Barcelona vs Lyon Women prediction, odds & betting tips – 25/05/2024

Barcelona and Lyon go head-to-head in the women's Champions League final on Saturday and we're bringing you our predictions ahead of the big game.

The Spaniards head into the final as the favourite but Lyon have beaten Barcelona every time they have played them so it would be foolish to rule out the French champions before a ball has even been kicked.

Barcelona vs Lyon Women prediction
Amel Majri of Lyon during the French D1 Arkema final match – Photo by Icon Sport

Barcelona vs Lyon Women predictions: Can Lyon defy the odds?

While Barcelona are clearly the favourite in this final, we expect an interesting match, with goals on both sides. We also believe that Lyon can surprise us all and lift the trophy.

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in four of the five previous meetings between these two clubs, while six of Lyon's last seven outings in all competitions have also produced goals at both ends of the pitch.
  • Lyon have won each of their five previous encounters with Barcelona so we're backing the French side to win on Saturday. However, the underdogs from France have only kept one clean sheet against Barcelona before so we have gone with a final scoreline of 2-1 in favour of Lyon.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been produced in four of the five previous encounters between these two teams, while each of Barcelona's last five matches and each of Lyon's last six outings have also witnessed at least three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Barcelona backed by the bookmakers

  • HOME: 12/25 (1.48) – 67.6%
  • DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Barcelona are the expected winner of this game with a win probability of 67.6%, but Lyon have a great record against the Spanish side.

The Spaniards won 8-0 against Real Sociedad last time out, while Lyon secured a 2-1 victory at home against PSG.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Double Chance market. You can back Barcelona to win or draw at 1/8 (1.13) which has a probability of 88.9%, a Barcelona or Lyon win at 1/5 (1.20) with a probability of 83.3%, or a Lyon win or draw at 7/4 (2.75) which has a probability of 36.4%.

Last five H2Hs: Lyon dominate

UEFA Champions League Women 21/05/22

Barcelona Women

Barcelona Women

1
Lyon Women

Lyon Women

3

Womenu2021s Friendly 19/08/21

Lyon Women

Lyon Women

3
Barcelona Women

Barcelona Women

2

UEFA Champions League Women 18/05/19

Lyon Women

Lyon Women

4
Barcelona Women

Barcelona Women

1

UEFA Champions League Women 28/03/18

Barcelona Women

Barcelona Women

0
Lyon Women

Lyon Women

1

UEFA Champions League Women 22/03/18

Lyon Women

Lyon Women

2
Barcelona Women

Barcelona Women

1

Barcelona have played Lyon five times before, losing on each of those occasions with the most recent encounter arriving in 2022.

Team news and form guide

Barcelona: In good goalscoring form

We're expecting Barcelona to play the same starting lineup that thrashed Real Sociedad 8-0 last weekend.

Predicted lineup: Paños (GK), Bronze, Paredes, Batlle, Guijarro, Bonmatí, Engen, Graham Hansen, Caldentey, Pina & Paralluelo

UEFA Champions League Women 25/05/24

W

Lyon Women

Lyon Women

0

Barcelona Women

Barcelona Women

2

Spain Copa De La Reina 18/05/24

W

Real Sociedad Women

Real Sociedad Women

0

Barcelona Women

Barcelona Women

8

Spain Primera Women 14/05/24

W

Eibar Women

Eibar Women

0

Barcelona Women

Barcelona Women

4

Spain Primera Women 10/05/24

W

Athletic Bilbao Women

Athletic Bilbao Women

0

Barcelona Women

Barcelona Women

7

Spain Primera Women 04/05/24

W

Granada CF Women

Granada CF Women

1

Barcelona Women

Barcelona Women

4

Lyon: Enjoy playing against Barcelona

Lyon beat PSG 2-1 in their final league game of the season and have had more time than Barcelona to prepare for their Champions League final.

Predicted lineup: Endler (GK), Renard, Carpenter, Bacha, Gilles, van de Donk, Horan, Egurrola, Dumornay, Diani & Cascarino 

UEFA Champions League Women 25/05/24

L

Barcelona Women

Barcelona Women

2

Lyon Women

Lyon Women

0

France Division 1 Women 17/05/24

W

PSG Women

PSG Women

1

Lyon Women

Lyon Women

2

France Division 1 Women 12/05/24

W

Reims Women

Reims Women

0

Lyon Women

Lyon Women

6

France Division 1 Women 08/05/24

L

Bordeaux Women

Bordeaux Women

2

Lyon Women

Lyon Women

1

UEFA Champions League Women 28/04/24

W

PSG Women

PSG Women

1

Lyon Women

Lyon Women

2

Player to watch – Kadidiatou Diani

Kadidiatou Diani has enjoyed her first season with Lyon following a summer move from PSG.

Kadidiatou Diani player to watch
Kadidiatou DIANI (Lyon) during the French D1 Arkema final match against PSG – Photo by Icon Sport

The 29-year-old striker has scored 18 goals across all competitions for the French side, including eight goals in the Champions League. Diani, who has spent her entire career in France, heads into Saturday's final in great form after scoring five goals in her last five matches.

The Lyon star has been fantastic in the Champions League this season

We're backing Diani to stand out in Saturday's final for the underdogs against a strong Barcelona side and we wouldn't be surprised to see her score and come away with the women-of-the-match award.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things