Atletico Madrid will welcome Elche to the Estadio Metropolitano in their first home game of the new 2025/26 La Liga season on Saturday evening. The hosts lost their opening match of the campaign 2-1 away at Espanyol, and will want to bounce back quickly.
Meanwhile, the visitors drew 1-1 at home to Real Betis in their season opener. They will certainly not be easy opponents for Atleti, but will still be the underdogs on their travels.
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Atletico Madrid vs Elche prediction: Atleti aiming for reaction
Key stats
- Three of Atleti's last four wins in all competitions have been to nil.
- Elche have conceded just one goal in their previous three games in all competitions.
- Atleti have won seven of the last eight H2Hs across all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Elche
Atleti should still be expected to take all three points on home soil, despite their poor start to the new campaign. Given how the most recent H2Hs have gone, we are also backing the hosts to keep a clean sheet.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atleti installed as favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80.0%
- DRAW: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
- AWAY: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Atleti are huge favourites with the bookmakers to claim all three points on home turf. A draw is rated at just over 17%, while Elche are only given just over an 8% chance of winning on their travels.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page, as well as our La Liga predictions & betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Atleti have been dominant
As mentioned before, Atleti have won seven of the previous eight meetings in all competitions. The last six H2Hs have also not seen both teams score, so we could expect another fairly low-scoring affair here.
Spain Copa del Rey 15/01/25
Elche
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 14/05/23
Elche
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 29/12/22
Atletico Madrid
Elche
Spain La Liga 11/05/22
Elche
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 22/08/21
Atletico Madrid
Elche
Atletico Madrid preview: Baena an injury blow
Atleti will have to make at least one change from the XI that started against Espanyol last time out, as new signing Alex Baena has unfortunately suffered an injury. Jose Maria Gimenez also remains a doubt for the hosts due to his lack of fitness.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Ruggeri, Hancko, Le Normand, Llorente, Almada, Barrios, Cardoso, Simeone, Sorloth & Alvarez
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W
Real Sociedad
0
Atletico Madrid
4
Spain La Liga 03/05/25
D
CD Alaves
0
Atletico Madrid
0
Spain La Liga 24/04/25
W
Rayo Vallecano
0
Atletico Madrid
3
Spain La Liga 19/04/25
L
Las Palmas
1
Atletico Madrid
0
Spain La Liga 14/04/25
W
Valladolid
2
Atletico Madrid
4
Elche preview: Three key players could be ruled out
Elche are also going to be missing a number of key players through injury, with both Adam Boayar and Yago Santiago set to watch from the sidelines. Josan Ferrandez is also a fitness doubt for the visitors.
Predicted lineup: Dituro (GK), Petrot, Bigas, Affengruber, Nunez, Neto, Aguado, Febas, Mendoza, Rodriguez & Valera
Spain Segunda 10/05/25
L
Levante
3
Elche
1
Spain Segunda 03/05/25
W
Burgos
0
Elche
1
Spain Segunda 26/04/25
D
Granada
1
Elche
1
Spain Segunda 20/04/25
D
Albacete
2
Elche
2
Spain Segunda 12/04/25
W
Cadiz
0
Elche
1
Player to watch: Julian Alvarez
Despite losing 2-1 away to Espanyol, Julian Alvarez still managed to get himself on the scoresheet for Atletico Madrid. The Argentina international striker has been so reliable in front of goal since the start of the 2024/25 campaign, and will surely fancy himself to find the back of the net once again as Atleti have a favourable game on paper at home to Elche in La Liga on Saturday night.