Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/04/2024

Real Madrid
21/04/24 - 20:00

Finished

3

-

2

Barcelona

Real Madrid - Barcelona

Spain Primera Liga - Santiago Bernabeu

real madrid vs barcelona predictions
Real Madrid won 4-1 in the Supercopa in January – Photo by Icon Sport

It’s El Clasiso on Sunday in Spain with the top two in La Liga meeting at the Santiago Bernabeu. Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction looks at whether the visitors can give themselves hope in the title race by taking all the points.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction: Score draw with goals to come after the break

Real Madrid vs Barcelona predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Double chance - Barcelona or draw

⚽ Correct score prediction

Real Madrid 1-1 Barcelona

⚽ Highest scoring Half

Second Half

Key Stats

  • Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona betting tips take into account Barca’s unbeaten away record in La Liga 2023/24 with no defeats in 15 road fixtures for Xavi’s side.
  • Barcelona have scored 71% of their league goals in the Second Half this season.
  • 64% of Real Madrid’s goals have come after the interval.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Madrid odds on to win El Clasico

  • HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
  • DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
  • AWAY: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The home team are the clear favourites according to the Real Madrid vs Barcelona odds with an implied probability of 54.1% that they win the game to all but clinch the Spanish title.

Both sides come into the match after dramatic nights in the Champions League. Real Madrid hung on at the Etihad Stadium to progress on penalties after a 1-1 draw against Man City in regular time. 

Barcelona meanwhile threw away a two goal aggregate advantage with Ronald Araujo’s needless red card costing them dear in a 4-1 home loss to PSG.

For more from this weekend’s football, today’s betting tips will guide you through some of the best bets from across Europe.

Last five H2Hs: Los Blancos looking to extend winning streak

Spain Copa del Rey 05/04/24

Barcelona

Barcelona

1
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Spain Super Cup 14/01/24

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4
Barcelona

Barcelona

1

Spain Primera Liga 28/10/23

Barcelona

Barcelona

1
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Elite Club Friendlies 29/07/23

Barcelona

Barcelona

3
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

Spain Copa del Rey 05/04/23

Barcelona

Barcelona

0
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction goes against recent history with Los Blancos winning the last three in all competitions. Barca have improved significantly since losing 4-1 in the Supercopa back in January though.

Real Madrid Preview: No fresh issues for Ancelotti

It’s all good on the selection front for Real Madrid with long-term absentees Thibaut Courtois and David Alaba the only players they’re likely to be missing.

Predicted Lineup: Lunin (GK), Mendy, Tchouameni, Rudiger, Carvajal, Kroos, Camavinga, Valverde, Bellingham, Vinicius, Rodrygo

UEFA Champions League 01/06/24

W

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

D

Real Betis

Real Betis

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

0

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

D

Villarreal

Villarreal

4

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24

W

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

5

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

W

Granada

Granada

0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Barcelona Preview: Balde and Gavi remain out

There are only likely to be two injury absentees for Barca with Alejandro Balde and Gavi missing again. Pedri may drop to the bench.

Predicted Lineup: Ter Stegen (GK), Cancelo, Cubarsi, Araujo, Kounde, De Jong, Christensen, Gundogan, Raphinha, Lewandowski, Lamine Yamal

Spain Primera Liga 26/05/24

W

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

W

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

Spain Primera Liga 16/05/24

W

Almeria

Almeria

0

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Spain Primera Liga 13/05/24

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Spain Primera Liga 04/05/24

L

Girona

Girona

4

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Player to watch – Jude Bellingham

Jude Bellingham was the difference maker on his Clasico debut earlier in the season in La Liga, scoring two late goals to turn the tide in Real Madrid’s favour and seal a 2-1 win in a game Barca had largely dominated.

real madrid vs barcelona prediction
Bellingham celebrates in Manchester in midweek – Photo by Icon Sport

Englishman still in the Pichichi hunt

Jude Bellingham is on 16 goals for the season and looks to be in a straight fight with Artem Dovbyk of Girona to finish the campaign as the top scorer in La Liga. Bellingham averages a goal every 127 minutes in the Spanish top flight and 2.3 shots per game.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.