Atletico-MG vs Caracas prediction, odds & betting tips 28/05/2024

All eyes will be on Arena MRV as group leaders Atletico-MG host last-placed Caracas on Tuesday. View our free Atletico-MG vs Caracas predictions below.

Atletico-MG vs Caracas predictions
Atletico-MG won four of five group games in the Copa Libertadores. (Photo by Icon Sport)

Atletico-MG vs Caracas predictions: Business as usual for the hosts

It's hard to envision any other result in this match but a convincing win for Atletico, although we can see both teams scoring in the end.

Key stats

  • Atletico-MG cruised through a comfortable 4-1 victory in the reverse fixture, Paulinho scored twice in that match.
  • Caracas are currently on a 16-match winless streak.
  • While Atletico-MG won four of five group games, Caracas have lost four of five matches so far.
  • Atletico-MG have secured a place in the Round of 16, while Caracas have been eliminated from the Copa Libertadores.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico-MG are overwhelming favourites

  • Atletico-MG: 1/16 (1.06) – 94.1%
  • Draw: 9/1 (10.0) – 10%
  • Caracas: 16/1 (17.00) – 5.9%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Atletico-MG have been the best team in Group G, having won four of five matches played so far. They have two wins in as many home games, scoring five times in the process. In contrast, Caracas suffered four losses in five group matches. They lost two of two road games, conceding nine times.

Keeping that in mind, it's not surprising that Atletico-MG are the expected winners at 1/16 (1.06). Teams with these odds generally have a 94.1% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atletico-MG vs Caracas predictions.

Also, we've mentioned that Caracas saw their defence breached nine times in just two road games. Considering the reverse fixture was a five-goal thriller, over 3.5 total goals has an appealing look at 17/20 (1.85). That one has a 54.1% chance of landing.

Last five H2Hs: Second clash between the sides

These teams squared off against each other last month, and Caracas suffered a humiliating 4-1 loss at home.

Copa Libertadores 04/04/24

Caracas

Caracas

1
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

4

Team news and form guide

Atletico-MG: Looking to rebound from back-to-back losses

Otavio, Paulo Vitor and Rubens are all sidelined with injuries, and will be unavailable for selection.

Predicted lineup: Èverson (GK), Lemos, Battaglia, Saravia, Arana, Alisson, Franco, Scarpa, Paulinho, Gomes & Vargas.

Brazil Serie A 17/06/24

L

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

4

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Brazil Serie A 12/06/24

W

Bragantino

Bragantino

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 02/06/24

D

EC Bahia

EC Bahia

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Copa Libertadores 28/05/24

W

Caracas

Caracas

0

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

4

Copa do Brasil 22/05/24

L

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Caracas: Eyeing their first win since mid-February

Manuel Sulbarán faces a late fitness test ahead of this clash. He picked up a knock in Caracas' 4-1 loss at Rosario Central a couple of weeks ago.

Predicted lineup: Fariñez (GK), Tamayo, Quijada, Mantià, Rivas, Ortega, Padilla, Casiani, Perez, Echenique & Pernia.

Copa Libertadores 28/05/24

L

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

4

Caracas

Caracas

0

Copa Libertadores 16/05/24

L

Rosario Central

Rosario Central

4

Caracas

Caracas

1

Copa Libertadores 07/05/24

L

Penarol

Penarol

1

Caracas

Caracas

0

Copa Libertadores 23/04/24

D

Rosario Central

Rosario Central

1

Caracas

Caracas

1

Venezuela Primera Division 19/04/24

L

ve

Carabobo

1

Caracas

Caracas

0

Atletico-MG vs Caracas predictions
Paulinho scored five goals in as many appearances in the Copa Libertadores this season. (Photo by Icon Sport)

Player to watch: Paulinho

Atletico-MG's Paulinho has been nothing short of impressive so far. He has started five games in the Copa Libertadores this season, scoring five times with one assist.

Interestingly, the former Bayer Leverkusen star was a thorn in Caracas' flesh when these teams squared off against each other last month, as he scored twice in Atletico-MG's 4-1 victory. Paulinho is the joint top-scorer at this tournament, and he'll set his sights on the Golden Boot.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives