Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/10/2025
Bayer Leverkusen players celebrating || Imago
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Home to win

Leverkusen have won three of their last outing against Union Berlin.

The BayArena is set to host the Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin on Saturday. The Company XI currently sit sixth in the table with eight points following a 2-1 away victory over FC St. Pauli. However, they had to settle for a 1-1 draw with PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League.

The Iron Ones are currently sitting in 11th place on the table with seven points after playing a goalless draw against Hamburger SV at the weekend. They will look to overcome their poor start and get back to their best this weekend.

Read our Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Bundesliga predictions.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin prediction: Home team to win 

Key statistics

  • The host have won three of their last meetings with the visitors.
  • Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last five games.
  • They have failed to play BTTS in four of their last five meetings.

Correct score prediction: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Union Berlin

For this game, we are predicting a narrow but deserved 2-0 victory for Leverkusen. The home side have shown strong attacking quality, scoring ten goals in their first five league matches this season. 

Union Berlin are usually solid in defence, but Die Werkself are expected to be too strong, especially at the BayArena. If the host can find their rhythm, they are capable of breaking down Union Berlin’s defence.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Leverkusen given a clear advantage

  • Home: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
  • Draw: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
  • Away: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

The Company XI are the strong favourite with a 60.6% chance of winning at 1.65 odds, showing how strong they are when playing at home. A draw is priced at 4.00 with a 25.0% chance, while The Iron Ones are given 5.00 odds with only a 20.0% chance, underlining the expectation that the visitors will struggle against the quality of the home side.

Most recent head-to-head: Leverkusen dominate meetings

Looking at the most recent meetings, the last six head-to-head fixtures between the clubs have seen Kasper Hjulmand’s team claim four victories and secure two draws, meaning Steffen Baumgart’s side has failed to win any of those encounters. 

The last meeting ended in a draw, demonstrating the defensive resilience of the visiting club. Before that, Die Werkself earned a hard-fought 2-1 victory in November 2024.

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

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Bayer Leverkusen

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Union Berlin

Union Berlin

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Germany Bundesliga I 30/11/24

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

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Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

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Germany Bundesliga I 06/04/24

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

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Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

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Germany Bundesliga I 12/11/23

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

4
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

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Germany Bundesliga I 29/04/23

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

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Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

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After reviewing our key Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Bayer Leverkusen preview: Key players out injured

Hjulmand’s side will be without several important players for this match. Axel Tape-Kobrissa is sidelined with a hamstring injury and is expected back in late October. Lucas Vazquez is also doubtful due to a muscle problem. Martin Terrier remains out with an Achilles tendon issue but should return in early October. Exequiel Palacios faces a longer absence, with a groin injury ruling him out until mid-January. Nathan Tella is recovering from a bruised knee and is targeting a return in mid-October, while Patrik Schick is also unavailable with a hamstring injury and is expected back in late October.

Predicted lineup: Flekken (GK), Grimaldo, Tapsoba, Quansah, Bade, Tape, Fernandez, Tillman, Aleix, Poku & Kofane

Last five fixtures

  • 01.10.25 – Bayer Leverkusen 1 – 1 PSV
  • 27.09.25 – St. Pauli 1 – 2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 21.09.25 – Bayer Leverkusen 1 – 1 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • 18.09.25 – FC Copenhagen 2 – 2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 12.09.25 – Bayer Leverkusen 3 – 1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Union Berlin preview: Several absences in the squad

Baumgart’s team will have to cope with several absences ahead of this fixture. Matheo Raab is sidelined due to illness but is expected to return within a few days. Andrik Markgraf remains out with a broken leg and is targeting a comeback in late October. Robert Skov is also unavailable through injury, while Livan Burcu is recovering from an ankle problem and is likewise expected back in late October. 

Predicted lineup: Ronnow (GK), Trimmel, Querfeld, Kohn, Leite, Doekhi, Haberer, Khedira, Burke, Ilic & Ansah

Last five fixtures

  • 28.09.25 – Union Berlin 0 – 0 Hamburger SV
  • 21.09.25 – Eintracht Frankfurt 3 – 4 Union Berlin
  • 13.09.25 – Union Berlin 2 – 4 Hoffenheim
  • 03.09.25 – Altglienicke 1 – 1 Union Berlin
  • 31.08.25 – Dortmund 3 – 0 Union Berlin

Player to watch: Christian Michel Kofane

Christian Michel Kofane in action || Imago
Christian Michel Kofane in action || Imago

A player to watch for Bayer Leverkusen is striker Christian Michel Kofane. The Cameroon forward came in for the injured Patrik Schick and had an instant impact in their UCL game. The forward scored his team’s only goal in the game to secure a draw. He will be a threat to the opposition in this game.

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