Atletico Mineiro vs Fortaleza prediction, odds & betting tips – 23/06/2024

Atletico Mineiro and Fortaleza are locked on 13 points each ahead of their clash at the Arena MRV in Brazil’s Serie A on Sunday, 23 June. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the contest below.

Atletico Mineiro vs Fortaleza prediction: Home advantage could be key

Key Stats

  • Atletico Mineiro avoided defeat in three of their first four home games of the new Serie A season.
  • Fortaleza picked up just one point from their last three away games and failed to score on each occasion.
  • Paulinho scored twice for Atletico MG when they last faced Fortaleza in October last year.
  • Four of the last five meetings between these teams have featured goals at both ends.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico MG are odds-on favourites

  • HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
  • AWAY: 16/4 (5.00) – 20%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Atletico Mineiro were beaten in each of their last two league matches, conceding eight goals along the way, though they are generally reliable on home soil, where they have lost just once in four assignments this term. The bookies have installed them as 3/4 favourites ahead of Sunday for that reason.

Fortaleza made full use of a one-man advantage to beat Gremio last time out, though they lost two and drew one of their last three away games and they have just a 20% chance of snapping that poor run with a win on Sunday. View more of our top Brazilian football tips on our latest football predictions page.

Last five H2Hs: History favours Atletico

Atletico Mineiro eased to a 3-1 win when they last faced Fortaleza and Atletico have lost only once of their last seven tussles with Sunday’s opponents overall.

Brazil Serie A 02/11/23

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

3
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1

Brazil Serie A 24/06/23

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

2
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Brazil Serie A 25/10/22

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Brazil Serie A 26/06/22

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

3
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

2

Copa do Brasil 28/10/21

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Atletico Mineiro preview: Trio on international duty

Guilherme Arana, Alan Franco and Eduardo Vargas are on international duty while Hulk is suspended and won't be involved. Otavio and Rubens are both in the treatment room and will also be absent this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Everson (GK), Saravia, Fuchs, Romulo, Scarpa, Gomes, Battaglia, Alisson, Pedrinho, Zaracho, Cadu

Brazil Serie A 16/07/24

D

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Brazil Serie A 12/07/24

W

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

Botafogo

Botafogo

3

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

L

Flamengo

Flamengo

4

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

D

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Fortaleza preview: Three players back from suspension

Kervin Andrade and Benjamin Kuscevic are away at the Copa America while Matheus Rossetto, Dudu, Moises and Marinho are injured. Renato Kayzer, Emanuel Britez and Juan Martin Lucero are in line to return from suspension.

Predicted lineup: Ricardo (GK), Tinga, Titi, Cardona, Jonatan, Hercules, Augusto, Pochettino, Martinez, Lopes, Lucero

Brazil Serie A 18/07/24

W

Vitoria

Vitoria

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

3

Brazil Serie A 11/07/24

W

Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

2

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

W

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1

Brazil Serie A 03/07/24

L

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

W

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

2

Player to watch – Gustavo Scarpa

Gustavo Scarpa has looked a cut above at Atletico Mineiro since moving back to his homeland from English club Nottingham Forest and in nine Serie A appearances this term, the 30-year-old has scored three goals and two assists.

Atletico Mineiro vs Fortaleza prediction
Gustavo Scarpa has been immense since moving back to Brazil – Photo by Icon Sport

Scarpa to be influential again?

Scarpa has been deployed as a wing back for most of the current campaign and he has chipped in with a goal contribution every 132.8 minutes from that position, which is an excellent return. Scarpa’s ability to turn matches in Atletico Mineiro’s favour could be evident again on Sunday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.