Sparks will fly as Azerbaijan and Iceland draw swords in a 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifier at Neftci Arena on Thursday, 13 November 2025.
View our free Azerbaijan vs Iceland predictions below.
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Azerbaijan vs Iceland predictions: Visitors to reign supreme
Key stats
- Azerbaijan are currently on a 14-game winless streak across all competitions.
- Seven of Iceland's last nine matches produced goals at both ends.
- At least three goals were scored in eight of Iceland's last nine games.
Correct score prediction: Azerbaijan 1-3 Iceland
Azerbaijan are on a 14-match winless run in which they suffered 11 defeats. Although Iceland have had their fair share of struggles, they cruised to a comfortable 5-0 victory in the reverse fixture.
Given that Azerbaijan have no hope of qualifying for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, we are confident that Iceland will claim all the spoils after 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Iceland are clear favourites
- HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.2%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Iceland and Azerbaijan are third and fourth in Group D of UEFA's 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers. With two games remaining, Azerbaijan trail second-placed Ukraine by six points and do not have a realistic chance of qualifying, even if they win their next two matches.
On the other hand, this is a must-win for Iceland, as they would be guaranteed a playoff spot by winning their two remaining games.
Bearing that in mind, Iceland are the expected winners at 8/15 (1.53). Teams with these odds generally have a 65.2% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Azerbaijan vs Iceland predictions.
Moreover, keeping in mind that both teams were on the scoresheet in seven of Iceland's last nine matches, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 19/20 (1.95). That one has a 51.3% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Iceland to complete the sweep?
Azerbaijan suffered a humiliating 5-0 defeat when these teams last met in September. Their only other encounter was a friendly in August 2008, which ended in a stalemate.
Azerbaijan preview: Hoping to snap their unwanted streak
After three losses and a draw in their FIFA World Cup qualifying Group D games, Azerbaijan will almost certainly not qualify, but they will be eager to at least get one win with just two matches left.
Head coach Aykhan Abbasov could as well make changes from the side that lost against Ukraine last time, especially in the middle of the pack and in his choice of a starting striker.
Predicted lineup: A. Bayramov (GK), Huseynov, Krivostsyuk, Mustafazade, Cafarquliyev, Aliyev, Badalov, Makhmudov, Abdullazada, T. Bayramov & Emreli.
Last five matches
- Ukraine 2-1 Azerbaijan
- France 3-0 Azerbaijan
- Azerbaijan 1-1 Ukraine
- Iceland 5-0 Azerbaijan
- Azerbaijan 1-2 Hungary
Iceland preview: Looking to return to winning ways
Group D's top-scoring team will feel a second-place finish is within reach if they come out on top from this trip and then beat Ukraine in their final game.
Albert Gudmundsson has scored three and contributed two assists in Iceland's four group matches so far. Fully fit for this contest, the Fiorentina striker is expected to lead the line, while Hakon Anar Haraldsson offers creativity from the middle.
Predicted lineup: Olafsson (GK), Palsson, Ingason, Gretarsson, Tomasson, Ellertsson, Haraldson, Johannesson, Hlynsson, Magnusson & Gudmundsson.
Last five matches
- Iceland 2-2 France
- Iceland 3-5 Ukraine
- France 2-1 Iceland
- Iceland 5-0 Azerbaijan
- Northern Ireland 1-0 Iceland
Player to watch: Albert Gudmundsson
Iceland have scored 11 goals in four 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying games so far, and Albert Gudmundsson was directly involved in five of them. The 28-year-old had two goal contributions in the reverse fixture and will fancy his chances against Iceland once again.