Atletico Madrid play their final competitive match before the Club World Cup at Montilivi on Sunday.
Our Girona vs Atletico Madrid prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Diego Simeone’s side will be able to end their domestic season with a win.
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Girona vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Low-scoring draw at Montilivi
Key stats
- Our Girona vs Atletico Madrid betting tips take into account that Los Rojiblancos have dropped points in 61% of their road fixtures in La Liga 2024/25.
- They’ve taken just one point from their last three away fixtures.
- Four of the last five Girona games have produced under 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Girona 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Neither side has had a great season, and this is not likely to be a classic game, with both sets of players likely to be keen to move on from this campaign.
With Simeone expected to rest a large number of his regulars, Girona should certainly be competitive here with home advantage, and this one may end up all square.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- AWAY: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Girona vs Atletico Madrid odds, with an implied probability of 51.3% that they win this match.
They head into this game following a 4-1 win over Real Betis at the Estadio Metropolitano, with Julian Alvarez scoring twice in that game.
As for Girona, they lost 3-2 at Real Sociedad last time out, despite goals from Portu and Cristhian Stuani.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: History favours Simeone’s men
Our Girona vs Atletico Madrid prediction suggests this may buck the recent trend that has seen five of the last six meetings go the way of the side from the Spanish capital.
Girona did win this fixture 4-3 last season though, and they’ve only lost one of their last five at home to this opposition.
Spain La Liga 25/08/24
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Spain La Liga 13/04/24
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Spain La Liga 03/01/24
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 13/03/23
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 08/10/22
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Girona preview: Injury doubts for Michel
The hosts have fitness doubts over Miguel Gutierrez, Bojan Miovski and Gabriel Misehouy, while Donny van de Beek and Bryan Gil are definitely out.
Predicted Lineup: Carlos (GK), Blind, Krejci, Juanpe, A. Martinez, Herrera, Solis, Martin, Asprilla, Stuani & Tsygankov
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
W Valladolid 0 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 10/05/25
L Villarreal 1 Girona 0 Spain La Liga 05/05/25
W Mallorca 0 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
D Leganes 1 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 21/04/25
L Real Betis 3 Girona 1
Atletico Madrid preview: Simeone to mix things up
Big changes are expected from the visitors, with a host of fringe players likely to start. Jan Oblak is their only fitness doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Musso (GK), Azpilicueta, Lenglet, Witsel, Molina, Lino, Koke, Gallagher, Riquelme, Correa & Griezmann
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Real Sociedad 0 Atletico Madrid 4 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
D CD Alaves 0 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
W Rayo Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 3 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
L Las Palmas 1 Atletico Madrid 0 Spain La Liga 14/04/25
W Valladolid 2 Atletico Madrid 4
Player to watch – Cristhian Stuani
There was a genuine chance of Girona getting relegated only a few weeks ago, but they’ve beaten the drop largely thanks to Cristhian Stuani. The veteran striker has scored in five of his last six matches.
Stuani’s stunning strike-rate
The Uruguayan averages a goal every 88 minutes in La Liga this season. That’s better than the likes of Robert Lewandowski and Kylian Mbappe, who lead the Pichichi race.