Man Utd vs Athletic Bilbao prediction
Can Man Utd complete the job against Athletic Bilbao in the Europa League semi-finals? (Photo by Imago)
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Over 2.5 total goals

Seven of Man Utd’s last seven fixtures in the Europa League have featured over 2.5 goals and with Athletic needing to chase Thursday’s game from the first whistle, entertainment could be in the works again.

Man Utd welcome Athletic Bilbao to Old Trafford to contest the second leg of the teams’ Europa League semi-final clash on Thursday, 8 May. Read our Europa League predictions for the contest below.

Man Utd vs Athletic Bilbao prediction: Goals possible at Old Trafford

Key Stats

  • Man Ut’s last four home matches in the Europa League averaged a whopping 5.25 goals per game.
  • Athletic Bilbao have scored at least once in five of their six away assignments in the Europa League this season.
  • Seven players were carded in last week’s first leg between the clubs in Bilbao.
  • Bruno Fernandes has scored seven goals in 12 Europa League appearances this season.

Correct score prediction: Man Utd 2-2 Athletic Bilbao

Man Utd’s recent Europa League fixtures have been goal-filled and Thursday’s semi-final tussle with Athletic could be another end-to-ender. The visitors, who are three down, will need to attack from the off, so an open, entertaining clash could develop in Manchester.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletic Bilbao listed as underdogs

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
  • AWAY: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Man Utd lost 4-3 to Brentford with a fringe team on Sunday, though they remain 21/20 favourites here having seen Athletic Club off with relative comfort in the first leg.

Athletic Bilbao rested players win their 0-0 draw with Basque rivals Real Sociedad at the weekend, though even restored to full strength, the visitors have just a 29.4% chance of upsetting the odds at Old Trafford. View our free football tips page for more Europa League predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Fixture has goal-scoring traditions

Man Utd’s 3-0 win over Athletic Bilbao last week was the third competitive encounter between the clubs where over 2.5 goals were scored.

UEFA Europa League 01/05/25

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0
Man Utd

Man Utd

3

Elite Club Friendlies 06/08/23

Man Utd

Man Utd

1
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Man Utd preview: Bruno, Onana, Yoro and Hojlund to return

Matthijs de Ligt was forced off with an injury against Brentford on Sunday and is a major doubt here. Bruno Fernandes, Andre Onana, Harry Maguire, Leny Yoro, Casemiro, Noussair Mazraoui and Rasmus Hojlund should all come back into the United starting XI. Amad Diallo is also pushing to start.

Predicted lineup: Onana (GK), Lindelof, Maguire, Yoro, Mazraoui, Casemiro, Ugarte, Dorgu, Garnacho, Fernandes, Hojlund

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

West Ham

West Ham

2

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

UEFA Europa League 08/05/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Man Utd

Man Utd

4

England Premier League 04/05/25

L

Brentford

Brentford

4

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

UEFA Europa League 01/05/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

England Premier League 27/04/25

D

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Man Utd

Man Utd

1

Athletic Bilbao preview: Visitors sweating on Sancet and Nico Williams

Oihan Sancet remains a doubt for Athletic Club while winger Nico Williams could also miss out. Both will be assessed closer to kick off. Key defender Vivian is suspended following his red card in the first leg. Aitor Paredes should deputise in his absence.

Predicted lineup: Agirrezabala (GK), De Marcos, Paredes, Yeray, Yuri, de Galarreta, Jauregizar, I. Williams, Berenguer, N. Williams, Sannadi

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

W

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

UEFA Europa League 08/05/25

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

4

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

D

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

UEFA Europa League 01/05/25

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

W

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Player to watch – Bruno Fernandes

Skipper Bruno Fernandes put in a captain’s performance in last week’s semi-final first-leg, netting two of Man Utd’s three first-half goals in their unexpectedly comfortable triumph in Bilbao.

Man United vs Athletic Bilbao prediction
All of United's good football tends to flow through Bruno Fernandes. (Photo by Imago)

Can Bruno lead the charge again?

Bruno was left on the bench for United’s 4-3 loss to Brentford on Sunday, so the 30-year-old should be nicely rested and raring to go for the Red Devils’ season-defining clash with Athletic. The influential midfielder has been chipping in with a goal contribution every 110 minutes in the Europa League this season.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.