AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax prediction, odds & betting tips 25/02/2024

AZ
25/02/24 - 15:45

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Ajax

AZ - Ajax

Netherlands Eredivisie - AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax in Eredivisie action
Ajax will be looking to get revenge for the defeat AZ Alkmaar inflicted on them earlier this season – Icon Sport

AZ Alkmaar faced Ajax at a great time of the season for them as the Dutch giants were struggling at the wrong end of the table but since that game, Ajax have only lost three times in the league. Now, the two teams are separated by just three points, so this is a huge fixture.

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax prediction: A must-win game for both sides

TEAM A vs TEAM B predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

BTTS - Yes

⚽ Correct score prediction

AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Ajax

⚽️ Anytime goalscorer prediction

Brian Brobbey

Key stats

  • Ajax have won more than 50% of the games between the two teams
  • AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last four matches against Ajax
  • Ajax have lost just once in their last 14 league games
  • AZ Alkmaar have won just one league match in 2024

Pre-game odds and win probability: AZ Alkmaar favourites despite recent form

Home: 1/1 (2.0) – 50%

Draw: 13/5 (3.6) – 27.8%

Away: 12/5 (3.4) – 29.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

AZ Alkmaar are currently on a run of one win in their last seven Eredivisie matches, so it's a big surprise to see them such big favourites against an Ajax side who've been thriving after a rocky start to the campaign. Ajax have had the edge over Sunday's opponents over the years and will be confident of closing the gap on them in the table.

If Ajax pick up a win on the road this weekend they will only be behind AZ Alkmaar via goal difference and will deal a huge blow to their rivals when it comes to qualifying for Europe.

The bookmakers have this game price up in an interesting way for the outright winner, so if you aren't interested in that, then check out some of our other free betting tips.

Last five H2Hs: AZ Alkmaar have had a slight edge in recent seasons

Netherlands Eredivisie 08/10/23

Ajax

Ajax

1
AZ

AZ

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 06/05/23

Ajax

Ajax

0
AZ

AZ

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 18/09/22

AZ

AZ

2
Ajax

Ajax

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 08/05/22

AZ

AZ

2
Ajax

Ajax

2

Netherlands Cup 03/03/22

AZ

AZ

0
Ajax

Ajax

2

There have been three wins in the last five games between these two sides and the winning team has always scored two goals. So, getting that second goal and killing off the opposition looks to be crucial heading into Sunday's crunch clash.

AZ Alkmaar preview: Maarten Martens looking for first home league win in 2024

It took until the middle of November for AZ Alkmaar to taste their first league defeat, but since then they've failed to win eight of their 11 matches and are slowly losing their grip on European football.

Predicted lineup: Ryan (GK) – Wolfe, Bazoer, Goes, Sugawara – Clasie, Belic – Van Bommel, De Wit, Lahdo – Pavlidis

Europe Friendlies 13/07/24

W

Excelsior

Excelsior

0

AZ

AZ

8

Europe Friendlies 28/06/24

W

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

0

AZ

AZ

6

Netherlands Eredivisie 19/05/24

D

FC Utrecht

FC Utrecht

3

AZ

AZ

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 12/05/24

W

Go Ahead Eagles

Go Ahead Eagles

0

AZ

AZ

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 05/05/24

W

FC Twente

FC Twente

1

AZ

AZ

2

Ajax preview: Dutch giants hoping to get back to winning ways

After a stunning run during the winter period, Ajax have stuttered in the league as of late. No wins in their last three matches has been frustrating, and their confidence may be even lower having watched top scorer Brian Brobbey limp off midweek.

Predicted lineup: Ramaj (GK) – Sosa, Hato, Sutalo, Rensch – Van den Boomen, Taylor, Hlynsson – Forbs, Akpom, Berghuis

Europe Friendlies 19/07/24

W

Olympiakos

Olympiakos

0

Ajax

Ajax

1

World Club Friendlies 18/07/24

W

Al Wasl SC

Al Wasl SC

1

Ajax

Ajax

2

Europe Friendlies 13/07/24

W

Rangers

Rangers

1

Ajax

Ajax

2

Europe Friendlies 09/07/24

W

Sint-Truidense

Sint-Truidense

0

Ajax

Ajax

4

Europe Friendlies 05/07/24

L

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

1

Ajax

Ajax

0

Ajax's Chuba Akpom in Eredivisie action
Chuba Akpom looks set to be handed just his fourth league start for Ajax – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Chuba Akpom

Having been lured to the Netherlands in the summer with the prospect of leading the line for Ajax, things haven't gone quite to plan for Chuba Akpom. Just three league starts under his belt is disappointing for the English striker, but with Brobbey out injured it's his time to shine.

Goals to come from the start?

Akpom has scored one goal in his last two league starts for Ajax and having been afforded a single minute against AZ Alkmaar in the reverse fixture, he'll be itching to make amends. Despite his lack of minutes, Akpom has proven to be lethal in the Eredivisie scoring six times from an XG of just 5.4.

The latest Tweets from each camp

AZ Alkmaar

Ajax


Aaron is a multi-skilled sports content writer and media professional. He is a specialist in both Men's and Women's football, along with golf.