Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/03/2024

Athletic Bilbao
03/03/24 - 20:00

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Barcelona

Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona

Spain Primera Liga - San Mames Stadium

athletic club vs barcelona predictions
Athletic beat Barca in the cup in January – Photo by Icon Sport

Athletic Club and Barcelona clash in the second big match at San Mames in the space of four days. Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction considers whether the hosts can continue their fine home form in La Liga.

Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction: Xavi’s team to win game with goals

Athletic Club vs Barcelona predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Barcelona Draw No Bet

⚽ Correct score prediction

Athletic 1-2 Barcelona

⚽ PLAYER to score anytime

Robert Lewandowski to score anytime

Key Stats

  • Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona betting tips factor in Barca’s impressive away form and they’ve won each of their last four road games in La Liga, despite conceding.
  • Both teams have scored in 83% of Barca away games in La Liga 2023/24.
  • Robert Lewandowski has scored five in five in all competitions.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Barca the slight favourites

  • HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Barcelona are the very marginal favourites according to the Athletic Club vs Barcelona odds with an implied probability of 41.7% that they win this one, but all three results are on the table.

Both teams come into the game on the back of impressive wins with Barca hammering Getafe 4-0 last weekend in La Liga while Athletic were 3-0 winners over Atletico Madrid in the Copa del Rey on Thursday night.

Our La Liga first goalscorer predictions for this weekend also suggest there may be value in backing Robert Lewandowski to score first at 9/2 (5.50), an implied probability of 18.2%. For more football predictions, check out today’s betting tips.

Last five H2Hs: Barca dominant before January clash

Spain Copa del Rey 24/01/24

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

4
Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Spain Primera Liga 22/10/23

Barcelona

Barcelona

1
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain Primera Liga 12/03/23

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0
Barcelona

Barcelona

1

Spain Primera Liga 23/10/22

Barcelona

Barcelona

4
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Spain Primera Liga 27/02/22

Barcelona

Barcelona

4
Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction suggests this is more likely to go the way of the recent league meetings with all of the last four resulting in wins for the Catalans. Athletic were 4-2 Extra Time winners when the clubs met in the Copa del Rey Quarter Finals in January.

Athletic Club Preview: Suspensions hamper the hosts

Key man Nico Williams and central defensive regular Dani Vivian are missing due to suspension. Ernesto Valverde may also lightly rotate after their Thursday night game with some fatigue likely in the home camp.

Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK) Lekue, Yeray, Paredes, De Marcos, Vesga, Galarreta, Berenguer, Sancet, Iñaki Williams, Guruzeta

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

W

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

L

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

D

Osasuna

Osasuna

2

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Spain Primera Liga 03/05/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Spain Primera Liga 27/04/24

L

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

3

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Barcelona Preview: Injury problems easing for Xavi

Joao Felix and Raphinha were both on target last time out leaving Xavi with some selection decisions here after Pedri and Lamine Yamal were rested. The only remaining absentees are Gavi, Ferran Torres, Marcos Alonso and Alejandro Balde, a big improvement on the state of affairs a few weeks back.

Predicted Lineup: Ter Stegen (GK), Cancelo, Martinez, Araujo, Kounde, Gundogan, Christensen, De Jong, Pedri, Lewandowski, Raphinha

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

W

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Barcelona

Barcelona

3

Spain Primera Liga 16/05/24

W

Almeria

Almeria

0

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Spain Primera Liga 13/05/24

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Spain Primera Liga 04/05/24

L

Girona

Girona

4

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Spain Primera Liga 29/04/24

W

Valencia

Valencia

2

Barcelona

Barcelona

4

Player to watch – Pedri

This may not have been Pedri’s best season, but you can say that about a number of Barca players. The 21 year old has only registered two goals and four assists in all competitions.

athletic club vs barcelona prediction
Pedri was rested last weekend but should return on Sunday – Photo by Icon Sport

Passing stats still impressive

Pedri’s quality on the ball is undoubted. The Spain international has completed 86.7% of his passes this term in La Liga and averages 1.9 key passes per game. He’s been used in a more advanced role in recent weeks as Xavi searches for better balance in midfield.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.