Flamengo vs Athletico PR prediction, odds & betting tips – 30/09/2024

Flamengo meet Athletico PR at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in Brazil’s Serie A on Monday, 30 September. View our Brazilian football betting tips for the match below.

Flamengo vs Athletico PR prediction: Back hosts to triumph

Key Stats

• Flamengo have lost only one of their last nine home games in all competitions.
• Under 2.5 goals landed in seven of Flamengo’s last eight matches on home soil.
• Athletico PR lost three of their last four away tussles.
• Flamengo notched one goal in three of their last six home assignments.

Correct score prediction: Flamengo 1-0 Athletico PR

Flamengo have lost just once in nine games on their own patch, though they remain modest scorers and a 1-0 win could be the outcome to back on Sunday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Flamengo are favourites

• HOME: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
• DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
• AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Flamengo are a tough nut to crack on their own patch and they are 13/20 favourites to win at home again on Sunday having lost just once in nine matches in front of their own supporters.

Athletico PR meanwhile, lost three of their last four away tests and in our opinion, have been priced appropriately at 4/1 in the match result markets here. Discover more Brazilian tips on our free football predictions page.

Most recent H2Hs: Flamengo have had the edge

Flamengo have lost only one of their last four meetings with Athletico PR. The teams drew 1-1 when the sides last met in June.

Brazil Serie A 16/06/24

Athletico Paranaense

1

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 14/09/23

Flamengo

0

Athletico Paranaense

3

Copa do Brasil 13/07/23

Athletico Paranaense

0

Flamengo

2

Copa do Brasil 06/07/23

Flamengo

2

Athletico Paranaense

1

Brazil Serie A 07/05/23

Athletico Paranaense

2

Flamengo

1

Flamengo preview: Adson and Paula still out.

Carlinhos is suspended for one game after receiving a direct red card while Luiz Araujo, Pedro, Matías Viña, Everton and Michael are injured. Flamengo limped out the Copa Libertadores in midweek when they drew 0-0 at Penarol.

Predicted lineup: Rossi (GK), Varela, Bruno, Pereira, Sandro, Ortiz, De la Cruz, Plata, De Arrascaeta, Gerson, Henrique

Brazil Serie A 11/05/25

W

EC Bahia

0

Flamengo

1

Copa Libertadores 08/05/25

D

Central Cordoba

1

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 04/05/25

L

Cruzeiro

2

Flamengo

1

Copa do Brasil 01/05/25

W

Botafogo PB

0

Flamengo

1

Brazil Serie A 27/04/25

W

Corinthians

0

Flamengo

4

Athletico PR preview: Paulista suspended at left back

Veteran midfielder Fernandinho remains sidelined with a muscle complaint, though Athletico PR have little to trouble them elsewhere. Athletico were hammered 4-1 by Argentinean side Racing Club in the Copa Sudamericana on Thursday.

Predicted lineup: Mycael (GK), Godoy, Rocha, Heleno, Esquivel, Erick, Gabriel, Cuello, Zapelli, Canobbio, Mastriani

Brazil Serie B 09/05/25

D

Chapecoense

1

Athletico Paranaense

1

Brazil Serie B 04/05/25

L

Botafogo SP

4

Athletico Paranaense

1

Copa do Brasil 01/05/25

D

Brusque

0

Athletico Paranaense

0

Brazil Serie B 25/04/25

L

Gremio Novorizontino

2

Athletico Paranaense

1

Brazil Serie B 20/04/25

W

CRB

0

Athletico Paranaense

2

Player to watch – Giorgian de Arrascaeta

Giorgian de Arrascaeta has been providing plenty of match-changing moments for Flamengo and the Uruguayan has chipped in with four goals and five assists in Serie A this term.

De Arrascaeta should be influential again

Midfielder De Arrascaeta has been averaging 1.40 shots and 1.90 key passes per game this season, making him one of the most influential creative players in the Brazilian top tier.