Bahia vs Cruzeiro prediction, odds & betting tips 23/06/2024

Three points will be at stake as Bahia and Cruzeiro clash at Arena Fonte Nova on Sunday night. View our free Bahia vs Cruzeiro predictions below.

Bahia vs Cruzeiro predictions: Spoils to be shared

Key stats

  • Five of the last six Serie A clashes between these teams ended in stalemates.
  • Eight of the last 10 meetings between Bahia and Cruzeiro featured less than three goals.
  • Five of Bahia's last seven, and six of Cruzeiro’s last seven games went below the 2.5-goal threshold.
  • Cruzeiro opened the scoring in six of their last eight matches, while Bahia conceded first in three of their last four games.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Bahia

  • Bahia: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
  • Draw: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • Cruzeiro: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Only one point separates these teams, as Bahia are fifth on the Serie A table, while Cruzeiro occupy the sixth position. Interestingly, these are the only teams with a perfect home record in Brazil's top flight this season.

Given that Cruzeiro won just one of five away games so far, Bahia are the expected winners at 10/11 (1.91). Teams with these odds generally have a 52.4% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Bahia vs Cruzeiro predictions.

Moreover, Bahia saw their defence breached first in three of their last four matches. This is in contrast with Cruzeiro, who drew first blood in six of their last eight games. On that note, Cruzeiro to score first has an appealing look at 8/5 (2.60). That one has a 38.5% chance of landing.

Last five H2Hs: Another low-scoring game on the cards?

Bahia managed one win in the last nine skirmishes between these teams, with four draws and four losses. Recent encounters (8 out of 10) between Bahia and Cruzeiro produced less than three goals.

Brazil Serie A 26/10/23

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

3
EC Bahia

EC Bahia

0

Brazil Serie A 10/06/23

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

2
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

2

Brazil Serie B 23/07/22

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

1
EC Bahia

EC Bahia

0

Brazil Serie B 09/04/22

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

2
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

0

Brazil Serie A 03/11/19

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

1
EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1

Team news and form guide

Bahia: Looking to maintain their perfect home record

There are no absentees for Bahia ahead of this clash, besides Santiago Arias, who is representing Colombia at the Copa America.

Predicted lineup: Felipe (GK), Juba, Kanu, Xavier, Gilberto, Alexandre, Lucas, Cauly, Ribeiro, Thaciano & Everaldo.

Brazil Serie A 13/07/24

L

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

2

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1

Brazil Serie A 10/07/24

W

Athletico Paranaense

Athletico Paranaense

1

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

3

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

0

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

W

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

0

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

2

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

L

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

3

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1

Cruzeiro: Sights set on a top 3 spot

Jose Cifuentes is with Ecuador at the Copa America, while Lucas Romero, Alvaro Barreal, Juan Dinneno and Mateus Vital are sidelined with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Anderson (GK), William, Ivaldo, Marcelo, Marlon, Ramiro, Machado, Silva, Robert, Veron & Pereira.

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

L

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

0

Brazil Serie A 13/07/24

W

Bragantino

Bragantino

1

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

2

Brazil Serie A 10/07/24

W

Gremio

Gremio

0

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

2

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

W

Corinthians

Corinthians

0

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

3

Brazil Serie A 03/07/24

L

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

0

Player to watch: Marlon

Bahia vs Cruzeiro predictions
Marlon was on the scoresheet the last time these teams met. (Photo by Icon Sport)

Cruzeiro won seven of their last nine matches, and a solid defence has been the cornerstone of their recent success. Marlon is a player that has impressed in recent weeks, as his team kept six clean sheets in his last seven appearances.

Interestingly, Cruzeiro kept six clean sheets in their last eight matches, and the two times they conceded, Marlon either got a red card or was absent. It's worth keeping an eye on the former Trabzonspor defender, who scored in the last encounter between these sides.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Bahia

Cruzeiro


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives