Barcelona are bidding to seal a top-two finish in the Champions League this Wednesday. Our Barcelona vs Atalanta prediction and UEFA Champions League betting tips consider whether they’ll have the edge on the Italians who are targeting the top eight.
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Barcelona vs Atalanta prediction: High-scoring draw at the Estadi Olimpic
Key stats
- Our Barcelona vs Atalanta betting tips take into account that five of Barca’s last six Champions League games have served up four or more goals.
- There have been five or more goals in all of Atalanta’s last three Champions League fixtures.
- Atalanta have only lost one of their last 13 away games in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Barcelona 3-3 Atalanta
This has all the makings of a very open game, between two teams that score plenty, but at times look vulnerable at the back.
Barcelona are more likely to rest players, given they are certain to finish in the top eight. They still have plenty of quality to bring in, but defensively they haven’t looked at all convincing in recent games, and a motivated Atalanta side looks capable of getting a result.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Barca the clear favourites
- HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Barcelona vs Atalanta odds with an implied probability of 57.1% that they win this match.
Hansi Flick’s side were in dominant form on Sunday, demolishing Valencia 7-1 in La Liga, with Fermin Lopez scoring twice.
As for Atalanta, they head into this game following a 2-1 league win at Como, with Mateo Retegui bagging a brace.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Clubs set for first meeting
Our Barcelona vs Atalanta prediction suggests the first ever competitive clash will be an entertaining affair.
Atalanta have lost four of their last five games against Spanish opposition, including a 3-2 home defeat against Real Madrid earlier in this campaign.
Barcelona preview: Flick likely to be missing five
The home team are missing Pedri, Inigo Martinez, Marc-Andre ter Stegen and Marc Bernal to injuries, while Dani Olmo is also a major doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Szczesny (GK), Balde, Garcia, Araujo, Fort, De Jong, Casado, Raphinha, Gavi, Fermin Lopez & Lewandowski
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
W Real Madrid 3 Barcelona 4 UEFA Champions League 06/05/25
L Inter Milan 4 Barcelona 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W Valladolid 1 Barcelona 2 UEFA Champions League 30/04/25
D Inter Milan 3 Barcelona 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25
W Real Madrid 2 Barcelona 3
Atalanta preview: Lookman ruled out
The visitors will secure a top-eight finish with a win, and should go as strong as possible. Odilon Kossounou is out injured, while Ademola Lookman is another major late injury blow.
Predicted Lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Kolasinac, Hien, Toloi, Zappacosta, de Roon, Ederson, Palestra, De Ketelaera, Pasalic & Retegui
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
W Roma 1 Atalanta 2 Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W Monza 0 Atalanta 4 Italy Serie A 27/04/25
D Lecce 1 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 20/04/25
W AC Milan 0 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 13/04/25
W Bologna 0 Atalanta 2
Player to watch – Mateo Retegui
It has been a brilliant season so far for Retegui. The striker has scored in each of his last four games to move onto 19 goals for the season in all competitions.
Retegui scoring early in Europe
The Atalanta forward has tended to do his damage early in the Champions League. All three of his goals in the competition have come in the first half, including two strikes in the opening 15 minutes.