After sharing six goals in a thrilling first leg, Inter and Barca do it all again in Italy on Tuesday night, with a place in the 2025 Champions League final at stake for the winners. Our Inter Milan vs Barcelona prediction and Champions League betting tips consider which team is most likely to advance.
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Inter Milan vs Barcelona prediction: Dumfries to impress in score draw
Key stats
- Our Inter Milan vs Barcelona betting tips take into account that the Italians haven’t lost any of their last 15 Champions League home games.
- Five of the last six Barca games in all competitions have seen both teams score.
- Last week’s first leg was the joint-highest score draw in a Champions League semi-final, along with Dynamo Kyiv 3-3 Bayern Munich in April 1999.
Correct score prediction: Inter Milan 2-2 Barcelona
Under Hansi Flick, Barcelona continue to take risks and look to outscore teams and there’s little reason to think they will veer from that approach in this game, given the success they’ve had all season playing that way.
That should again leave Inter with some gaps to exploit on the break, particularly in wide areas given the visitors are missing their regular full-backs. Another good game is likely, and it may take more than 90 minutes to settle this.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour the visitors
- HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Inter Milan vs Barcelona odds, with an implied probability of 46.5% that they win this match.
They head into the game after seeing off Real Valladolid 2-1 at the weekend in La Liga, with Raphinha and Fermin Lopez scoring for a heavily-rotated Barca team.
As for Inter, they also changed most of their side as they edged past Verona 1-0 on Saturday, with Kristjan Asllani scoring a penalty.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Goals normally guaranteed
Our Inter Milan vs Barcelona prediction suggests we’ll see both teams score for the sixth time in seven meetings.
The last two encounters have both ended 3-3, while Barca have only won on one of their last six trips to San Siro to take on Inter.
UEFA Champions League 30/04/25
Barcelona
Inter Milan
UEFA Champions League 12/10/22
Barcelona
Inter Milan
UEFA Champions League 04/10/22
Inter Milan
Barcelona
UEFA Champions League 10/12/19
Inter Milan
Barcelona
UEFA Champions League 02/10/19
Barcelona
Inter Milan
Inter Milan preview: Martinez rated doubtful
After sustaining a hamstring injury in the first leg, Inter have a doubt over key striker Lautaro Martinez. Benjamin Pavard is also fighting to be fit following an injury, with Simone Inzaghi set to recall his regular stars after most got weekend rests.
Predicted Lineup: Sommer (GK), Bisseck, Acerbi, Bastoni, Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Taremi & Thuram
Italy Serie A 11/05/25 W Torino 0 Inter Milan 2 UEFA Champions League 06/05/25 W Barcelona 3 Inter Milan 4 Italy Serie A 03/05/25 W Verona 0 Inter Milan 1 UEFA Champions League 30/04/25 D Barcelona 3 Inter Milan 3 Italy Serie A 27/04/25 L Roma 1 Inter Milan 0
Barcelona preview: Problems at full-back for Flick
The visitors are expected to be without Alejandro Balde, Jules Kounde, Marc Bernal and Marc Casado. Robert Lewandowski is training again and should feature, although potentially only off the bench.
Predicted Lineup: Szczesny (GK), Martin, Martinez, Cubarsi, Araujo, Pedri, De Jong, Yamal, Olmo, Raphinha & Ferran
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 W Real Madrid 3 Barcelona 4 UEFA Champions League 06/05/25 L Inter Milan 4 Barcelona 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 W Valladolid 1 Barcelona 2 UEFA Champions League 30/04/25 D Inter Milan 3 Barcelona 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25 W Real Madrid 2 Barcelona 3
Player to watch – Denzel Dumfries
Barcelona have looked vulnerable at left-back in recent games and Inter will look to exploit that again here. Their wing-back Denzel Dumfries is hoping to add to his impressive tally of 13 goals for club and country so far this term.
Denzel the flying Dutchman
As well as assisting, Dumfries netted a brace in Barcelona to become just the third Dutch player to ever score twice in a Champions League semi-final, after Phillip Cocu for PSV against Milan in 2005, and Georginio Wijnaldum for Liverpool against Barcelona in 2019.