Three points will be at stake when Atletico Madrid and Union Saint-Gilloise draw swords in the UEFA Champions League at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Tuesday, 4 November 2025.
View our free Atletico Madrid vs Union Saint-Gilloise predictions below.
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Atletico Madrid vs Union Saint-Gilloise predictions: Goals expected to flow
Key stats
- Five goals were scored on average in Atletico Madrid's three UEFA Champions League games this season.
- Union Saint-Gilloise’s other three matches in this competition went above the 3.5-goal line.
- Atletico Madrid have averaged over two goals per game in their last nine games across all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Union Saint-Gilloise
Although Union Saint-Gilloise have strung together a three-game winning streak across all competitions, they have suffered back-to-back 4-0 defeats in the UEFA Champions League.
Atletico Madrid have a 7-1-1 win-draw-loss record in their last nine matches in all competitions. They have the better squad on paper and should be able to secure a fairly comfortable victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti are overwhelming favourites
- HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Atletico Madrid and Club Brugge have both earned three points from a possible nine in the UEFA Champions League this season and are 19th and 24th in the league phase, respectively.
Ahead of this skirmish, Atletico Madrid are the expected winners at 1/4 (1.25). Teams with these odds generally have an 80% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atletico Madrid vs Union Saint-Gilloise predictions.
Also, keeping in mind that both teams' games in this competition have all gone above the 3.5-goal threshold, Over 3.5 total goals has an appealing look at 6/5 (2.20). That one has a 45.5% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: First meeting
Atletico Madrid and Union Saint-Gilloise will square off against each other for the first time on Tuesday. Interestingly, while this will be Union SG’s first encounter with a Spanish side, Atletico Madrid have a 5-2-5 win-draw-loss record in 12 previous skirmishes with Belgian opponents.
Atletico Madrid preview: No major injury concerns
Things are going well for Atletico Madrid on the injury front, as Ilias Kostis, who has a long-term cruciate ligament injury, is the only player ruled out of this Champions League clash.
Nicolas Gonzalez was forced off injured in the 69th minute of Atleti's win over Sevilla on Saturday. This could make the Argentine midfielder a possible absentee for this encounter.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Hancko, Gimenez, Le Normand, Llorente, Gallagher, Koke, Barrios, Simeone, Griezmann & Alvarez.
Last five matches
- Atletico Madrid 3-0 Sevilla
- Real Betis 0-2 Atletico Madrid
- Arsenal 4-0 Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna
- Atletico Madrid 1-1 Inter Milan (4-2 AP)
Union SG preview: Eyeing their fourth consecutive victory
As for Union SG, Mohammed Fuseini is sidelined due to an ankle injury sustained against Anderlecht on 31 August. Otherwise, the visitors are in fantastic shape ahead of this contest.
Predicted lineup: Scherpen (GK), Mac Allister, Burgess, Leysen, Khalaily, Zorgane, Rasmussen, Niang, El Hadj, Florucz & David.
Last five matches
- Zulte Waregem 1-4 USG
- Tubize-Braine 0-3 USG
- USG 2-0 St. Truidense
- USG 0-4 Inter Milan
- USG 3-1 Charleroi
Player to watch: Julian Alvarez
Julian Alvarez opened the scoring in Atletico Madrid's 3-0 victory over Sevilla last weekend. The Argentine forward has been impressive with 12 goal contributions across all competitions for Atleti this season. He will be called upon to provide goals on Tuesday night.