athletic club vs barcelona predictions
Nico Williams was linked with a move to Barca in the summer - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 total goals

Eight of Barca’s last nine competitive games have produced over 2.5 goals.

The Spanish Super Cup kicks off in Saudi Arabia on Wednesday. Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction considers which team is most likely to progress to the final.

Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction: Raphinha to strike in draw

Key stats

  • Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona betting tips take into account that the Catalans have only won four of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
  • Athletic are unbeaten in 15 matches overall.
  • There have been at least two goals in seven of their last eight matches.

Correct score prediction: Athletic Club 2-2 Barcelona

This has all the makings of a really competitive game, with Barca nowhere near their best over the past couple of months, while Athletic have hit form.

Lamine Yamal is expected to be fit enough to play some part, which is a major boost for the Catalans, but Athletic are also sure to cause problems on the flanks with the Williams brothers. We should get goals, but it may take more than 90 minutes to settle this.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Barca the clear favourites

  • ATHLETIC CLUB: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
  • BARCELONA: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Hansi Flick’s side are the favourites according to the Athletic Club vs Barcelona odds with an implied probability of 54.1% that they win this match in 90 minutes.

They were 4-0 winners at Barbastro in the Copa del Rey at the weekend, with Robert Lewandowski scoring twice.

As for Athletic, they were taken to penalties on Saturday after a 0-0 draw with Logrones, but won the shootout 4-3.

For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Happy Supercopa memories for the Basques

Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction suggests this will be close, and the Basque side can take inspiration from victories over Barca in the final of this competition in 2015 and 2020.

However, Barca are unbeaten in the last 10 league meetings between the clubs.

Spain La Liga 24/08/24

Barcelona

Barcelona

2
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain La Liga 03/03/24

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0
Barcelona

Barcelona

0

Spain Copa del Rey 24/01/24

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

4
Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Spain La Liga 22/10/23

Barcelona

Barcelona

1
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain La Liga 12/03/23

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0
Barcelona

Barcelona

1

Athletic Club preview: Three concerns for Valverde

The underdogs have injury concerns over Oihan Sancet, Yeray Alvarez and Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta, although all three have travelled to Saudi Arabia.

Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK), De Marcos, Vivian, Paredes, Yuri, De Galarreta, Jauregizar, Sancet, N. Williams, I. Williams & Guruzeta

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

W

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

UEFA Europa League 08/05/25

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

4

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain La Liga 04/05/25

D

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

UEFA Europa League 01/05/25

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

W

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Barcelona preview: Yamal to feature?

Lamine Yamal could be involved, although possibly only off the bench on his return from injury. Marc Bernal and Marc-Andre ter Stegen remain out.

Predicted Lineup: Peña (GK), Kounde, Cubarsi, I. Martínez, Balde, De Jong, Gavi, Pedri, Raphinha, Ferran & Lewandowski

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

W

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

3

Barcelona

Barcelona

4

UEFA Champions League 06/05/25

L

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

4

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

W

Valladolid

Valladolid

1

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

UEFA Champions League 30/04/25

D

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

3

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25

W

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

2

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

Player to watch – Raphinha

It has been a brilliant season for Raphinha so far. The Brazilian has 17 goals and eight assists in 25 appearances in all competitions.

athletic club vs barcelona prediction
Raphinha in action for Barca – Photo by IMAGO.

Raphinha scoring late

73% of Raphinha’s goals in La Liga this term have come after the interval. His latest goal was an 84th minute strike in El Clasico at the Bernabeu.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.