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Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad
Spain Primera Liga - San Mames Stadium
It’s Basque derby weekend in La Liga as Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad face off at San Mames on Saturday. Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction considers whether the hosts can avenge their defeat in the reverse fixture.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction – Betting tips & odds
Hot Tip – Under 2.5 Goals
- Both sides are missing key attacking players to international commitments with Iñaki Williams in the Ghana AFCON squad while Take Kubo is at the AFC Asian Cup with Japan.
- There have been just two goals scored in total in Real Sociedad’s last three league games.
These Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad betting tips point towards a tight derby clash in what is also a key game in the race for Champions League football.
Latest odds
30/09/23 Spain Primera Liga Liga Real Sociedad Athletic Bilbao 3 0 15/04/23 Spain Primera Liga Liga Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad 2 0 14/01/23 Spain Primera Liga Liga Real Sociedad Athletic Bilbao 3 1 05/08/22 Elite Club Friendlies Elite Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad 1 0 20/02/22 Spain Primera Liga Liga Athletic Bilbao Real Sociedad 4 0 31/08/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga Atletico Madrid Athletic Bilbao 1 0 L 28/08/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga Valencia Athletic Bilbao 0 1 W 24/08/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga Barcelona Athletic Bilbao 2 1 L 15/08/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga Getafe Athletic Bilbao 1 1 D 10/08/24 Elite Club Friendlies Elite VfB Stuttgart Athletic Bilbao 4 0 L 01/09/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga Getafe Real Sociedad 0 0 D 28/08/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga CD Alaves Real Sociedad 2 1 L 24/08/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga Espanyol Real Sociedad 0 1 W 18/08/24 Spain Primera Liga Liga Rayo Vallecano Real Sociedad 2 1 L 09/08/24 Elite Club Friendlies Elite Union Berlin Real Sociedad 1 1 D Head to Head
Last Five - Athletic Bilbao
Last Five - Real Sociedad
Win probability
- HOME: 17/16 (2.06) – 48.5%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
The Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad odds make the home team the favourites for this derby showdown despite La Real’s strong recent record against their rivals.
Gorka Guruzeta is the 15/8 (2.88) favourite to score anytime, an implied probability of 34.8%. You can also back Athletic to win to nil at 23/10 (3.30), a probability of 30.3%.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction – Other tips
Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Sociedad
- This Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction takes into account a run that has seen just 9 goals scored in La Real’s last 9 matches.
- Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 47% of their league games this season.
Athletic Club to Win
- Athletic have won their last 4 home league games scoring 11 in the process.
- They produced one of the performances of the season in a dominant 2-0 win over Atletico Madrid here in December.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad team news
Athletic Bilbao
The Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad lineups will see the hosts have to go without in-form Iñaki Williams who’s away on international duty, but otherwise they should have a full squad to pick from.
Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK), Yuri, Paredes, Vivian, De Marcos, Galaretta, Vesga, Nico Williams, Sancet, Berenguer, Guruzeta
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad are hit harder by the international competitions with Take Kubo, Umar Sadiq and Hamari Traore all away. They also have a major absentee with keeper Alex Remiro suspended so youngster Unai Marrero will start in goal.
Predicted Lineup: Marrero (GK), Tierney, Le Normand, Zubeldia, Elustondo, Merino, Zubimendi, Brais Mendez, Barrenetxea, Oyarzabal, Zakharyan
Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.
Athletic Bilbao
Real Sociedad
Player to watch – Nico Williams
With his brother away on international duty, there’ll be extra pressure on the young shoulders of Nico Williams to provide the attacking spark for Athletic.
The 21 year old has 3 goals and 5 assists so far in La Liga 2023/24 which is now at the midway point.
Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.
