Atletico Madrid will look to improve their fortunes when they host Rayo Vallecano in the sixth round of La Liga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Wednesday, 24 September 2025.
View our free Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano predictions below.
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Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano predictions: Hosts to claim all the spoils
Key stats
- Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last 18 meetings with Rayo Vallecano.
- Rayo Vallecano conceded first in 11 of the last 12 skirmishes between these sides.
- Five of Atletico Madrid's last six matches across all competitions produced goals at both ends.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Although Atletico Madrid have had a slow start to their La Liga campaign, they have an excellent track record against Rayo Vallecano, especially at home.
Having won 11 of their last 12 home encounters with Rayo Vallecano, we are confident that Diego Simeone’s men will reign supreme after 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Madrid are clear favourites
- HOME: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Things have not gone swimmingly for Atletico Madrid so far, as they have managed only one win in five La Liga games (D3, L1). Simeone's troops are 12th in the Spanish top flight, two spots above Rayo Vallecano, who have earned five points from five league games.
Ahead of this skirmis, Atletico Madrid are the expected winners at 1/2 (1.50). Teams with these odds usually have a 66.7% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano predictions.
We have also pointed out that both teams were on the scoresheet in five of Atletico Madrid's last six matches. Bearing that in mind, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Atletico Madrid?
Rayo Vallecano have a poor track record against Atletico Madrid, as they have no wins in 18 consecutive clashes between these sides, stretching back to February 2013 (D4, L14).
Interestingly, Rayo have not beaten Atletico Madrid at home in over 25 years.
Spain La Liga 24/04/25
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 22/09/24
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 31/01/24
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 28/08/23
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 09/04/23
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid preview: A few absentees
Atletico Madrid will have to do without Thiago Almada, Alex Baena, and Jose Gimenez due to injuries.
Argentine frontman Julian Alvarez has fully recovered from a knee injury and should get a spot in the final third alongside Antoine Griezmann.
Alexander Sorloth was sent off in the 72nd minute of the clash with Mallorca last time out, which means the Norwegian is suspended for this contest.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Llorente, Le Normand, Lenglet, Hancko, Simeone, Koke, Barrios, Gallagher, Griezmann & Alvarez.
Last five matches
- Mallorca 1-1 Atletico Madrid
- Liverpool 3-2 Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid 2-0 Villarreal
- Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Atletico Madrid
- Atletico Madrid 1-1 Elche
Rayo Vallecano preview: Changes expected
Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, will have Abdul Mumin, Luiz Felipe and Randy Nteka sidelined with injuries.
Inigo Perez is expected to make a few changes for this game, with Alemao tipped to start up front, while Jorge de Frutos contributes his quota from a wide area.
Predicted lineup: Batalla (GK), Ratiu, Ciss, Lejeune, Espino, Valentin, Diaz, De Frutos, Palazon, Garcia & Alemao.
Last five matches
- Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta Vigo
- Osasuna 2-0 Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Barcelona
- Rayo Vallecano 4-0 Neman Grodno
- Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Player to watch: Jorge de Frutos
Rayo Vallecano have scored five goals in La Liga this season and Jorge de Frutos was directly involved in three of them. The former Real Madrid midfielder will fancy his chances against Atletico on Wednesday night.