The Spanish Super Cup kicks off in Saudi Arabia on Wednesday. Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction considers which team is most likely to progress to the final.
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Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction: Raphinha to strike in draw
Key stats
- Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona betting tips take into account that the Catalans have only won four of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Athletic are unbeaten in 15 matches overall.
- There have been at least two goals in seven of their last eight matches.
Correct score prediction: Athletic Club 2-2 Barcelona
This has all the makings of a really competitive game, with Barca nowhere near their best over the past couple of months, while Athletic have hit form.
Lamine Yamal is expected to be fit enough to play some part, which is a major boost for the Catalans, but Athletic are also sure to cause problems on the flanks with the Williams brothers. We should get goals, but it may take more than 90 minutes to settle this.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Barca the clear favourites
- ATHLETIC CLUB: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- BARCELONA: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Hansi Flick’s side are the favourites according to the Athletic Club vs Barcelona odds with an implied probability of 54.1% that they win this match in 90 minutes.
They were 4-0 winners at Barbastro in the Copa del Rey at the weekend, with Robert Lewandowski scoring twice.
As for Athletic, they were taken to penalties on Saturday after a 0-0 draw with Logrones, but won the shootout 4-3.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Happy Supercopa memories for the Basques
Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction suggests this will be close, and the Basque side can take inspiration from victories over Barca in the final of this competition in 2015 and 2020.
However, Barca are unbeaten in the last 10 league meetings between the clubs.
Spain La Liga 24/08/24

Barcelona

Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga 03/03/24

Athletic Bilbao

Barcelona
Spain Copa del Rey 24/01/24

Athletic Bilbao

Barcelona
Spain La Liga 22/10/23

Barcelona

Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga 12/03/23

Athletic Bilbao

Barcelona
Athletic Club preview: Three concerns for Valverde
The underdogs have injury concerns over Oihan Sancet, Yeray Alvarez and Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta, although all three have travelled to Saudi Arabia.
Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK), De Marcos, Vivian, Paredes, Yuri, De Galarreta, Jauregizar, Sancet, N. Williams, I. Williams & Guruzeta
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 W CD Alaves 0 Athletic Bilbao 1 UEFA Europa League 08/05/25 L Man Utd 4 Athletic Bilbao 1 Spain La Liga 04/05/25 D Real Sociedad 0 Athletic Bilbao 0 UEFA Europa League 01/05/25 L Man Utd 3 Athletic Bilbao 0 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 W Las Palmas 0 Athletic Bilbao 1
Barcelona preview: Yamal to feature?
Lamine Yamal could be involved, although possibly only off the bench on his return from injury. Marc Bernal and Marc-Andre ter Stegen remain out.
Predicted Lineup: Peña (GK), Kounde, Cubarsi, I. Martínez, Balde, De Jong, Gavi, Pedri, Raphinha, Ferran & Lewandowski
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 W Real Madrid 3 Barcelona 4 UEFA Champions League 06/05/25 L Inter Milan 4 Barcelona 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 W Valladolid 1 Barcelona 2 UEFA Champions League 30/04/25 D Inter Milan 3 Barcelona 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25 W Real Madrid 2 Barcelona 3
Player to watch – Raphinha
It has been a brilliant season for Raphinha so far. The Brazilian has 17 goals and eight assists in 25 appearances in all competitions.

Raphinha scoring late
73% of Raphinha’s goals in La Liga this term have come after the interval. His latest goal was an 84th minute strike in El Clasico at the Bernabeu.