All eyes will be on Arena MRV as Atletico Mineiro and Fluminense clash in the quarterfinal of the Copa Libertadores on Wednesday, 25 September. View our free Atletico MG vs Fluminense predictions below.
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Atletico MG vs Fluminense predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Five of the last six clashes between Atletico Mineiro and Fluminense went below the 2.5-goal mark.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in eight of Atletico Mineiro’s last 11 matches, and in four of Fluminense's last five games.
- Fluminense are unbeaten in their last three clashes with Atletico Mineiro.
- Atletico Mineiro conceded first in each of the last three encounters between these teams.
Correct score prediction: Atletico MG 0-1 Fluminense
Fluminense won the last two clashes between these teams without conceding. They have six four wins in their last six matches, keeping three clean sheets in the process. Bearing in mind that Atletico Mineiro did not score in three of their last four matches, we are leaning towards Fluminense for the victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Mineiro are clear favourites
- HOME:4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
- DRAW:9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY:29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Atletico Mineiro got a much-needed morale booster in their 3-0 victory over Red Bull Bragantino last weekend. They had no wins and no goals scored in their previous three matches.
Ahead of the second leg of their Copa Libertadores tie, Atletico MG are the expected winners at 4/5 (1.80). Teams with these odds generally have a 55.6% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atletico MG vs Fluminense predictions.
It is also important to note that Fluminense opened the scoring in five of their last six matches. Given that they also drew first blood in each of their last three skirmishes with Atletico Mineiro, Fluminense to score first has an appealing look at 19/10 (2.90). That one has a 34.5% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Fluminense to complete the sweep?
Fluminense came out on top the last two times these teams clashed and are unbeaten in their last three encounters with Atletico Mineiro. It is important to note that Fluminense have a one-goal advantage heading into the second leg of this tie.
Copa Libertadores 18/09/24
Fluminense
Atletico Mineiro
Brazil Serie A 25/08/24
Atletico Mineiro
Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 04/05/24
Fluminense
Atletico Mineiro
Brazil Serie A 29/10/23
Atletico Mineiro
Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 22/06/23
Fluminense
Atletico Mineiro
Atletico MG preview: Hoping to overturn a one-goal deficit
There are no injury or suspension concerns for coach Gabriel Milito ahead of this match.
Predicted lineup: Everson (GK), Fuchs, Battaglia, Alonso, Scarpa, Bernard, Franco, Arana, Vera, Hulk & Paulinho.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
W
Fluminense
2
Atletico Mineiro
3
Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25
L
Deportes Iquique
3
Atletico Mineiro
2
Brazil Serie A 05/05/25
W
EC Juventude
0
Atletico Mineiro
1
Copa do Brasil 29/04/25
D
Maringa FC
2
Atletico Mineiro
2
Brazil Serie A 26/04/25
D
Mirassol
2
Atletico Mineiro
2
Fluminense preview: Eyeing a semifinal spot
As for Fluminense, Gustavo Nonato (broken nose), Thiago Silva (ankle injury) and Ignacio (meniscus injury) will sit this one out.
Predicted lineup: Fabio (GK), Xavier, Carlos, Santos, Marcelo, Martinelli, Bernal, Arias, Ganso, Serna & Elias.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
L
Atletico Mineiro
3
Fluminense
2
Copa Sudamericana 09/05/25
L
San Jose de Oruro
1
Fluminense
0
Brazil Serie A 03/05/25
W
Sport Recife
1
Fluminense
2
Copa do Brasil 30/04/25
W
Aparecidense
0
Fluminense
1
Brazil Serie A 27/04/25
L
Botafogo
2
Fluminense
0
Player to watch: Fabio
Fabio put up a solid performance in the first leg of this tie, making a couple of fine saves as Fluminense defeated Atletico Mineiro by a lone goal. The former Cruzeiro shot-stopper has now kept three clean sheets in his last five appearances for Fluminense. It will be interesting to see how he performs on Wednesday night.