Leganes vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 18/01/2025

There’s a local derby at Butarque on Saturday. Our Leganes vs Atletico Madrid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the visitors can extend a club record-winning run.

Leganes vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Visitors to win by at least two

Key stats

• Our Leganes vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account that 89% of matches at Butarque this term have produced under 3.5 goals.
• Atletico’s away league matches average just 2.22 goals per game.
• It’s seven defeats from eight matches for Leganes against current top-eight opposition this term.

Correct score prediction: Leganes 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Atleti are in stunning form right now. They rested most of their regulars in midweek, so they should be fresh and good to go here, with three points the objective across town at Butarque.

Leganes have lost all of their last three home games by three-goal margins, so it’s hard to make any case for the hosts in this one.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico favourites to extend winning streak

• HOME: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
• DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
• AWAY: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The visitors are the favourites according to the Leganes vs Atletico Madrid odds with an implied probability of 67.7% that they win this match.

Both sides were in Copa del Rey action in midweek, away to second-tier opposition.

Leganes won 3-2 at Almeria, with Diego Garcia netting an 86th-minute winner. Meanwhile, Atleti won 4-0 at Elche, with Alexander Sorloth scoring twice.

For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Atleti unbeaten in top flight meetings

Our Leganes vs Atletico Madrid prediction suggests Los Rojiblancos can make it 10 top-flight meetings without defeat against their neighbours.

The four previous meetings at Butarque have produced just three goals in total, with three of those games ending level.

Spain La Liga 20/10/24

Atletico Madrid

3

Leganes

1

Spain La Liga 26/01/20

Atletico Madrid

0

Leganes

0

Spain La Liga 25/08/19

Leganes

0

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain La Liga 09/03/19

Atletico Madrid

1

Leganes

0

Spain La Liga 03/11/18

Leganes

1

Atletico Madrid

1

Leganes preview: Two suspensions for the hosts

The home team are missing Oscar Rodriguez and Juan Soriano to suspensions. Enric Franquesa is injured, while Jorge Saenz is a doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Dmitrovic (GK), Nastasic, Tapia, Sergio, J. Hernandez, Cisse, Neyou, Brasanac, Rosier, Raba & De la Fuente

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

W

Espanyol

2

Leganes

3

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

D

Sevilla

2

Leganes

2

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

D

Girona

1

Leganes

1

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

D

Mallorca

0

Leganes

0

Spain La Liga 12/04/25

L

Barcelona

1

Leganes

0

Atletico Madrid preview: Regulars to return

Diego Simeone should largely return to his regular starting lineup here after cup rotation. Jose Maria Gimenez is the only injury doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Oblak (GK), Galan, Lenglet, Le Normand, Molina, Lino, Barrios, De Paul, Simeone, Griezmann & Alvarez

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

W

Real Sociedad

0

Atletico Madrid

4

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

D

CD Alaves

0

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 24/04/25

W

Rayo Vallecano

0

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

L

Las Palmas

1

Atletico Madrid

0

Spain La Liga 14/04/25

W

Valladolid

2

Atletico Madrid

4

Player to watch – Julian Alvarez

After a slightly slow start, Atleti’s biggest summer signing Julian Alvarez is starting to find his feet. The former Man City striker has scored 14 goals in all competitions from 21 starts for his new club, although only six of those were in La Liga.

Alvarez striking late

A total of 64% of the Argentina forward’s goals for Atleti so far have come in the second half. He has twice scored in the 90th minute or later in La Liga.