Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/04/2024

16/04/24 - 20:00

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Borussia Dortmund - Atletico Madrid

UEFA Champions League - BVB Stadion Dortmund

3rd Round

Borussia Dortmund are set to battle it out with Atletico Madrid on Tuesday, 16 April for a place in the Champions League semi-finals.

Atletico come into the match with a narrow advantage after winning the first leg 2-1 at the Wanda Metropiltano but Dortmund will fancy their chances of overturning that in front of their fiercely loyal and loud supporters.

Ahead of kick-off at Signal Iduna Park, take a look at our Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid prediction.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Battle of the underdogs

Key stats

• Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten at home in the Champions League this season (two wins, two draws).
• Atletico Madrid have won their last three matches in all competitions.
• Borussia Dortmund are looking to reach the semi-finals for the first time since 2013. That year, they went on to reach the final at Wembley – the same place where this year's final is being held.

Pre-game odds and win probability: A nervy night awaits

• HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
• DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
• AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund odds demonstrate how tight this match is expected to be. Many people assumed Atletico would get half of the job done in the first leg in Madrid but after conceding a late goal, they now need to produce a good performance in Germany to progress through to the semi-finals.

Borussia Dortmund are the favourites on the night and a large part of that will be due to their impressive home record in Europe.

However, despite that, they have been shaky in front of their home fans domestically in recent weeks. They have suffered two losses at Signal Iduna Park against Stuttgart and Hoffenheim since the end of February which should give Diego Simeone a lot of belief.

Aside from the previously listed selections, there are plenty of other free betting tips for Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid. Atletico's Alvaro Morata is 7/5 to score anytime while Borussia Dortmund to score first is 4/5.

Last five H2Hs: Home comforts are key

Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid have played each other three times since 2018, and on each occasion, the team playing at home has come out on top. Back in 1996, Atletico Madrid did taste victory away in Dortmund, and they will be hoping for a repeat on Tuesday night.

UEFA Champions League 10/04/24

Atletico Madrid

2

Borussia Dortmund

1

UEFA Champions League 06/11/18

Atletico Madrid

2

Borussia Dortmund

0

UEFA Champions League 24/10/18

Borussia Dortmund

4

Atletico Madrid

0

Borussia Dortmund preview: Dreaming of a return to Wembley

Jadon Sancho missed Dortmund's Bundesliga match at the weekend but is expected to return to the starting XI here while Sebastian Haller should also be okay despite being forced off with an injury at the weekend. Georgian defender Ramy Bensebaini is the only player certain to miss out for the Germans.

Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Ryerson, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Maatsen, Can, Sabitzer, Brandt, Sancho, Haller, Malen

UEFA Champions League 11/02/25

W

Sporting

0

Borussia Dortmund

3

Germany Bundesliga I 08/02/25

L

VfB Stuttgart

2

Borussia Dortmund

1

Germany Bundesliga I 01/02/25

W

Heidenheim

1

Borussia Dortmund

2

UEFA Champions League 29/01/25

W

Shakhtar Donetsk

1

Borussia Dortmund

3

Germany Bundesliga I 25/01/25

D

Werder Bremen

2

Borussia Dortmund

2

Atletico Madrid preview: Looking to set up an all-Spanish semi-final

Diego Simeone has more injury concerns than his opposite number, with Memphis Depay, Thomas Lemar, and Marcos Paulo are unavailable on Tuesday night. There are also doubts about Saul Niguez, and the midfielder will have to prove his fitness on Monday if he is to be risked.

Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Witsel, Gimenez, Azpilicueta, Molina, Llorente, De Paul, Koke Lino, Griezmann, Morata

Spain La Liga 08/02/25

D

Real Madrid

1

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Copa del Rey 04/02/25

W

Getafe

0

Atletico Madrid

5

Spain La Liga 01/02/25

W

Mallorca

0

Atletico Madrid

2

UEFA Champions League 29/01/25

W

FC Salzburg

1

Atletico Madrid

4

Spain La Liga 25/01/25

D

Villarreal

1

Atletico Madrid

1

Player to watch: Antoine Griezmann

Antoine Griezmann has once again been one of the best footballers in Spain this year. His form has also been fantastic in the Champions League. The Frenchman is one behind Harry Kane in the race for the UCL Golden Boot.

A man for the big nights

Griezmann has built up a reputation over the years as being someone capable of producing his best form in the biggest matches. They will need his experience and class tonight if they are to progress.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Borussia Dortmund

Who ? is ? hype ? pic.twitter.com/LjLz0jxdcJ

— Borussia Dortmund (@BlackYellow) April 15, 2024

Atletico Madrid

? These are the best nights! pic.twitter.com/2oQoM4H1Y6

— Atlético de Madrid (@atletienglish) April 16, 2024