Qarabag will make the trip to San Mames for their UEFA Champions League encounter with Athletic Bilbao on Wednesday, 22 October 2025.
View our free Athletic Bilbao vs Qarabag predictions below.
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Athletic Bilbao vs Qarabag predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Fewer than three goals were scored in seven of Athletic Bilbao's last nine matches across all competitions.
- Qarabag are currently on a six-match winning streak.
- Athletic Bilbao conceded first in seven of their last nine games.
Correct score prediction: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Qarabag
Despite being the overwhelming favourites, Athletic Bilbao's recent run of results does not inspire much confidence. The hosts have managed only one win in their last nine matches across all competitions (D2, L6) and have lost two of two UEFA Champions League games.
On the other hand, Qarabag have won six consecutive matches and are currently on an eight-game unbeaten run. They have also been impressive in this competition so far, beating Benfica and Copenhagen, despite being the clear underdogs in both games.
All things considered, we are confident that Qarabag will hold their own for 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletic Bilbao are odds-on favourites
- HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
- DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
- AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Ahead of this UEFA Champions League encounter, Athletic Bilbao are the expected winners at 3/10 (1.30). Teams with these odds generally have a 76.9% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Athletic Bilbao vs Qarabag predictions.
It is also important to note that Qarabag have scored five goals in two UEFA Champions League matches so far, while Athletic Bilbao saw their defence breached six times in two games in this competition.
Bearing that in mind, over 0.5 Qarabag goals has an appealing look at 17/20 (1.85). That one has a 54.1% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: First meeting
Although Athletic Bilbao and Qarabag will square off against each other for the first time on Wednesday, it is worth mentioning that Qarabag have a 0-2-3 win-draw-loss record in five previous meetings with Spanish sides, while Athletic Bilbao have won one and drawn one of two encounters with Azerbaijani opponents.
Athletic Bilbao preview: Looking to improve their fortunes
Athletic Club arrive this contest on the back of two losses in their opening two League phase games and could likely have trouble to qualify or make the playoffs should they fail to beat their opponents on Wednesday evening.
The Basque outfit will be without the services of Unai Egiluz and Benat Prados once again due to cruciate ligament injuries, while Yeray Alvarez remains suspended until next April for doping.
Predicted lineup: Simon (GK), Areso, Vivian, Laporte, Berchiche, Jauregizar, Galarreta, N. Williams, Sancet, I. Williams & Guruzeta.
Last five matches
- Elche 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
- Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Mallorca
- Dortmund 4-1 Athletic Bilbao
- Villarreal 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
- Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Girona
Qarabag preview: A clean bill of health
In contrast, Qarabag surprisingly won their first two league phase games and could be up for another jaw-dropping performance here.
With a healthy squad ahead of this matchup, the Blue and Whites have all the positives going for them, and having won each of their last six games across all competitions with a couple of their players in fine form, a win on the road here should put Qarabag in a strong position for a top-eight finish when all is said and done.
Predicted lineup: Kochalski (GK), Silva, Medina, Mustafazada, Cafarquliyev, Borges, Bicalho, Kashchuk, Andrade, Zoubir & Duran.
Last five matches
- Turan Tovuz 1-2 Qarabag
- Qarabag 1-0 Kepez
- Qarabag 2-0 Copenhagen
- Qarabag 2-0 Qebele
- Araz Naxcivan 0-5 Qarabag
Player to watch: Abdellah Zoubir
Abdellah Zoubir has been in sensational form, scoring in three of his last four appearances for Qarabag. The former RC Lens midfielder has at least one goal contribution in his last two UEFA Champions League assignments and will fancy his chances against Athletic Club.