Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo prediction, odds & betting 12/07/2024

Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo prediction, odds & betting 12/07/2024
Photo by Icon Sport
🔥 Our Hot tip

Sao Paulo to win

Sao Paulo are in the middle of a four-match winning streak in the Brazilian Serie A

Atletico MG will take on Sao Paulo in the Brazilian Serie in the early hours of Friday morning in a match that will have an impact on both ends of the table.

The hosts are currently sitting precariously in mid-table and are just six points clear of the drop zone. A defeat here could plunge them into trouble as we edge closer to the halfway point of the campaign.

Sao Paulo, on the other hand, are flying and currently sit inside the top four. The Brazilian giants will have their eyes firmly set on a first league title in 16 years.

As part of our latest round of Brazilian Serie A betting tipshere is our Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo prediction.

Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo prediction: More joy for the visitors

Key stats

  • Sao Paulo have won six of their last nine away matches in all competitions.
  • Atletico MG have won just one of their last seven matches in all competitions.
  • Three of Atletico MG's last four matches have seen at least three goals scored while the same can be said for four of Sao Paulo's last five.
  • Both teams have scored in two of the last three meetings between these two clubs.

Correct score prediction: Atletico MG 1-2 Sao Paulo

There is no substitute for momentum in football and Sao Paulo are currently riding a massive wave of it as they look to make it five wins in five on Friday morning. The hosts, meanwhile, can't buy a win which makes one here feel very unlikely. Two of Sao Paulo's last four wins have been by this scoreline so who is to say history won't repeat itself here?

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sao Paulo are priced as underdogs

  • HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
  • DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
  • AWAY: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite Sao Paulo's brilliant form, they are considered the underdogs for this clash. Ladbrokes consider Atletico MG as the favourites to come out on top at 13/10 while the draw is considered just as likely as an away win.

There are a few other matches set to take place in Brazil this week. Check them out via our betting tips for today page.

Last five H2Hs: Advantage Atletico

The Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo odds make more sense when you look at the recent H2H record in this fixture. Atletico MG are unbeaten in their last five matches against Sao Paulo and did the double over them in 2023. Sao Paulo's last victory in this fixture came in 2020 with their last away triumph coming in 2016.

Brazil Serie A 03/12/23

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Brazil Serie A 06/08/23

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 02/11/22

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 10/07/22

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Brazil Serie A 26/09/21

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Atletico MG preview: A season of disappointment

Atletico MG had a superb season last year, finishing in 3rd place but their fall from grace this season illustrates how volatile Brazilian football currently is. If they can win here and then put a few results together, then they will fancy their chances of still finishing inside the top six.

Predicted lineup: Mendes (GK), Battaglia, Rabello, Fuchs, Franco, Otavio, Monteiro, Scarpa, Paulinho, Hulk & Cadu

Brazil Serie A 16/07/24

D

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Brazil Serie A 12/07/24

W

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

Botafogo

Botafogo

3

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

L

Flamengo

Flamengo

4

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

D

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Sao Paulo preview: Embarking on a title charge

Sao Paulo haven't won the title in Brazil since 2008 but this current group look like they have what it takes to end the long drought. They are just four points adrift of the leaders as things stand and it's difficult to see who can stop them at present.

Predicted lineup: Rafael (GK), Welington, Franco, Arboleda, Vinicius, Alisson, Gustavo, Moura, Rato, Neves & Andre

Brazil Serie A 17/07/24

W

Gremio

Gremio

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Brazil Serie A 12/07/24

L

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Brazil Serie A 06/07/24

W

Bragantino

Bragantino

0

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

W

Athletico Paranaense

Athletico Paranaense

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

2

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

W

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

3

Player to watch: Luciano

luciano
Photo by Icon Sport

Luciano is having a brilliant season for Sao Paulo and is proving that age is but a number as he continues to shine in Brazil's top flight despite now being on the wrong side of 30. The striker has six goals to his name and trails by just one goal in the race for the Golden Boot.

A man in form

Luciano's best form of the season has come in recent weeks. He has now scored three goals and provided one assist in his last three appearances.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.