Atalanta vs Parma prediction, odds & betting tips – 25/01/2026
Raffaele Palladino looks on during Atalanta match - IMAGO / Italy Photo Press
🔥 Our Hot tip

First half winner: Atalanta

Atalanta have been winning the first half in four of their last five matches.

After two disappointing results, Atalanta will be looking to bounce back to winning ways when they take on Parma in the Serie A on Sunday.

View our Atalanta vs Parma predictions below.

Atalanta vs Parma prediction

Key stats

  • Atalanta have won the first half against Parma in four of their last five matches.
  • Parma have seen under 2.5 goals in seven of their last eight games.
  • There have been fewer than 4.5 cards in all of the last six Atalanta fixtures.

Correct score prediction: Atalanta 2-0 Parma

Parma are undefeated in their last three matches, and have lost only once in their last six games. This has helped Carlos Cuesta's side move up to 12th in the Serie A.

Atalanta are unbeaten in their last four Serie A matches, winning three of them, and won five of their last seven league games.

They have recorded five wins, four draws and two losses at home this season, picking up 32 points from 21 games.

Atalanta have been winning the first half in recent games, and they have seen under 2.5 goals in six of their last seven games, so we predict a 2-0 win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Comfortable home win

HOME: 2/5 (1.4) – 71.4%

DRAW: 19/5 (4.8) – 20.8%

AWAY: 6/1 (7.0) – 14.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

We can see that Atalanta are clear favourites to win this game, and the bookies have priced them at 2/5 (1.4) with 71.4% chances of winning.

Atalanta have scored first in each of their last five meetings against Parma, and they are 2/5 (1.4) to do so again.

Likewise, they have been winning the first half in recent matches, and are priced at 10/11 (1.91) with 52.4% chances of landing.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atalanta vs Parma predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Atalanta dominate

Historically, there is very little to choose between the two sides. Atalanta have won 16 times, Parma 15, and the remaining 15 games have ended in draws.

In their past seven matches, Atalanta has won five and drawn one against their opponent on Sunday.

Italy Serie A 30/08/25

Parma

Parma

1
Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Italy Serie A 25/05/25

Atalanta

Atalanta

2
Parma

Parma

3

Italy Serie A 23/11/24

Parma

Parma

1
Atalanta

Atalanta

3

Elite Club Friendlies 04/08/24

Parma

Parma

4
Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Italy Serie A 09/05/21

Parma

Parma

2
Atalanta

Atalanta

5

Atalanta preview: Team news

For the home side, Raoul Bellanova could be missing on Sunday, as he is in recovery from a hamstring injury.

Ademola Lookman has returned from the AFCON, and he should be ready to start.

Predicted lineups: Carnesecchi (GK), Scalvini, Hien, Ahanor, Zappacosta, De Roon, Ederson, Bernasconi, De Ketelaere, Lookman & Scamacca

Last five fixtures

  • Atalanta 2-3 Athletic Bilbao
  • Pisa 1–1 Atalanta
  • Atalanta 2–0 Torino
  • Bologna 0–2 Atalanta
  • Atalanta 1–0 AS Roma

Parma preview: Team news

Parma are still missing a host of players, including the two injured goalkeepers, Vicente Guaita and Zion Suzuki.

They are also without Pontus Almqvist, Abdoulaye Ndiaye and long-term absentee Matija Frigan.

Predicted lineups: Corvi (GK), Delprato, Circati, Valenti, Valeri, Bernabe, Keita, Sorensen, Oristanio, Ondrejka & Pellegrino

Last five matches

  • Parma 0-0 Genoa
  • Napoli 0-0 Parma
  • Lecce 1-2 Parma
  • Parma 0-2 Inter
  • Sassuolo 1-1 Parma 

Player to watch: Charles De Ketelaere

After failing to impress at AC Milan, the Belgian midfielder moved to Atalanta initially on loan and later the move was made permanent.

The 24-year-old versatile midfielder has scored three goals and contributed two assists in 19 Serie A matches, and also contributed to four goals in the Champions League.

Atalanta vs Parma
Charles De Ketelaere in action against Parma – IMAGO / Pacific Press Agency
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Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.