advantage and an impeccable H2H record in their favour, Bayern are cler favourites to take the cake here. With odds of 1/14 (1.07), suggesting a 93.4% chance of victory, it’s clear who carries the advantage.
Meanwhile, Hamburg are looking to score for the first time this league season, which may not be far-fetched after all. Priced at 22/1 (23.00), the visitors possess a meagre 4.3% win probability rate.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Bayern vs Hamburg predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: First meeting since 2018
Bayern have come out on top regularly against Hamburg, with an aggregate score of 51-3 in their last nine matches at the Allianz Arena. The hosts have won each of their last eight competitive H2Hs, while Hamburg’s previous win over the German champions arrived in September 2009.
Elite Club Friendlies 15/08/18
Hamburg
Bayern Munich
Germany Bundesliga I 10/03/18
Bayern Munich
Hamburg
Germany Bundesliga I 21/10/17
Hamburg
Bayern Munich
Germany Bundesliga I 25/02/17
Bayern Munich
Hamburg
Germany Bundesliga I 24/09/16
Hamburg
Bayern Munich
Bayern preview: Attacking firepower on show
Kompany’s absentees are Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies. Hiroki Ito and Tom Bischoff are also sidelined for this encounter.
Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Stanisic, Goretzka, Kimmich, Diaz, Gnabry, Olise & Kane
Last five matches:
- Augsburg 2-3 Bayern (Bundesliga)
- Wehen 1-3 Bayern (DFB Pokal)
- Bayern 6-0 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)
- Stuttgart 1-2 Bayern (German Super Cup)
- Grasshoppers 1-2 Bayern (Club Friendly)
Hamburg preview: Can they avoid another heavy defeat?
Right-back Giorgi Gocholeoshvili remains suspended after his red card in the 2-0 loss to St. Pauli, while Hannes Hermann and Immanuel Pherai are both ruled out with fitness issues.
Predicted lineup: Fernandes (GK), Toru, Elfadli, Omari, Mikelbrencis, Remberg, Capaldo, Muheim, Vieira, Dompe & Konigsdorffe
Last five matches:
- Hamburg 1-3 Hannover (Club Friendly)
- Hamburg 0-2 St. Pauli (Bundesliga)
- Borussia Monchengladbach 0-0 Hamburg (Bundesliga)
- Pirmasens 1-2 Hamburg (DFB Pokal)
- Mallorca 4-0 Hamburg (Club Friendly)
Player to watch: Luis Diaz
With three goals and two assists in his first four games, Luis Diaz is already impressing in Bayern Munich’s colours, The Colombia winger also stood out for his national team in the recent international break, providing two assists in two games against Bolivia and Venezuela respectively in the World Cup 2026 qualifiers.