Atletico MG vs Vasco da Gama prediction, odds & betting tips 21/07/2024

Atletico MG vs Vasco da Gama prediction, odds & betting tips 21/07/2024
Vasco da Gama opened the scoring in the last four encounters between these teams. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

BTTS - yes

Both teams scored in seven of Atletico MG's last eight games

Arena MRV will host Atletico MG vs Vasco da Gama this weekend, as both teams contend with each other for three valuable points.

Atletico MG vs Vasco da Gama predictions: Goals at both ends

Key stats

  • Vasco da Gama are currently on a four-match winning run.
  • On the other hand, Atletico MG managed one win in their last five games.
  • Vasco da Gama came out on top the last three times these teams met.
  • Both teams were on the scoresheet in five of the last six encounters between these sides.

Correct score prediction: Atletico MG 1-2 Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama won their last four games, and they scored exactly two goals in three of those victories. Also, Vasco da Gama won three of their last five trips to this stadium by a 2-1 scoreline.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Mineiro are bookies' favourites

  • Atletico MG: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
  • Draw: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • Vasco da Gama: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

These teams are on opposite sides in terms of recent form. On one hand, Vasco da Gama won their last four games, and are on a five-match unbeaten run. On the other hand, Atletico MG suffered two defeats in their last four games, with just one win in their last five matches.

Despite their recent struggles, Atletico MG are the expected winners at 17/20 (1.85). Teams with these odds usually have a 54.1% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atletico MG vs Vasco da Gama predictions.

It is also worth mentioning that Vasco da Gama opened the scoring in their last four matches. Considering they drew first blood in the last four skirmishes between these outfits, Vasco da Gama to score first has an appealing look at 17/10 (2.70). That one has a 37% chance of landing.

Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Vasco da Gama?

Despite being the underdogs, Vasco da Gama have a great track record against Atletico Mineiro. They came out on top the last three times these teams met, and have three wins in their last five trips to Arena MRV.

Brazil Serie A 20/08/23

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Brazil Serie A 16/04/23

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 24/01/21

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

3
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 05/10/20

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

4
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1

Brazil Serie A 02/10/19

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Team news and form guide

Atletico MG: Hoping to get back to winning ways

Guilherme Arana is suspended for this clash, after picking up maximum yellow cards. Mariano (thigh), Matias Zaracho (groin), Mauricio Lemos (muscle), and Alisson Santana (ankle) are sidelined with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Mendes (GK), Alonso, Otavio, Fuchs, Saravia, Franco, Paulinho, Bernard, Scarpa, Kardec & Hulk.

Brazil Serie A 01/09/24

W

Gremio

Gremio

2

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

3

Copa do Brasil 29/08/24

W

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Brazil Serie A 25/08/24

L

Fluminense

Fluminense

2

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Copa Libertadores 21/08/24

W

San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo

0

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Brazil Serie A 17/08/24

D

Cuiaba

Cuiaba

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Vasco da Gama: Sights set on a five-match winning streak

Vasco da Gama have a long list of absentees ahead of this clash, including Philippe Coutinho, Dimitri Payet, Alex Teixeira, and Josef de Souza.

Predicted lineup: Jardim (GK), Piton, Leo, Maicon, Henrique, Carvalho, Moura, David, Praxedes, Adson & Vegetti.

Brazil Serie A 01/09/24

W

Vitoria

Vitoria

0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1

Copa do Brasil 29/08/24

W

Athletico Paranaense

Athletico Paranaense

1

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 27/08/24

W

Athletico Paranaense

Athletico Paranaense

1

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 18/08/24

D

Criciuma

Criciuma

2

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 11/08/24

W

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Player to watch: David Correa

Atletico MG vs Vasco da Gama predictions
Photo by Imago

David Correa scored the only goal in Vasco da Gama's 1-0 win against Atletico Goianiense last weekend. The former Fortaleza player's numbers have improved over the course of the season. While Correa had just two goal involvements in his first nine league assignments, he bagged two goals and two assists in five games since then.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives