Augsburg vs Mainz 05 prediction, odds & betting tips – 20/09/2025
Mert Komur in action for Augsburg || Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 5.5 cards

Their last four home meetings have had over 5.5 cards.

Game three of the German Bundesliga is set to see Augsburg host Mainz 05 at the WWK Arena on Sunday. Ahead of the game, the Fugger City Residents are placed in 11th position in the league table, having lost back-to-back games, with the latest being a 2-1 loss to St Pauli. 

The O-Fives, meanwhile, also sit in 15th place after failing to win any of their first three games of the season. Their last result was a 1-0 loss to RB Leipzig last weekend. Both teams will be looking to get back to winning ways when they face off.

Read our Augsburg vs Mainz 05 predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Bundesliga predictions.

Augsburg vs Mainz 05 prediction: The Fugger City Residents to nick the win 

Key statistics

  • Each of their last four home meetings has produced more than 5.5 cards.
  • The Fugger City Residents have won by a 2-1 scoreline in two of their encounters.
  • Augsburg’s last five home meetings with the O-Fives have had over 2.5 goals.

Correct score prediction: Augsburg 2-1 Mainz 05

The home side have dominated this encounter, especially at home, which is why we are predicting a 2-1 victory for Augsburg. The head-to-head record also leans in Augsburg’s favour, as they have held the upper hand in recent meetings between the two teams. 

This fixture presents Augsburg with an excellent chance to capitalise on home advantage, secure a valuable win and build momentum to get their season back on track.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Tight odds from bookmakers 

  • Home: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
  • Draw: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
  • Away: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

Mainz enter the match as very slight favourites with odds of 2.60 (38.5%), reflecting a marginal edge in their chances of securing the win. Augsburg are not far behind, priced at 2.70 (37.0%), which highlights just how finely balanced this contest is expected to be. 

The draw is offered at 3.25 (30.8%), further reinforcing the idea that neither side is strongly favoured and that a closely fought battle is the most likely outcome.

Most recent head-to-head: Augsburg hold advantage over Mainz 05

Sandro Wagner’s team have held the upper hand against Mainz in recent meetings. Out of the last five encounters, Augsburg have won three, while Bo Henriksen’s side have won two. The most recent clash ended in a 3-3 draw, while Augsburg had previously secured consecutive home wins in both 2021 and 2022.

Germany Bundesliga I 08/02/25

Mainz

Mainz

0
Augsburg

Augsburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 20/09/24

Augsburg

Augsburg

2
Mainz

Mainz

3

Germany Bundesliga I 17/02/24

Mainz

Mainz

1
Augsburg

Augsburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 23/09/23

Augsburg

Augsburg

2
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 11/02/23

Mainz

Mainz

3
Augsburg

Augsburg

1

After reviewing our key Augsburg vs Mainz 05 predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Augsburg preview: Two key players not available

Wagner has some injury concerns to deal with ahead of the match. Maximilian Bauer is out with an injury, Dimitrios Giannoulis suffered a thigh injury, Kristijan Jakic, with physical discomfort, while Anton Kade and Keven Schlotterbeck are both out of the clash due to an ankle and muscle injury, respectively. The team will be hoping to get a win despite the absence of their missing players.

Predicted lineup: Dahmen (GK), Gouweleeuw, Wolf, Zesiger, Matsima, Rieder, Rexhbecaj, Massengo, Jakic, Komur & Saad

Last five fixtures

  • 14.09.25 – St. Pauli 2 – 1 Augsburg
  • 03.09.25 – Augsburg 1 – 2 Greuther Furth
  • 30.08.25 – Augsburg 2 – 3 Bayern Munich
  • 23.08.25 – Freiburg 1 – 3 Augsburg
  • 17.08.25 – Hallescher 0 – 2 Augsburg

Mainz 05 preview: Few injuries in the team

Henriksen has a long injury list to contend with, as Maxim Dal is out with a knee injury, while Daniel Gleiber and Jae-Sung Lee are recovering from a thigh injury. Benedikt Hollerbach is also out of the clash after being sidelined with a hamstring injury and Silvan Widmer is out with a tight injury.

Predicted lineup: Zentner (GK), Bell, Caci, Mwene, Amiri, Kohr, da Costa, Sano, Nordin, Boving & Weiper

Last five fixtures

  • 13.09.25 – Mainz 0 – 1 RB Leipzig
  • 31.08.25 – Wolfsburg 1 – 1 Mainz
  • 28.08.25 – Mainz 4 – 1 Rosenborg
  • 24.08.25 – Mainz 0 – 1 FC Koln
  • 21.08.25 – Rosenborg 2 – 1 Mainz

Player to watch: Mert Komur

Mert Komur is one player to look out for in this clash. He has been in excellent form for the home side, playing a crucial role both in front of goal and in creating opportunities for his teammates. 

Mert Komur for Augsburg || Imago
Mert Komur for Augsburg | Imago

His vision, composure on the ball, and attacking drive make him a constant threat to opposition defences. In his last three matches, Komur has contributed directly with one goal and one assist, underlining his growing influence in Augsburg’s attack.


Stephen is a dynamic sports journalist, writer, and reporter who brings passion and expertise to the world of sports, captivating audiences with insightful articles and in-depth analysis of the game.