Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction, odds & betting tips – 13/01/2024

Athletic Bilbao
13/01/24 - 17:30

Finished

2

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1

Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad

Spain Primera Liga - San Mames Stadium

It’s Basque derby weekend in La Liga as Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad face off at San Mames on Saturday. Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction considers whether the hosts can avenge their defeat in the reverse fixture.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Under 2.5 Goals

  • Both sides are missing key attacking players to international commitments with Iñaki Williams in the Ghana AFCON squad while Take Kubo is at the AFC Asian Cup with Japan.
  • There have been just two goals scored in total in Real Sociedad’s last three league games.

These Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad betting tips point towards a tight derby clash in what is also a key game in the race for Champions League football.

Latest odds

Head to Head

30/09/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3

0

15/04/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2

0

14/01/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3

1

05/08/22

Elite Club Friendlies Elite

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

0

20/02/22

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

4

0

Last Five - Athletic Bilbao

19/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Girona

Girona

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

3

W

12/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Almeria

Almeria

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

0

D

07/02/24

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

1

W

02/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Mallorca

Mallorca

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

4

W

28/01/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Cadiz

Cadiz

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

0

D

Last Five - Real Sociedad

18/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Mallorca

Mallorca

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

2

W

14/02/24

UEFA Champions League UCL

PSG

PSG

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

2

0

L

10/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Osasuna

Osasuna

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

0

L

06/02/24

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Mallorca

Mallorca

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

0

D

03/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Girona

Girona

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

0

D

Win probability

  • HOME: 17/16 (2.06) – 48.5%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%

The Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad odds make the home team the favourites for this derby showdown despite La Real’s strong recent record against their rivals.

Gorka Guruzeta is the 15/8 (2.88) favourite to score anytime, an implied probability of 34.8%. You can also back Athletic to win to nil at 23/10 (3.30), a probability of 30.3%.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction – Other tips

Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Sociedad

  • This Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction takes into account a run that has seen just 9 goals scored in La Real’s last 9 matches.
  • Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 47% of their league games this season.

Athletic Club to Win

  • Athletic have won their last 4 home league games scoring 11 in the process.
  • They produced one of the performances of the season in a dominant 2-0 win over Atletico Madrid here in December.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad team news

Athletic Bilbao

The Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad lineups will see the hosts have to go without in-form Iñaki Williams who’s away on international duty, but otherwise they should have a full squad to pick from.

Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK), Yuri, Paredes, Vivian, De Marcos, Galaretta, Vesga, Nico Williams, Sancet, Berenguer, Guruzeta

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad are hit harder by the international competitions with Take Kubo, Umar Sadiq and Hamari Traore all away. They also have a major absentee with keeper Alex Remiro suspended so youngster Unai Marrero will start in goal.

Predicted Lineup: Marrero (GK), Tierney, Le Normand, Zubeldia, Elustondo, Merino, Zubimendi, Brais Mendez, Barrenetxea, Oyarzabal, Zakharyan

Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao
4-2-3-1
1
Unai Simon
es
15
Inigo Lekue
es
3
Dani Vivian
es
4
Aitor Paredes
es
17
Yuri Berchiche
es
16
Inigo Ruiz De Galarreta
es
6
Mikel Vesga
es
7
Alex Berenguer
es
8
Oihan Sancet
es
11
Nico Williams
es
12
Gorka Guruzeta
es
Substitutes
31
Mikel Jauregizar Alboniga
es
5
Yeray Alvarez
es
30
Unai Gomez Echevarria
es
23
Peru Nolaskoain
es
29
Malcom Adu
es
13
Julen Agirrezabala
es
24
Benat Prados Diaz
es
20
Asier Villalibre
es
22
Raul Garcia
es
21
Ander Herrera
es
10
Iker Muniain
es
18
Oscar De Marcos
es

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad
4-4-2
13
Unai Marrero
es
2
Alvaro Odriozola
es
5
Igor Zubeldia
es
24
Robin Le Normand
es
17
Kieran Tierney
gb
23
Brais Mendez
es
4
Martin Zubimendi
es
8
Mikel Merino
es
12
Arsen Zakharyan
ru
7
Ander Barrenetxea
es
10
Mikel Oyarzabal
es
Substitutes
40
Bryan Solhaug Fiabema
no
6
Aritz Elustondo
es
38
Alberto Dadie
es
3
Aihen Munoz
es
28
Jon Magunacelaya
es
20
Jon Pacheco
es
21
Andre Silva
pt
16
Jon Ander Olasagasti
es
22
Benat Turrientes
es
30
Gaizka Ayesa
es
15
Urko Gonzalez
es
37
Aitor Fraga
es

Player to watch – Nico Williams

With his brother away on international duty, there’ll be extra pressure on the young shoulders of Nico Williams to provide the attacking spark for Athletic.

The 21 year old has 3 goals and 5 assists so far in La Liga 2023/24 which is now at the midway point.

Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.


Avatar of Mark Sochon
Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.