Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/04/2024

Borussia Dortmund
16/04/24 - 20:00

Finished

4

-

2

Atletico Madrid

Borussia Dortmund - Atletico Madrid

UEFA Champions League - Signal Iduna Park

3rd Round

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid prediction
Photo by Icon Sport

Borussia Dortmund are set to battle it out with Atletico Madrid on Tuesday, 16 April for a place in the Champions League semi-finals.

Atletico come into the match with a narrow advantage after winning the first leg 2-1 at the Wanda Metropiltano but Dortmund will fancy their chances of overturning that in front of their fiercely loyal and loud supporters.

Ahead of kick-off at Signal Iduna Park, take a look at our Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid prediction.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid prediction: Battle of the underdogs

Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Both teams to score

⚽ Correct score prediction

Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Atletico Madrid

⬆️ Over 2.5 goals

 

Yes

Key stats

  • Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten at home in the Champions League this season (two wins, two draws).
  • Atletico Madrid have won their last three matches in all competitions.
  • Borussia Dortmund are looking to reach the semi-finals for the first time since 2013. That year, they went on to reach the final at Wembley – the same place where this year's final is being held.

Pre-game odds and win probability: A nervy night awaits

  • HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund odds demonstrate how tight this match is expected to be. Many people assumed Atletico would get half of the job done in the first leg in Madrid but after conceding a late goal, they now need to produce a good performance in Germany to progress through to the semi-finals.

Borussia Dortmund are the favourites on the night and a large part of that will be due to their impressive home record in Europe.

However, despite that, they have been shaky in front of their home fans domestically in recent weeks. They have suffered two losses at Signal Iduna Park against Stuttgart and Hoffenheim since the end of February which should give Diego Simeone a lot of belief.

Aside from the previously listed selections, there are plenty of other free betting tips for Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid. Atletico's Alvaro Morata is 7/5 to score anytime while Borussia Dortmund to score first is 4/5.

Last five H2Hs: Home comforts are key

Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid have played each other three times since 2018, and on each occasion, the team playing at home has come out on top. Back in 1996, Atletico Madrid did taste victory away in Dortmund, and they will be hoping for a repeat on Tuesday night.

UEFA Champions League 10/04/24

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

UEFA Champions League 06/11/18

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

2
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

UEFA Champions League 24/10/18

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

4
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

Borussia Dortmund preview: Dreaming of a return to Wembley

Jadon Sancho missed Dortmund's Bundesliga match at the weekend but is expected to return to the starting XI here while Sebastian Haller should also be okay despite being forced off with an injury at the weekend. Georgian defender Ramy Bensebaini is the only player certain to miss out for the Germans.

Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Ryerson, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Maatsen, Can, Sabitzer, Brandt, Sancho, Haller, Malen

Germany Bundesliga I 18/05/24

W

Darmstadt

Darmstadt

0

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

4

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/24

L

Mainz

Mainz

3

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

UEFA Champions League 07/05/24

W

PSG

PSG

0

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/24

W

Augsburg

Augsburg

1

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

5

UEFA Champions League 01/05/24

W

PSG

PSG

0

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

Atletico Madrid preview: Looking to set up an all-Spanish semi-final

Diego Simeone has more injury concerns than his opposite number, with Memphis Depay, Thomas Lemar, and Marcos Paulo are unavailable on Tuesday night. There are also doubts about Saul Niguez, and the midfielder will have to prove his fitness on Monday if he is to be risked.

Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Witsel, Gimenez, Azpilicueta, Molina, Llorente, De Paul, Koke Lino, Griezmann, Morata

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

L

Osasuna

Osasuna

4

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Spain Primera Liga 12/05/24

W

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 04/05/24

W

Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Spain Primera Liga 27/04/24

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Player to watch: Antoine Griezmann

antoine griezmann
Antoine Griezmann – Photo by Icon Sport

Antoine Griezmann has once again been one of the best footballers in Spain this year. His form has also been fantastic in the Champions League. The Frenchman is one behind Harry Kane in the race for the UCL Golden Boot.

A man for the big nights

Griezmann has built up a reputation over the years as being someone capable of producing his best form in the biggest matches. They will need his experience and class tonight if they are to progress.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Borussia Dortmund

Atletico Madrid


Avatar of Andy Delaney
Andy Delaney

Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.