AZ Alkmaar and Ajax face off at the AFAS Stadion on Sunday, with the away side looking to extend their unbeaten streak in the Eredivisie.
The visitors arrive having not lost a league game since November, though they are still hurting from throwing away a two-goal lead to draw 2-2 with Excelsior last time out.
Meanwhile, the hosts have secured just one win in their last four league matches, losing 3-1 at home to Nijmegen in their last outing, though a 2-1 win over Twente on Tuesday after extra time in the KNVB Cup serves as a positive boost.
After reading our AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax prediction, remember to check out our other tips for today.
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AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax prediction: A draw might be on the cards
Key statistics
- AZ are unbeaten in their last 10 encounters with Ajax across all competitions (7W, 3D).
- AZ have won their last two meetings against Ajax by an 8-0 aggregate scoreline.
- The last time Ajax secured a victory against AZ was in 2022, in a domestic cup tie.
- Ajax have not won a league game against AZ since 2021.
- Ajax are unbeaten in their last four league games on the road (2W, 2D).
Correct score prediction: AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Ajax
While Ajax are in great league form heading into this clash, AZ have shown over the years that they always find a way to get a result against de Godenzonen.
Pre-game odds and probabilities: AZ Alkmaar are slight favourites
- AZ Alkmaar: 6/5 – 2.20 (45.45%)
- Draw: 27/10 – 3.70 (27.03%)
- Ajax: 19/10 – 2.90 (34.48%)
Odds subject to change
According to the market, this game is quite close to call, though AZ still have a slight probability of winning, considering home advantage and their record in this fixture over the last few years.
Most recent H2Hs: AZ dominance continues
This fixture has tilted overwhelmingly in AZ’s favour recently; the “Cheese Farmers” are unbeaten in their last 10 encounters with Ajax across all competitions (7W, 3D).
This will be their third meeting this season, and Leeroy Echteld’s side has already won the first two, including a 6-0 thrashing of the visitors three weeks ago in the domestic cup. The last time they lost to Ajax in the league was in 2021 at this ground.
Netherlands Cup 14/01/26
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Netherlands Eredivisie 18/10/25
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Netherlands Eredivisie 16/03/25
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Netherlands Eredivisie 08/12/24
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AZ Alkmaar preview: Injury woes
Dutch midfielder Jordy Clasie has been out since September with an ankle injury and remains sidelined. Defender Denso Kasius and midfielder Sven Mijnans are also injured, while Mexx Meerdink is yet to fully recover from a groin issue that has kept him out since October.
Predicted Lineup: Zoet; Maikuma, Goes, Penetra, de Wit; Koopmeiners, Boogaard, Sin; Sadiq, Parrott, Daal.
AZ Alkmaar’s last five results
- 03.02.26 – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Twente (AET)
- 31.01.26 – AZ Alkmaar 1–3 Nijmegen
- 25.01.26 – Telstar 0–1 AZ Alkmaar
- 21.01.26 – AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior
- 17.01.26 – Zwolle 3–1 AZ Alkmaar
Ajax preview: Near-full squad
The visitors head into this fixture with no confirmed absentees. Defender Ko Itakura, who has missed the last two matches, is the only doubt for the Sons of the Gods.
Predicted lineup: Jaros; Gaaei, Sutalo, Baas, Mokio; Steur, Regeer, Klaassen; Boundia, Dolberg, Godts
Ajax’s last five results
- 01.02.26 – Excelsior 2–2 Ajax
- 28.01.26 – Ajax 1–2 Olympiacos Piraeus
- 24.01.26 – Ajax 2–0 FC Volendam
- 20.01.26 – Villarreal 1–2 Ajax
- 17.01.26 – Ajax 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles
Player to watch: Troy Parrott
Parrott has contributed directly to five goals in his last four matches, scoring three times and providing two assists. His 11 league goals put him third in the Eredivisie scoring charts this season.
Notably, he bagged a hat-trick against Ajax in the cup a couple of weeks back, making it five goals in as many appearances against the visitors.
