Atletico Madrid begin their 2024/25 Champions League campaign with a home fixture on Thursday. Our Atletico Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction and Champions League betting tips look at whether it’ll be a winning start for Diego Simeone’s side.
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Atletico Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction: Alvarez to strike again in home win
Key stats
- Our Atletico Madrid vs RB Leipzig betting tips take into account that both teams have scored in all of the German team’s last 17 away fixtures in all competitions.
- It’s six wins out of eight at home for Los Colchoneros in all competitions.
- Atleti won all five home games in last season’s Champions League.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-1 RB Leipzig
Diego Simeone’s side were really strong at home last season in this competition and with what looks a stronger squad this term, they should have the edge against this Leipzig side. The visitors almost always ask questions though and having not failed to score away since last November, an away goal does look likely.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Simeone’s side the clear favourites
- HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the clear favourites according to the Atletico Madrid vs RB Leipzig odds with an implied probability of 55.6% that they win this match.
Atletico Madrid head into this match after cruising to a 3-0 win over Valencia in La Liga at the weekend, with goals from Conor Gallagher, Antoine Griezmann and Julian Alvarez.
As for Leipzig, they head into this after a rare goalless draw at home to Union Berlin in the Bundesliga.
Today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks from the upcoming action in Europe.
Most recent H2Hs: Leipzig victorious in 2020
Our Atletico Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction suggests the Spanish side will gain revenge after exiting this tournament in a rare single-legged quarter-final against RB Leipzig in 2020. The Germans won 2-1 in a match played behind closed doors in Portugal due to the pandemic.
UEFA Champions League 13/08/20
RB Leipzig
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid preview: Few concerns for the hosts
Young midfielder Pablo Barrios is the only definite injury absentee for Atleti. Thomas Lemar is rated doubtful.
Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Azpilicueta, Le Normand, Gimenez, Lino, De Paul, Koke, Llorente, Gallagher, Griezmann & Alvarez
UEFA Champions League 02/10/24 L Benfica 4 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 29/09/24 D Real Madrid 1 Atletico Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 26/09/24 W Celta Vigo 0 Atletico Madrid 1 Spain La Liga 22/09/24 D Rayo Vallecano 1 Atletico Madrid 1 UEFA Champions League 19/09/24 W RB Leipzig 1 Atletico Madrid 2
RB Leipzig preview: Midfield duo sidelined
The visitors are without midfielders Xaver Schlager and Assan Ouedraogo due to injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Gulasci (GK), Raum, Lukeba, Klostermann, Henrichs, Simons, Seiwald, Kampl, Haidara, Sesko & Openda
UEFA Champions League 02/10/24 L Juventus 3 RB Leipzig 2 Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24 W Augsburg 0 RB Leipzig 4 Germany Bundesliga I 22/09/24 D St Pauli 0 RB Leipzig 0 UEFA Champions League 19/09/24 L Atletico Madrid 2 RB Leipzig 1 Germany Bundesliga I 14/09/24 D Union Berlin 0 RB Leipzig 0
Player to watch – Julian Alvarez
Following a late summer move from Man City, Julian Alvarez has only clocked up 238 minutes of action for his new club so far. He opened his account with a 93rd minute strike against Valencia on Sunday night.
Most threatening after the break
Alvarez does have a habit of scoring late. Since the start of last season, 60% of his club goals have come in the Second Half, including four of his five Champions League strikes.
