Barcelona play their final game of the season in Bilbao on Sunday night. Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they’ll be able to finish the season in style with an away victory.
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Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction: Raphinha to strike in road win
Key stats
- Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona betting tips take into account that six of the last seven Barca games have seen both teams score.
- The Catalans have won 72% of their away league games this season.
- 84% of Athletic’s league games have ended with three or fewer goals.
- Barcelona have scored 23 goals from outside the penalty area this season in all competitions, their highest tally in a single campaign since the 2018/19 season (also 23).
Correct score prediction: Athletic Club 1-2 Barcelona
This match features La Liga’s best defence, with Athletic only conceding 26 goals this season, but also its best attack, with Barca needing just one more goal to hit 100.
That serves up a potentially fascinating battle, but it’s pretty clear that the visitors are the class act in Spain this term, and with a strong visiting lineup expected, Hansi Flick’s side may be able to sign off with a win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Flick’s side
- HOME: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- DRAW: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
- AWAY: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Athletic Club vs Barcelona odds, with an implied probability of 47.6% that they win this match.
They head into this match after a 3-2 defeat against Villarreal, in the game immediately after the title was clinched in the derby at the RCDE Stadium.
As for Athletic, they sealed a top-four finish and a place in next season’s Supercopa by winning 1-0 at Valencia last time out.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Barca targeting hat-trick of wins over the Basques
Our Athletic Club vs Barcelona prediction suggests the visitors will complete a third win in as many meetings this season between the clubs.
There have been just three goals scored across the last three league meetings on this ground, although Athletic did win higher-scoring cup ties in 2022 and 2024 at San Mames.
Spain La Liga 24/08/24
Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga 03/03/24
Athletic Bilbao
Barcelona
Spain Copa del Rey 24/01/24
Athletic Bilbao
Barcelona
Spain La Liga 22/10/23
Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga 12/03/23
Athletic Bilbao
Barcelona
Athletic Club preview: Valverde set to pick from a full squad
Nico Williams is training again, meaning Ernesto Valverde should have a full squad to pick from for this game.
Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK), Yuri, Vivian, Paredes, De Marcos, Jauregizar, Ruiz de Galarreta, Berenguer, Sancet, I. Williams & Sannadi
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
W CD Alaves 0 Athletic Bilbao 1 UEFA Europa League 08/05/25
L Man Utd 4 Athletic Bilbao 1 Spain La Liga 04/05/25
D Real Sociedad 0 Athletic Bilbao 0 UEFA Europa League 01/05/25
L Man Utd 3 Athletic Bilbao 0 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W Las Palmas 0 Athletic Bilbao 1
Barcelona preview: Flick missing three
Barca will need to cope without the injured trio of Ferran Torres, Jules Kounde and Marc Bernal. Ronald Araujo is fit again and could feature.
Predicted Lineup: Ter Stegen (GK), Balde, Martinez, Christensen, E. Garcia, De Jong, Pedri, Raphinha, Olmo, Yamal & Lewandowski
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
W Real Madrid 3 Barcelona 4 UEFA Champions League 06/05/25
L Inter Milan 4 Barcelona 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W Valladolid 1 Barcelona 2 UEFA Champions League 30/04/25
D Inter Milan 3 Barcelona 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25
W Real Madrid 2 Barcelona 3
Player to watch – Raphinha
There have been many stars for Barcelona this season, and Raphinha is right at the top of that list. The Brazilian has scored 34 goals in all competitions for his club.
Raphinha striking after the break
A total of 67% of the 28-year-old’s league goals have come in the second half, with his latest goal coming in the 98th minute against Celta Vigo.