Bahia vs Vitoria prediction, odds & betting tips 11/08/2024

The biggest teams in the state of Bahia will clash in the greatest derby of the Northeast when Bahia lock horns with Vitoria at Arena Fonte Nova on Sunday evening. View our free Bahia vs Vitoria predictions below.

Bahia vs Vitoria predictions: Goals expected to flow

Key stats

• Four of the last five meetings between Bahia and Vitoria went above the 2.5-goal mark.
• Encounters between both teams have produced at least two goals before the break in four of their previous five meetings.
• Both teams were on the scoresheet in the last six skirmishes between these outfits.
• Bahia conceded first in five of their last seven matches.

Correct score prediction: Bahia 1-2 Vitoria

Although Vitoria are the underdogs, they have been impressive in recent weeks, winning back-to-back games against Palmeiras and Cuiaba. We expect the visitors to claim a narrow victory against a Bahia team that failed to win their last five league matches.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bahia are hot favourites

• HOME:3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
• DRAW:13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
• AWAY:19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bahia have not particularly enjoyed their best form in recent weeks. They managed one win in their last seven matches across all competitions, with three draws and three defeats.

In spite of their recent shortcomings, Bahia are the expected winners at 3/5 (1.60). Teams with these odds usually have a 62.5% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Bahia vs Vitoria predictions.

Additionally, we have established that the last six meetings between Bahia and Vitoria featured goals at both ends. On that note, BTTS – yes has an appealing look at 19/20 (1.95). That one has a 51.3% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Vitoria have the psychological advantage

Despite being the overwhelming underdogs, Vitoria have held their own against their neighbours in recent years. They are unbeaten in their last three clashes with Bahia and have lost just once in the last six encounters between these teams.

Brazil Serie A 21/04/24

Vitoria

2

EC Bahia

2

Brazil Campeonato Baiano 07/04/24

EC Bahia

1

Vitoria

1

Brazil Campeonato Baiano 31/03/24

Vitoria

3

EC Bahia

2

Brazil Copa Nordeste 21/03/24

EC Bahia

2

Vitoria

1

Brazil Campeonato Baiano 18/02/24

Vitoria

3

EC Bahia

2

Bahia preview: Hoping to get back to winning ways

Ademir Santos is the only absentee for the hosts. The former Atletico Mineiro forward is recovering from an injury and is expected to return later this month.

Predicted lineup: Felipe (GK), Borduchi, Kanu, Xavier, Cauly, Lucas, Alexandre, Ribeiro, Biel, Rodriguez & Everaldo.

Copa do Brasil 13/09/24

L

Flamengo

1

EC Bahia

0

Brazil Serie A 01/09/24

L

Bragantino

2

EC Bahia

1

Copa do Brasil 29/08/24

L

Flamengo

1

EC Bahia

0

Brazil Serie A 25/08/24

D

Botafogo

0

EC Bahia

0

Brazil Serie A 17/08/24

W

Gremio

0

EC Bahia

2

Vitoria preview: Eyeing three consecutive victories for the first time in 19 weeks

Matheuzinho will be unavailable for selection after picking up maximum yellow cards. There are a few injured players for the visiting team, including Willian Lepo (bruised knee), Caio Vinícius (thigh), Everaldo (muscle), and Camutanga (knee).

Additionally, Leo Naldi and Patric Calmon are sidelined due to illness.

Predicted lineup: Arcanjo (GK), Cáceres, Neris, Leonardo, Edu, Oliveira, Santos, Ryller, Eduardo, Janderson & Osvaldo.

Brazil Serie A 01/09/24

L

Vasco da Gama

1

Vitoria

0

Brazil Serie A 25/08/24

L

Sao Paulo

2

Vitoria

1

Brazil Serie A 19/08/24

D

Cruzeiro

2

Vitoria

2

Brazil Serie A 11/08/24

L

EC Bahia

2

Vitoria

0

Brazil Serie A 03/08/24

W

Cuiaba

0

Vitoria

1

Player to watch: Alerrandro

After losing four consecutive matches, Bahia have won back-to-back games, and that is thanks, in part, to Alerrandro. The former Atletico Mineiro player has been in sensational form for Vitoria, registering an assist in each of the team's last two games.

With that in mind, Alerrandro has six direct goal involvements (3 goals, 3 assists) in his last eight appearances for the club. He will fancy his chances against an out-of-form Bahia.