All eyes will be on Johan Cruijff Arena as Ajax and AZ Alkmaar battle for supremacy in the Dutch Eredivisie on Sunday, 16 March. View our free Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar predictions below.
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Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar predictions: Visitors to reign supreme
Key stats
- Ajax have lost four consecutive encounters with AZ Alkmaar.
- AZ Alkmaar opened the scoring in seven of their last nine matches.
- At least three goals were scored in five of AZ Alkmaar's last seven games.
Correct score prediction: Ajax 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
This is a little tricky considering Ajax have a near-perfect home record in the Eredivisie this season. In 12 league matches at Johan Cruijff Arena, Francesco Farioli’s troops have 11 wins and a draw.
However, de Godenzonen tend to struggle against AZ Alkmaar, as they have lost four consecutive clashes between these teams. Given that AZ Alkmaar won three of their last five trips to this stadium, we believe there's more value in backing the visitors to win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ajax are expected winners
- HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
- AWAY: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Ajax were eliminated from the UEFA Europa League earlier this week, after losing both legs of their tie with Eintracht Frankfurt. They will now turn their attention to the Eredivisie, where they have an eight-point lead in the race to the title.
Like their opponents, AZ Alkmaar exited the Europa League this week, thanks to a 3-1 defeat at Tottenham Hotspur. Maarten Martens’ men are sixth in the Dutch top flight, 20 points behind their hosts.
As it stands, Ajax are the expected winners at 3/4 (1.75). Teams with these odds generally have a 57.1% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar predictions.
Additionally, AZ Alkmaar opened the scoring in four consecutive skirmishes between these outfits. On that note, AZ Alkmaar to score first has an appealing look at 9/5 (2.80). That one has a 35.7% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Bragging rights belong to AZ Alkmaar
The Cheese Farmers have become one of Ajax’s toughest opponents in recent years, having won all four recent meetings between these teams. Also, Ajax have no wins in their last seven encounters with AZ Alkmaar.
Netherlands Cup 14/01/25
AZ
Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 08/12/24
AZ
Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 25/02/24
AZ
Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 08/10/23
Ajax
AZ
Netherlands Eredivisie 06/05/23
Ajax
AZ
Ajax preview: Looking to maintain their near-perfect home record
For this clash, Wout Weghorst, Jordan Henderson, Christian Rasmussen and Remko Pasveer are all expected to be unavailable for the hosts.
Predicted lineup: Matheus (GK), Kaplan, Janse, Rugani, Rosa, Taylor, Boomen, Edvardsen, Klaassen, Berghuis & Brobbey.
UEFA Europa League 13/03/25
L
Eintracht Frankfurt
4
Ajax
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 09/03/25
W
PEC Zwolle
0
Ajax
1
UEFA Europa League 06/03/25
L
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
Ajax
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 02/03/25
W
Almere City FC
0
Ajax
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 23/02/25
W
Go Ahead Eagles
0
Ajax
2
AZ Alkmaar preview: Plagued by injuries
AZ Alkmaar have some injury concerns, as up to five players are expected to be sidelined for this game due to health problems, including Ruben van Bommel, Dem Westerveld, Sven Mijnans, Mayckel Lahdo, and Jayden Addai.
Predicted lineup: Owusu-Oduro (GK), Wolfe, Penetra, Goes, Maikuma, Koopmeiners, Clasie, Poku, Buurmeester, Sadiq & Parrot.
UEFA Europa League 13/03/25
L
Tottenham
3
AZ
1
UEFA Europa League 06/03/25
W
Tottenham
0
AZ
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 02/03/25
L
Heerenveen
3
AZ
1
Netherlands Cup 27/02/25
W
Heracles
2 (3)
AZ
2 (4)
Netherlands Eredivisie 23/02/25
W
Fortuna Sittard
0
AZ
1
Player to watch: Kenneth Taylor
Kenneth Taylor has been in sensational form of late, scoring four goals in his last six appearances across all competitions. The 22-year-old was on the scoresheet in his last two matches and will look to extend that scoring run to three games.