Basel vs Luzern predictions
Photo by IMAGO
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Under 2.5 total goals

Fewer than three goals were scored in seven consecutive meetings between these outfits

Sparks will fly as two of the top 3 teams in the Swiss Super League battle for supremacy at St Jakob Park on Thursday, 6 February 2025. View our free Basel vs Luzern predictions below.

Basel vs Luzern predictions: A low-scoring affair

Key stats

  • Each of the last seven clashes between Basel and Luzern went below the 2.5-goal threshold.
  • Fewer than three goals were scored in four of Basel's last six league matches.
  • Both teams scored in six of Basel's last eight league games, and in seven of Luzern’s last nine away matches.
  • Three of the last five encounters between these outfits ended in stalemates.

Correct score prediction: Basel 1-1 Luzern

The spoils were shared in three of the last five meetings between Basel and Luzern. Interestingly, all three draws had the same 1-1 scoreline.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Basel are clear favourites

  • HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Basel have been a tough team to beat. They are undefeated in their last five matches (W4, D1) and have lost only once in their last 13 games in all competitions.

Similarly, Luzern have enjoyed some fine form in recent weeks, having won five of their last six games.

As it stands, Basel and Luzern are second and third in the Swiss top flight, respectively.

Ahead of this clash, Basel are the expected winners at 8/13 (1.62). Teams with these odds generally have a 61.9% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Basel vs Luzern predictions.

We have also pointed out that both teams were on the scoresheet in six of Basel's last eight Super League matches. For this reason, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 11/20 (1.55). That one has a 64.5% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: An even contest

In the last five skirmishes between Basel and Luzern, both teams have a win apiece with three draws between them.

Switzerland Super League 29/09/24

Lucerne

Lucerne

1
Basel

Basel

0

Switzerland Super League 05/05/24

Basel

Basel

1
Lucerne

Lucerne

1

Switzerland Super League 21/04/24

Lucerne

Lucerne

1
Basel

Basel

1

Switzerland Super League 17/12/23

Lucerne

Lucerne

0
Basel

Basel

1

Switzerland Super League 28/09/23

Basel

Basel

1
Lucerne

Lucerne

1

Basel preview: Eyeing their third consecutive victory

Albian Ajeti will not be available for Basel until Sunday, as he serves the second of his two-match red card suspension.

Arlet Junior Ze, meanwhile, remains sidelined due to an injury.

Predicted lineup: Hitz (GK), Schmid, Adjetey, Barisic, Mendes, Kade, Leroy, Avdullahu, Traore, Shaqiri & Carlos.

Switzerland Super League 10/05/25

W

Lugano

Lugano

2

Basel

Basel

5

Switzerland Super League 04/05/25

W

Servette

Servette

1

Basel

Basel

5

Switzerland Cup 27/04/25

W

Lausanne Sports

Lausanne Sports

2

Basel

Basel

3

Switzerland Super League 21/04/25

W

Yverdon Sport FC

Yverdon Sport FC

0

Basel

Basel

5

Switzerland Super League 12/04/25

W

FC Zurich

FC Zurich

0

Basel

Basel

4

Luzern preview: No new absentees

As for Luzern, only Nickey Beloko, who has a cruciate ligament injury, is ruled out of this contest.

Predicted lineup: Loretz (GK), Dorn, Knezevic, Freimann, Ciganiks, Owusu, Stankovic, Winkler, Rrudhani, Grbic & Klidje.

Switzerland Super League 11/05/25

D

Lausanne Sports

Lausanne Sports

1

Lucerne

Lucerne

1

Switzerland Super League 04/05/25

L

Lugano

Lugano

2

Lucerne

Lucerne

0

Switzerland Super League 21/04/25

L

Servette

Servette

2

Lucerne

Lucerne

1

Switzerland Super League 13/04/25

W

Young Boys

Young Boys

0

Lucerne

Lucerne

5

Switzerland Super League 06/04/25

L

Grasshoppers

Grasshoppers

3

Lucerne

Lucerne

1

Player to watch: Kevin Carlos Omoruyi

Kevin Carlos Omoruyi player to watch
Photo by IMAGO

Kevin Carlos Omoruyi has been in sensational form for Basel in recent weeks, scoring in each of his last four appearances across all competitions. The former Huesca forward will look to extend his scoring streak to five matches when these teams clash.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives