AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction, odds & betting tips – 05/05/2024

05/05/24 - 15:45

Finished

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AZ - FC Twente

Netherlands Eredivisie - AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar and Twente will meet in the next Eredivisie round on Sunday, 5 May.

With these two teams in the race for a Champions League spot, who will prevail in this crucial game? Read our AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction and preview to find out and learn more about the match.

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction: AZ to win the important points

Key Stats

• AZ Alkmaar have won 10 of their 15 games at home this season in the Eredivisie.
• Twente are without a win in their last three away games in the league.
• AZ Alkmaar have won four games in a row at home.
• Both teams have scored in seven of the last eight H2H duels between these two teams.

Pre-game odds and win probability: AZ Alkmaar the more likely winners 

• HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.40%
• DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.40%
• AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.30%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

We can see from these AZ Alkmaar vs Twente odds that the hosts are the expected winners, although not by a big margin. After all, this is a duel between two teams currently third and fourth and separated by just five points.

On top of that, both teams enter this match in good form, so the home-court advantage for AZ Alkmaar is pretty much the sole factor separating the two and the reason why they're favoured to win this game.

In any case, check out our latest betting tips for today if you're looking for more predictions and tips.

Last five H2Hs: Twente the better team lately

Netherlands Eredivisie 13/01/24

FC Twente

2

AZ

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 19/03/23

FC Twente

2

AZ

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 11/09/22

AZ

1

FC Twente

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 13/03/22

AZ

0

FC Twente

1

Netherlands Cup 19/01/22

FC Twente

1

AZ

2

Twente have won three of the last five duels with AZ Alkmaar, with AZ winning one match as well, along with one draw. The two teams are pretty close when it comes to their overall H2H record: 41-22-37 in favour of Twente.

AZ Alkmaar preview: Last chance of catching a train for the Champions League

With three rounds left in the season, AZ Alkmaar have secured fourth place at the very least, which would take them into the Europa League next season. However, they are also still in play for third and a place in the Champions League since they're five points behind Twente, their next opponent. So, a win in this match leaves them in the hunt.

Meanwhile, AZ is dealing with more than a few injuries at the moment, with Jordy Clasie, Dave Kwakman, Lequincio Zeefuik, Bruno Martins Indi, Mayckel Lahdo, Lewis Schouten, and Sem Westerweld all on the team's injury list. However, most of these players are still not ruled out completely, but rather listed as doubtful.

Predicted Lineup: Raya – Sugawara, Goes, Bazoer, Wolfe – Dantas, Kwakman – Mijnans, De Wit, Van Bommel – Pavlidis

Netherlands Eredivisie 30/08/24

W

RKC

0

AZ

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 25/08/24

D

FC Groningen

0

AZ

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 17/08/24

W

NEC

0

AZ

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 10/08/24

W

Almere City FC

0

AZ

1

Europe Friendlies 03/08/24

W

Stoke

0

AZ

1

Twente preview: A win away from a place in the Champions League

As we said above, Twente are currently third in the standings in the Eredivisie, which guarantees a place in the Champions League qualifiers. The only team that can overtake Twente are AZ Alkmaar, so a win in their upcoming duel would ensure Twente finish the season in third. Twente enter this game with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games in the league.

When it comes to team news, Myron Boadu is the only player on Twente's injury list right now.

Predicted Lineup – Unnerstall – Regeer, Hilgers, Propper, Smal – Kjolo, Eiting – Rots, Steijn, Vlap – Van Wolfswinkel

Europe Friendlies 05/09/24

L

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4

FC Twente

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 01/09/24

L

FC Utrecht

2

FC Twente

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 17/08/24

D

Sparta Rotterdam

1

FC Twente

1

UEFA Champions League Qualifying 13/08/24

D

FC Salzburg

3

FC Twente

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 10/08/24

W

NEC

1

FC Twente

2

Player to watch: Vangelis Pavlidis

The Greek forward is tied for the top scorer in the league with Luuk de Jong with 27 goals, so he's clearly the player to watch in this game as AZ Alkmaar hope to keep their hope of getting into the Champions League alive.

Will Pavlidis score the first goal?

We saw Pavlidis score the first goal in a game in the Eredivisie on seven occasions so far. Can he do that once again in this crucial duel with Twente?