Three points will be at stake as Bahia and Cruzeiro clash at Arena Fonte Nova on Sunday night. View our free Bahia vs Cruzeiro predictions below.
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Key stats
- Five of the last six Serie A clashes between these teams ended in stalemates.
- Eight of the last 10 meetings between Bahia and Cruzeiro featured less than three goals.
- Five of Bahia's last seven, and six of Cruzeiro’s last seven games went below the 2.5-goal threshold.
- Cruzeiro opened the scoring in six of their last eight matches, while Bahia conceded first in three of their last four games.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Bahia
- Bahia: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
- Draw: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- Cruzeiro: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Only one point separates these teams, as Bahia are fifth on the Serie A table, while Cruzeiro occupy the sixth position. Interestingly, these are the only teams with a perfect home record in Brazil's top flight this season.
Given that Cruzeiro won just one of five away games so far, Bahia are the expected winners at 10/11 (1.91). Teams with these odds generally have a 52.4% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Bahia vs Cruzeiro predictions.
Moreover, Bahia saw their defence breached first in three of their last four matches. This is in contrast with Cruzeiro, who drew first blood in six of their last eight games. On that note, Cruzeiro to score first has an appealing look at 8/5 (2.60). That one has a 38.5% chance of landing.
Last five H2Hs: Another low-scoring game on the cards?
Bahia managed one win in the last nine skirmishes between these teams, with four draws and four losses. Recent encounters (8 out of 10) between Bahia and Cruzeiro produced less than three goals.
Brazil Serie A 26/10/23
Cruzeiro
EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A 10/06/23
EC Bahia
Cruzeiro
Brazil Serie B 23/07/22
Cruzeiro
EC Bahia
Brazil Serie B 09/04/22
EC Bahia
Cruzeiro
Brazil Serie A 03/11/19
Cruzeiro
EC Bahia
Team news and form guide
Bahia: Looking to maintain their perfect home record
There are no absentees for Bahia ahead of this clash, besides Santiago Arias, who is representing Colombia at the Copa America.
Predicted lineup: Felipe (GK), Juba, Kanu, Xavier, Gilberto, Alexandre, Lucas, Cauly, Ribeiro, Thaciano & Everaldo.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
L
Flamengo
1
EC Bahia
0
Copa Libertadores 07/05/25
L
Nacional De Football
3
EC Bahia
1
Brazil Serie A 04/05/25
W
Botafogo
0
EC Bahia
1
Copa do Brasil 01/05/25
W
Paysandu
0
EC Bahia
1
Brazil Serie A 27/04/25
W
Palmeiras
0
EC Bahia
1
Cruzeiro: Sights set on a top 3 spot
Jose Cifuentes is with Ecuador at the Copa America, while Lucas Romero, Alvaro Barreal, Juan Dinneno and Mateus Vital are sidelined with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Anderson (GK), William, Ivaldo, Marcelo, Marlon, Ramiro, Machado, Silva, Robert, Veron & Pereira.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
W
Sport Recife
0
Cruzeiro
4
Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25
D
Mushuc Runa
1
Cruzeiro
1
Brazil Serie A 04/05/25
W
Flamengo
1
Cruzeiro
2
Copa do Brasil 02/05/25
W
Vila Nova
0
Cruzeiro
2
Brazil Serie A 27/04/25
W
Vasco da Gama
0
Cruzeiro
1
Player to watch: Marlon
Cruzeiro won seven of their last nine matches, and a solid defence has been the cornerstone of their recent success. Marlon is a player that has impressed in recent weeks, as his team kept six clean sheets in his last seven appearances.
Interestingly, Cruzeiro kept six clean sheets in their last eight matches, and the two times they conceded, Marlon either got a red card or was absent. It's worth keeping an eye on the former Trabzonspor defender, who scored in the last encounter between these sides.
The latest Tweets from each camp
Bahia
⭐️⭐️ pic.twitter.com/igOaNbWya4
— Esporte Clube Bahia (@ecbahia) June 23, 2024
Cruzeiro
? HOJE TEM CRUZEIROOOOOOO!
Vamos pra cima, Cabulosoooo!#BAHxCRU | #SouCruzeiroTradição pic.twitter.com/sQFNLAls3q— Cruzeiro ? (@Cruzeiro) June 23, 2024