Palmeiras vs Atletico MG prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/09/2024
Palmeiras are chasing their sixth win in a row in Serie A. (Photo by Imago)
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Palmeiras to win

Palmeiras managed to win each of their last five games in Serie A.

Title chasing Palmeiras take on Atletico MG at the Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa in Brazil’s Serie A on Saturday, 28 September. View our Brazilian football betting tips for the clash below.

Palmeiras vs Atletico MG prediction: Home advantage could be key

Key Stats

  • Palmeiras managed to win each of their last five fixtures in Serie A.
  • Palmeiras kept a clean sheet in each of their last four matches in the division.
  • Palmeiras eased to a 4-0 win at Atletico MG when the teams last met in June.
  • Felipe Anderson notched in each of Palmeiras’ last two home games in the league.

Correct score prediction: Palmeiras 2-0 Atletico MG

Palmeiras are searching for a fifth win to nil on the bounce in Serie A and the title hopefuls, who claimed a clean sheet in a win over Atletico MG in June, could combine another victory with a shutout here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts are odds on favourites

  • HOME: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Palmeiras have claimed maximum points from their last five league matches and the 1/2 favourites should be able to add a sixth victory to their superb string of results when they host Atletico MG.

Atletico have been struggling on the road and having won only twice in ten attempts on their travels in all competitions, it’s easy to see why they have been priced as 6/1 underdogs ahead of the weekend. View more Brazilian football tips on our football predictions page.

Most recent H2Hs: History favours Palmeiras

Palmeiras walloped Atletico MG 4-0 when the teams last met in June, though Atletico had two men sent off on that occasion. Six of the last seven tussles between the sides have featured under 2.5 goals.

Brazil Serie A 18/06/24

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

4

Brazil Serie A 19/10/23

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

0
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Copa Libertadores 10/08/23

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

0
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Copa Libertadores 03/08/23

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Brazil Serie A 28/05/23

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Palmeiras preview: Trio absent for hosts

Marcos Rocha, Estevao, Mayke and Bruno Rodrigues are out of action for Palmeiras through injury. Palmeiras battled their way to an impressive 1-0 at Vasco da Gama in their last league assignment, leaving them three points off the summit of the table.

Predicted lineup: Weverton (GK), Giay, Gomez, Murilo, Vanderlan, Moreno, Rios, Veiga, Mauricio, Anderson, Lopez

Brazil Serie A 11/05/25

W

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

0

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Copa Libertadores 08/05/25

W

Cerro Porteno

Cerro Porteno

0

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

Brazil Serie A 04/05/25

W

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Copa do Brasil 30/04/25

W

Ceara

Ceara

0

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

1

Brazil Serie A 27/04/25

L

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

0

Atletico MG preview: Quartet sidelined

Atletico MG will be without the services of Renzo Saravia, Eduardo Vargas, Otavio, Alisson Santana and Matias Zaracho this weekend. Atletico enjoyed a 2-0 win over Fluminense in the Copa Libertadores on Wednesday evening.

Predicted lineup: Everson (GK), Lyanco, Battaglia, Alonso, Scarpa Franco, Vera, Arana, Bernard, Paulinho, Hulk

Brazil Serie A 11/05/25

W

Fluminense

Fluminense

2

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

3

Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25

L

Deportes Iquique

Deportes Iquique

3

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 05/05/25

W

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

0

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Copa do Brasil 29/04/25

D

Maringa FC

Maringa FC

2

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 26/04/25

D

Mirassol

Mirassol

2

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Player to watch – Felipe Anderson

Felipe Anderson left Lazio in Italy to return to his homeland in the summer and Palmeiras’ capture of the winger was seen as something of a coup.

Palmeiras vs Atletico MG prediction
Felipe Anderson could score for the third Palmeiras home game in a row. (Photo by Imago)

Anderson finally finding form

Anderson has taken some time to get going back in Brazil, though the 31-year-old did manage to score in each of Palmeiras’ last two home matches and he could make a similar impact against Atletico MG.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.