Atletico Mineiro vs Fortaleza prediction, odds & betting tips – 23/06/2024

Atletico Mineiro and Fortaleza are locked on 13 points each ahead of their clash at the Arena MRV in Brazil’s Serie A on Sunday, 23 June. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the contest below.

Atletico Mineiro vs Fortaleza prediction: Home advantage could be key

Key Stats

• Atletico Mineiro avoided defeat in three of their first four home games of the new Serie A season.
• Fortaleza picked up just one point from their last three away games and failed to score on each occasion.
• Paulinho scored twice for Atletico MG when they last faced Fortaleza in October last year.
• Four of the last five meetings between these teams have featured goals at both ends.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico MG are odds-on favourites

• HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
• DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
• AWAY: 16/4 (5.00) – 20%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Atletico Mineiro were beaten in each of their last two league matches, conceding eight goals along the way, though they are generally reliable on home soil, where they have lost just once in four assignments this term. The bookies have installed them as 3/4 favourites ahead of Sunday for that reason.

Fortaleza made full use of a one-man advantage to beat Gremio last time out, though they lost two and drew one of their last three away games and they have just a 20% chance of snapping that poor run with a win on Sunday. View more of our top Brazilian football tips on our latest football predictions page.

Last five H2Hs: History favours Atletico

Atletico Mineiro eased to a 3-1 win when they last faced Fortaleza and Atletico have lost only once of their last seven tussles with Sunday’s opponents overall.

Brazil Serie A 02/11/23

Atletico Mineiro

3

Fortaleza EC

1

Brazil Serie A 24/06/23

Fortaleza EC

2

Atletico Mineiro

1

Brazil Serie A 25/10/22

Fortaleza EC

0

Atletico Mineiro

0

Brazil Serie A 26/06/22

Atletico Mineiro

3

Fortaleza EC

2

Copa do Brasil 28/10/21

Fortaleza EC

1

Atletico Mineiro

2

Atletico Mineiro preview: Trio on international duty

Guilherme Arana, Alan Franco and Eduardo Vargas are on international duty while Hulk is suspended and won't be involved. Otavio and Rubens are both in the treatment room and will also be absent this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Everson (GK), Saravia, Fuchs, Romulo, Scarpa, Gomes, Battaglia, Alisson, Pedrinho, Zaracho, Cadu

Brazil Serie A 11/05/25

W

Fluminense

2

Atletico Mineiro

3

Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25

L

Deportes Iquique

3

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 05/05/25

W

EC Juventude

0

Atletico Mineiro

1

Copa do Brasil 29/04/25

D

Maringa FC

2

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 26/04/25

D

Mirassol

2

Atletico Mineiro

2

Fortaleza preview: Three players back from suspension

Kervin Andrade and Benjamin Kuscevic are away at the Copa America while Matheus Rossetto, Dudu, Moises and Marinho are injured. Renato Kayzer, Emanuel Britez and Juan Martin Lucero are in line to return from suspension.

Predicted lineup: Ricardo (GK), Tinga, Titi, Cardona, Jonatan, Hercules, Augusto, Pochettino, Martinez, Lopes, Lucero

Brazil Serie A 28/07/24

W

Sao Paulo

0

Fortaleza EC

1

Brazil Serie A 24/07/24

D

Criciuma

1

Fortaleza EC

1

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

W

Atletico GO

1

Fortaleza EC

3

Brazil Serie A 18/07/24

W

Vitoria

1

Fortaleza EC

3

Brazil Serie A 11/07/24

W

Flamengo

1

Fortaleza EC

2

Player to watch – Gustavo Scarpa

Gustavo Scarpa has looked a cut above at Atletico Mineiro since moving back to his homeland from English club Nottingham Forest and in nine Serie A appearances this term, the 30-year-old has scored three goals and two assists.

Scarpa to be influential again?

Scarpa has been deployed as a wing back for most of the current campaign and he has chipped in with a goal contribution every 132.8 minutes from that position, which is an excellent return. Scarpa’s ability to turn matches in Atletico Mineiro’s favour could be evident again on Sunday.