Bahia vs Vasco da Gama prediction, odds & betting tips – 27/06/2024

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama prediction, odds & betting tips – 27/06/2024
Bahia have a perfect record on home soil so far this season - Photo by Icon Sport

High-flying Bahia entertain poor travellers Vasco da Gama at the Arena Fonte Nova in Brazil’s Serie A on Thursday, 27 June. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the game below.

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama prediction: Vasco to come unstuck on the road again?

Key Stats

  • Vasco da Gama have lost 100% of their first five away assignments of the new Serie A season.
  • Bahia managed to win each of their first five home matches of the new Brazilian league campaign.
  • Bahia kept a clean sheet in three of their last four tussles on home soil.
  • Vasco da Gama conceded exactly two goals in four of their last five away fixtures.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bahia odds-on favourites

  • HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
  • AWAY: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bahia beat Cruzeiro 4-1 in their last assignment to maintain their 100% home record this term and their ability to harness home advantage makes them tough to oppose this week and the bookie’s 8/13 favourites to prevail.

Vasco da Gama roared back from a goal down to beat Sao Paulo 4-1 in their last contest, though their form on the road is limp in comparison and they have yet to secure a single point on their travels this term. Unsurprisingly, they travel to Bahia as clear underdogs and they have just a 17.4% chance of upsetting the odds. If you’re on the lookout for more Brazilian football predictions, check out our betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Margins have been slim

Bahia have lost only one of their last five encounters with Vasco da Gama, though margins have been slim in recent meetings between the clubs with under 2.5 goals landing on four separate occasions during that period.

Brazil Serie A 03/09/23

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1

Brazil Serie A 02/05/23

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0
EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1

Brazil Serie B 28/08/22

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

2
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1

Brazil Serie B 15/05/22

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1
EC Bahia

EC Bahia

0

Brazil Serie A 31/01/21

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0
EC Bahia

EC Bahia

0

Bahia preview: Host’s squad looks strong

Bahia have few issues in terms of missing personnel ahead of this week's clash, though Santiago Arias is still away on international duty and won't be involved. Bahia are in third spot in the table at present.

Predicted lineup: Felipe (GK), Gilberto, Xavier, Kanu, Juba, Alexandre, de Pena, Cauly, Lucas, Everaldo, Thaciano

Brazil Serie A 13/07/24

L

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

2

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1

Brazil Serie A 10/07/24

W

Athletico Paranaense

Athletico Paranaense

1

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

3

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

0

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

W

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

0

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

2

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

L

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

3

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1

Vasco da Gama preview: Payet and Rojas hoping to be fit

Bruno Praxedes and Paulinho Paula are both out of action for Vasco da Gama while Robert Rojas and Dimitri Payet are both slight doubts. Vasco are down in 15th place, just one point clear of the Serie A dropzone.

Predicted lineup: Jardim (GK), Henrique, Maicon, Victor, Piton, Moura, Carvalho. Adson, Estrella, David, Vegetti

Brazil Serie A 17/07/24

W

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1

Brazil Serie A 10/07/24

W

Corinthians

Corinthians

0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

W

Internacional

Internacional

1

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 03/07/24

W

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 29/06/24

D

Botafogo

Botafogo

1

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1

Player to watch – Óscar Estupiñán

Colombian attacker Óscar Estupiñán is currently on loan with Bahia from English Championship side Hull City, though the 27-year-old has been toiling a little in his attempts to become a first-team fixture in Brazil so far.

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama prediction
Óscar Estupiñan came off the bench to score twice for Bahia last time out – Photo by Icon Sport

Estupiñán the super sub?

Óscar Estupiñán did make a splash in Bahia’s last match however, netting twice off the bench in their 4-1 win over Cruzeiro, breaking his duck in Serie A in the process and his impact as a substitute should enhance his chances of staking a claim for a first-team spot.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.