Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/03/2025

Bayer Leverkusen will take on Bayern Munich on Tuesday, 11 March in the second leg of their Champions League Round of 16 tie.

The visitors come into this one with one foot in the quarter-finals after a dominant 3-0 victory in the first leg but will be wary of the qualities that Leverkusen pose, particularly at home.

As part of this week's round of Champions League betting tips, check out our Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich prediction below.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich prediction: A win on the night for the hosts, but nothing more

Key Stats

• Bayer Leverkusen have won two of their last three home matches against Bayern Munich.
• Bayern Munich have lost three of their five Champions League away matches this season.
• The four meetings between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen so far this season averaged 5.25 cards per game.

Correct score prediction: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Bayern Munich

Bayer Leverkusen have no choice but to throw caution to the wind on Tuesday night which should result in an open match and goals at both ends of the pitch. While we believe this approach will result in them winning the match on the night, it's difficult to imagine a scenario where Bayern Munich let a 3-0 lead evaporate.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern Munich given the slight edge

• HOME: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
• DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
• AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich odds illustrate just how evenly matched these two teams typically are, with the bookies pricing the match accordingly. Ladbrokes have made Bayern the narrowest of favourites and have given them a 40% chance of victory on the night while Bayer Leverkusen have been given a 38.5% chance of the win.

Check out our football tips page for more of the best Champions League predictions this week.

Most recent H2Hs: Leverkusen still have the better record

Bayern Munich's 3-0 win last week was an anomaly in the context of the recent head-to-head record between these two sides. Prior to that defeat at the Allianz Arena, Leverkusen were six matches unbeaten against Bayern Munich and they should still retain some confidence from that despite what happened last week.

UEFA Champions League 05/03/25

Bayern Munich

3

Bayer Leverkusen

0

Germany Bundesliga I 15/02/25

Bayer Leverkusen

0

Bayern Munich

0

Germany DFB Pokal 03/12/24

Bayern Munich

0

Bayer Leverkusen

1

Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24

Bayern Munich

1

Bayer Leverkusen

1

Germany Bundesliga I 10/02/24

Bayer Leverkusen

3

Bayern Munich

0

Bayer Leverkusen preview: A mountain too high?

Xabi Alonso has worked wonders at Bayer Leverkusen but this is almost certainly going to prove to be too big of a hurdle to navigate. Leverkusen did beat Bayern Munich 3-0 at the back end of last season and Alonso could do a lot worse than remind his players of that night before kick-off on Tuesday.

Predicted lineup: Kovar (GK), Tah, Hermoso, Hincapie, Gromaldo, Xhaka, Palacios, Frimpong, Tella, Adli, Schick

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

D

Union Berlin

0

Bayer Leverkusen

0

Germany Bundesliga I 05/04/25

W

Heidenheim

0

Bayer Leverkusen

1

Germany DFB Pokal 01/04/25

L

Arminia Bielefeld

2

Bayer Leverkusen

1

Germany Bundesliga I 28/03/25

W

Bochum

1

Bayer Leverkusen

3

Germany Bundesliga I 16/03/25

W

VfB Stuttgart

3

Bayer Leverkusen

4

Bayern Munich preview: Too experienced to let this slip

There are plenty of footballing heavyweights in the Bayern Munich squad so it feels impossible that they can let this lead slip on Tuesday. An early goal would mean Leverkusen need four goals to just force extra time and with their best attacking players fit and ready to go, it would be a shock if they went goalless.

Predicted lineup: Urbig (GK), Davies, Kim, Upamecano, Laimer, Goretzka, Kimmich, Coman, Musiala, Olise, Kane

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

D

Borussia Dortmund

2

Bayern Munich

2

UEFA Champions League 08/04/25

L

Inter Milan

2

Bayern Munich

1

Germany Bundesliga I 04/04/25

W

Augsburg

1

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 29/03/25

W

St Pauli

2

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 15/03/25

D

Union Berlin

1

Bayern Munich

1

Player to watch: Patrick Schick

If Leverkusen are to have any hope of turning this tie around then they are going to need an immaculate performance from their centre forward, Patrick Schick. The experienced Czeck forward has ousted Victor Boniface as the club's first-choice striker this season and has 21 goals his name so far. You will feel he will need to add to that tally on Tuesday for the hosts to make it interesting.